Zeleban

Ok Ok. I admit, I am a disinformer . I must also admit that your knowledge of missile weapons greatly exceeds mine. Russian electronic warfare destroys HIMARS in batches. INS cannot exist without GPS OSINT is a bunch of gossips that you shouldn't listen to, unlike the New York Times. I'm ready to admit anything, just let's stop this stupid argument

It all depends on the number of errors accumulated in the gyroscopes during maneuvering of the rocket. If there were a lot of maneuvers, then there were a lot of errors, but if there were few maneuvers, then few errors were accumulated in the gyroscopes, which means the rocket will be quite accurate. The HIMARS missile is clearly less maneuverable than an airplane or cruise missile. Therefore, it is quite accurate even without GPS

What do shot down Leopards and Bradleys have to do with Pentagon leaks and the effectiveness of electronic warfare systems against HIMARS?

No, she doesn't need GPS. Otherwise, it would be as if the same V-1 rocket flew during the Second World War. There was no satellite navigation back then, but the V-1 had an autopilot. JDAM bombs do not have an inertial system. They are aimed at the target only using GPS. However, we have seen a number of cases of successful use of these bombs by Ukraine Why do this? after all, the entire OSINT is at a glance. No “special” sites needed

Oh yes, I completely forgot about these “leaks”. Now we can be sure that New York Times and Economist articles can change the laws of physics. By the way, don’t you find it strange that articles from such well-known publications literally echo Russian propaganda? The only way for Russia to effectively counter HIMARS missiles is to stop supplying these missiles to Ukraine. And I can say that the Russians have had some success in this direction (largely thanks to famous American publications)

who told you that HIMARS can be stopped with the help of electronic warfare? The main guidance system of these missiles is inertial (the same as that of the Shahed UAV). GPS is used only for INS correction. I think that the regularity of HIMARS missile attacks on Russian positions indicates the opposite.

Shahed is not controlled by a person from the ground; it does not have a control channel or video signal. He flies along a pre-programmed route. It is controlled by a gyroscopic autopilot. It has very poor maneuverability due to small steering surfaces

It is a little incorrect to compare the V-1, which has the energy of a rocket, and the Shahed UAV, which is driven by a propeller and has much weaker energy. The use of barrage balloons, repair and replacement of networks between them does not require qualified personnel. This could be done by thousands of civilian volunteers. Those who are now weaving camouflage networks and clearing away the rubble after missile attacks. I hope you won’t argue that there is no way to keep a barrier with balloons in place, securing it to the ground even in strong winds?

But how do you think you can intercept the Shahed UAV, which has a speed of 160 km/h, using a quadcopter whose speed does not exceed 90 km/h? We all know from the history of the Second World War that to intercept a bomber using melee weapons (machine guns), a fighter must have a speed almost twice as fast as the bomber. In general, shooting down the Shahed UAV even with the help of an assault rifle does not seem to be such a big problem (Shahed flies along the same trajectory at the same speed, without even trying to dodge). The problem is that the fighter with the rifle is at the right time and in the right place (on Shahed's flight route). The Russians know this and therefore set Shahed's route in the most unpredictable way. First it flies south, then turns west, then north, and so on. It is very difficult for our air defense forces to guess what the real target of this drone is and thus plan how to counter these drones. The real problem is not how to shoot down a drone (which is not really a problem), but how to detect it in the first place. We need a small and cheap "anti-drone" radar or something like that. By placing hundreds of such radars in populated areas of Ukraine, it would be possible to react much more quickly to changes in the course of drones and successfully coordinate the actions of mobile anti-UAV teams In general, I am surprised that, faced with UAV attacks, Ukraine has not yet adopted the experience of World War 2. When barrage balloons were actively used to combat bombers. We could surround critical infrastructure and cities with such balloons (which should be much smaller than their World War II counterparts, because they must withstand not a large bomber, but a small UAV) with anti-drone networks. This method is much simpler and cheaper than creating high-tech radars.

Yes, for more than six months, frontline doctors have been criticizing the leadership of the ZSU medical forces. Mainly for poor organizational skills, supplies of low-quality tourniquets to the troops, a ban on blood transfusions to doctors without medical education (medics on the front line mostly do not have a medical education)

It's actually Bradley's shooting.

Post translation: The Ukrainian Armed Forces use tactics with master UAVs for FPV. FPV with a heavier charge refers to the mother drone at maximum distance and height. After which the FPV “disappears” and flies towards the target. The mother drone also acts as a repeater. This way the drone saves battery and flies over a longer distance + the weight of the warhead increases.

The Russians note that cases of Ukraine using Tochka-U missiles have become more frequent. Although it was previously believed that the reserves of these missiles had long since run out

An excellent opportunity for Putin to demonstrate that there are free and democratic elections in Russia. And Putin will gladly take advantage of this opportunity. Pro-Putin parties in the West will immediately pick up this theme: “We need Putin in power in Russia. If Putin is gone, outcasts and war criminals like Girkin will come to power in Russia, and then we cannot avoid a third world war.” After the invasion of Ukraine, all of Putin’s permanent “democratic” opponents fled from Russia. Now he has no worthy and more or less well-known opponents for organizing a performance called “Russian presidential elections.” Girkin is one of the few more or less well-known personalities in the West (and of course in Russia). Therefore, he is an ideal opponent for Putin. So I think we'll soon find out about Girkin's pardon or something like that

I am absolutely confident that the West will not launch any nuclear strike in response to Russia’s use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Moreover, he will not even use conventional weapons. I think in this case the West will only increase pressure on Ukraine in order to bring it to the negotiating table with Russia

I don’t care whether it’s true or not that Russia has increased profits from selling oil to the West. I don’t care whether it’s true or not that Russia has found an opportunity to operate its fleet of civilian aircraft. I don’t care what Moscow residents drive or where they fly on vacation. I only care about the fact that Putin has enough money to buy meat for this war and that’s a fact. The only way to defeat Russia is to deprive it of money.

A sobering thread from a pro-Ukrainian Russian, for adherents of “effective sanctions”. ...An old acquaintance from Moscow writes to me, who knows firsthand about the habits and expenses of the upper stratum of metropolitan society (at the same time, he is sober-minded and not a beneficiary of the war): “Moscow has noticeably increased the number of luxury cars. This year’s Range Rover models cost from 300,000 euros and above.” "We flew to Thailand on vacation. Aeroflot, Dreamliner, separate cabins, everything. Boeing sanctions? No, we haven’t heard" “We are flying to Chamonix for New Year’s Eve. As of December 23, all Moscow-Geneva tickets via Istanbul have been sold, the business price is 2 million 700 thousand rubles (27 thousand euros)” Moscow is bursting with money, military orders, and rising oil prices. TC Kolokol XXI writes: “Since the beginning of the SVO in Ukraine, Russia has earned 550 billion euros from the sale of oil and gas. Such data was published by the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air. The EU remains the largest buyer of Russian energy resources. The main buyers are Germany (28 billion euros) , the Netherlands (18 billion euros) and Italy (17 billion euros). After the EU, the list of main buyers is followed by China, which spent more than 143 billion euros for these purposes. In addition, the Russian Federation exports energy resources to India, Turkey and South Korea. Just think about it. Over the course of a year and a half of war, Putin spent about $170 billion on the extermination of Ukrainians. This is three times less than the money he received from trade with the world and in particular from the ever-preoccupied West. You can throw stones at me, claim that everything is really bad, Russia is in a hole, and the current fever is just a blush on the cheeks of a terminally ill person, but in fact, Putin has settled down very comfortably in this hole. While we read with bated breath about the square meters won by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and about the brave landings on the left bank of the Dnieper, the war is going on as scheduled, and just as scheduled, Russian missiles are killing Ukrainian civilians every night. In Russia itself, the flow of people wanting to play Russian roulette during the war is not decreasing, so the authorities can completely do without the drama of a new mobilization; there is enough meat for minced meat from both former mobs and contract soldiers and conscripts. The state defense order is working, Kim and Iran are customizing shells and drones. The United States is distracted by the Middle East, and the calendar is already 2024 and the shadow of Trump hangs over the world (if he doesn’t win, he will definitely shift the aid agenda to Ukraine). And from all sides, from Kyiv, and from Brussels, and from Moscow, serpentine speeches about a dead end and a truce are heard. Everything is going according to plan - a long, decade/s, hybrid world war.”

Yes, despite all the assurances of the West, a paradoxical situation is emerging when Western countries help Russia and not Ukraine. Even more than that, Western countries are reducing aid to Ukraine, while funding for Russia is only increasing.

A very risky method of attack. Considering the high launch altitude and the saturation of the MANPADS battlefield

It is curious how events would have developed if the Ukrainian Armed Forces had attacked Zaporozhye exclusively in bad weather. I think the losses would be significantly lower Lancets have terrible optics. FPV drones also

In this sense, the choice of time of year for the attack does not seem so unfortunate. It is also worth noting that the problem of mines during muddy times is also significantly reduced. Sappers note that the anti-tank mine simply falls into soft ground under the weight of the tank and often does not work

Training of mobile groups - hunters of "Shaheds". It is interesting to note that, as the fighter states in the video, the ZPU-2 anti-aircraft guns on pickup trucks sent by the Czech Republic have thermal imaging sights, which greatly simplifies aiming. Also spotted were pickup trucks with MG-3 machine guns installed in their bodies and, of course, improvised twin installations of Maxim 1910 machine guns.

This is what it looks like when a Shahed UAV is shot down by a mobile group. For the last six months, Russia has been launching long-range strikes on Ukraine exclusively at night (closer to the morning)

However, for all this there is no main thing - the combat capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to carry out these tasks (for a variety of reasons). In their current state, they are simply not able to overcome the echeloned and prepared enemy defense system in this operational direction (I suspect that in others too) with an acceptable and adequate pace and scope. For those who have forgotten, let me remind you that this was the “main” direction in the last summer-autumn campaign of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Therefore, General Zaluzhny is entirely right in his assessment of the general (strategic) situation that has developed, no matter who and no matter what objects to him from among the official (and unofficial as well) representatives of our military-political leadership. General Zaluzhny cannot, in his assessment of the situation, proceed from any considerations other than purely military ones. He, as the Commander-in-Chief, is directly responsible for the planning, organization and practical use of the troops under his command. It makes no sense to him to say black and white or vice versa. He is not a politician, not a businessman. The only thing that can be “discussed” with General Zaluzhny’s point of view is the methods and forms through which, as he believes, it is possible to correct this situation, and regarding the causes and mistakes that led to it. But again, I repeat, this discussion should be non-public and exclusively among those people (officials) who are directly involved in making management decisions at the appropriate level. To organize a farce and “showdowns” in the public information sphere on the topic “what did Zaluzhny mean” or “what did Zelensky mean” means very significantly harming the overall implementation of the war strategy of our state.

Thus, it becomes clear that in order to simply reach the “outer perimeter” of the enemy’s fortifications in the area of the city of Tokmak, in the Rabotino-Tokmak direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ strike group will have to gradually and sequentially solve several extremely complex tasks at once: "break through" the first position in the Novoprokopovka area assault a fortified area in the area of the village Solodka Balka reach second position in the area of. Krasnogorka, expecting at any moment enemy counterattacks on its left flank from its powerful defense area in the village Ocheretuvate break through the second position in the area village Krasnogorka and only after all this - approach the city of Tokmak At the same time, if you act “a little to the right”, on the part of Nesteryanka and Mirny, you will have to: overcome the supply line with the enemy defense area in the village. Mirnoye, which is not even close to comparable to what is equipped in the area. Sweet Balka reach the first position of the main line of defense equipped by the enemy south of the villages of Pobednoe (upper), Ternovatoe, Stepnoe break through it, and the enemy’s fortified positions there cannot be compared with those located in the Rabotino-Tokmak directorate, reaching the Novogorovka-Chistopolye line and only then, reach the “external perimeter” of the enemy’s fortifications in the area of Tokmak through the village Pokrovskoye At first glance, this seems more realistic than the previous option, which was implemented recently in the direction Rabotino - Novoprokopovka and towards the village. Verbovoe. But, as always, there is one “but”. And, well, quite significant. The fact is that the distances that the Ukrainian Armed Forces units will have to travel in the first and second options are completely different. And this is one of the key, if not decisive factors, because it is directly related to time. Distance from the forward positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the area of the village. Novoprokopovka to the outer perimeter of enemy fortifications in the area of Tokmak in a straight line - 18.4 km, at the same time, the same distance from the forward positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the area of the village. Nesteryanka to the outer perimeter of enemy fortifications in the area of Tokmak - almost 26 km. Yes, at first glance, the difference of 8 km is not that big. But it’s not for me to explain to you what today at the tactical level means every “extra” kilometer of advance of your troops on terrain that has been comprehensively prepared by the enemy for a stubborn and long-term defense. Of course, there are several more options for further actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Tokmak direction, in addition to the ones I described above. For example, you can also “turn” towards the city of Pologi (there the distance between the forward positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the enemy fortifications equipped to the west and north of the city is generally less than 10 km). You can shift your efforts to the Vasilievka direction, and in general, there are still options, as they say.