Huba
-
Posts
2,490 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
26
Posts posted by Huba
-
-
4 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:
But yeah, Morawiecki should frame it better; it cost us good opinion county earned before (mostly due to people's genuine reactions rather than original state apparatus behaviour anyway).
That precisely is the issue here. As you mentioned, if you listen to the whole interview it is much more nuanced, but for some reason the PM Chancellery decided to quote this one particular sentence in their tweet that, without context, caused the snowball effect we see now. And then, for the same reason they aren't doing any visible damage control on that.
-
33 minutes ago, Letter from Prague said:
I guess some of us hoped that the war will help Poland to wake up and become something else than Hungary-aligned force always doing the wrong thing and always trying their best to destroy EU from within. To shake off PiS and become something more. It is obvious now it was too good to be true.
When crisis comes, people don't change for the better, they become more of what the were before.
PiS is aiming at stealing some votes from the far(er) right before the October elections, and there isn't a single thing in the world not worth sacrificing on this altar. Shameful, to say the least.
-
1 hour ago, paxromana said:
Sounds reasonable - it was the fire which ruined the steel that did in the rail sections last time.
Also the rail bridge in this section is much higher above the water than the road part, which almost hugs the surface, making it much harder to damage with the same quantity of explosives.
-
Here's another video. It looks like both road spans are damaged, there's a lot of rebar coming out from the bottom of the right section. The beam holding the sections is probably damaged too. Shame that they didn't manage to also hit the rail bridge.
-
12 minutes ago, DesertFox said:
On the Leopard issue we discussed recently. Looks like Germany terminates the repair agreement.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1679067504801464321?s=20
Polish military twittershpere consensus is more or less that it was to be expected. PL military industry is stretched to maximum already, and after bad experiences with Leo2PL is not willing to go an extra mile to make this service center happen without it being reasonably profitable. Like usually with this type of situations, there's not nearly enough public info to really get to the bottom of who is at fault here, and to what degree.
-
Zelensky got straightened out a bit since yesterday it seems.
-
A very well sourced thread about NATO 155mm ammunition production, which is to hit 2.5 million rounds per annum in 2025, based only on the 6 biggest producers ( not including Turkey and France for example).
-
Jaw-dropping footage of yesterday's strike at RU ammo depot, a must watch!
-
When only tool at your disposal is a drone:
-
1 hour ago, cesmonkey said:
According to Russian telegrammer Two Majors, another attempt by the Russian forces to dislodge the Ukrainians from the Antonivskyi Bridge appears to have failed miserably:
https://t.me/dva_majors/19822
Muscovites seem to be genuinely worried about this bridgehead and are striking it with everything they have, including Iskanders.
Edit:
Also this:As horrible as it sounds, the biggest contribution made by these few armor companies that UA lost in the first days of counteroffensive, was showing everyone that they in fact are not equipped to do offensive actions in a way acceptable for UA command AND NATO partners. Here's hope that that half-assing our support is really ending and they will get all they need, including the most destructive weapons in our disposal.
-
So it looks like Ukraine will buy/ get a battery or two of ground launched Naval Strike Missiles from us. This is rather interesting development. So Poland at the moment has 4 batteries (12 launchers total) and probably around a 100 missiles for them. There was a big order for more made recently, worth IIRC around $500M or so, enough for double what we have already. Polish milnet was in a bit of a pickle regarding it, as what we have is enough for our foreseeable needs, with more needed either for foreign deployments, or indeed to allow sending what we have to Ukraine.
So I wonder what applications will these have, given that UA Harpoons already keep the BSF at bay around Odessa? One application would be striking ground targets of course, NSM is capable of that but it would be a waste of very expensive missile (with relatively small warhead). It doesn,tt have the range to strike Sevastopol or Kerch ( 220km stated range, while 300 is needed). I guess it could be used to attack ships in the Sea of Azov ports like Mariupol or Berdyansk, flying overland, thus denying Russian their use for resupplying the front. IMO this would be it's primary use now.
If Ukrainians manage to push the frontline a bit though, It would spell doom for the BSF, attacking ships on anchor in Crimean ports, but more importantly it could cover the entire Sea of Azov and thus trap it in the eastern part of the Black Sea.
Link to the original article (in English)
https://defence24.com/armed-forces/polish-coastal-defence-missiles-heading-to-ukraine-exclusive -
37 minutes ago, kimbosbread said:
I enjoyed Can Boneta and Can Josep when I was there in the fall, but a reservation would be wise. If you take the gondola or walk up Montjuic, the bar above the public pool is cool too.
Depending on who's accompanying you, I really recommend a quick train trip to Figueres where, on top of enjoying the train ride itself, cultured people can visit an (reportedly) amazing Salvador Dali museum, and less cultured ones can see this amazing fortress:
-
A very interesting piece of RUMINT, but from a notoriously reliable guy. Reportedly Ukrainians (with a little bit of foreign help...) managed overhaul and put back in service some S200 missiles. He hints at G2G use, with some small modifications it could be useful and rather hard to defend against.
-
Putin's speech In a nutshell:
And response:
-
There's a new Vlad Vexler video about the implications of the Wagner Coup. In summary, he says that the biggest danger it created was showcasing that for the first time since Putin's ascendence to power, there is an alternative and regime change can happen relatively easily.
-
Whoa, that was anticlimactic! I won't even try to speculate what all that was about, and what outcome will it bring. I just hope AFU didn't get too overoptimistic about imminent RU collapse and didn't overextend itself with the major strikes they announced. Especially the Antonovsky bridgehead sounds like a very interesting development, but with a potential to quickly turn into a sizeable defeat if RU manages to counterattack it with enough forces. Worrisome, all of that.
-
OK, that's too much, I'm taking an one hour break:
-
Das ist ein Befehl! Definitely!
-
7 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Russian milblogger, unverified. About UKR Dnipro crossing
The enemy came and gained a foothold under densiest cover of artillery and mortar fire. Mortat crews of the enemy don't stop to work as well as barrel artillery. Due to operative information on this section the enemy already transferred three tanks by the ferry.
Seizing the opportunity apparently:
-
Again, "big if true" claim without sources, but one that is very logical. Prig had months to plan this thing and creating sleeper cells is something painfully obvious:
https://twitter.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1672643015909810178 -
Perfectly fitting quote:
And some unverified news of the "big if true" kind. But it there was the time to attempt such a ballsy move, it is now:
-
4 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:
From director himself, so maybe worth to post...
There are first rumours of airlifts for VDV/specnaz troops going to Moscow from other cities and behind the frontlines...
-
11 minutes ago, Offshoot said:
Surrender now so you don't have to pick sides. In Ukrainian custody really is the safest place to be.
Some Russian units are withdrawing from Ukraine (again, no sources linked, but Artur is quite reliable), but reportedly it is mostly about Spetsnaz, VDV and reserve formations. It still creates perfect condition for breakthrough and exploitation by the AFU. Fingers crossed they can grab the opportunity, Melitopol awaits!
-
As usual, Artur is not linking his sources, but according to him there are multiple reports of (small) RU units laying down their arms and surrendering to AFU.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Missile diving into BSF HQ caught on camera: