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dan/california

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Everything posted by dan/california

  1. not the first time this quote has been brought up, but it really does seem appropriate.
  2. Since the regular spokesperson gets up and talks in front of cameras multiple times per week their is an approximate infinity of data to work with, unfortunately.
  3. The article is about Mexico, but the first paragraph makes it extremely clear that the lessons from Ukraine are being learned far and wide, not just by the good guys either.
  4. I have several questions/suppositions. Was the control signal from those drones being relayed thru the same recon drone doing the spotting? Was every one of those hits done by the same drone pilot? So his crew had a dozen drones line up for hm to use as fast as he could switch the frequencies? Was there an orbit of drones ready to use,or did they all have fly from the Ukrainian lines after the convoy was spotted?
  5. Yes, but as the Two majors eloquently informed us, dying is a bigger one. One of the overriding lessons of this war is that you can disperse or you can die. It is going to take a total rethink of military doctrine to work thru that. Starting with the elimination of the word and concept convoy. BTW whoever is writing that is disturbingly competent and needs to get on the GUR's list.
  6. The way that mount is vibrating the CEP must be the best part of a kilometer.
  7. Galliotti checks in on the very things we are discussing.
  8. This is the complication with the idea of beating Russia slowly, in a way that doesn't cause it to collapse. The entire system has rebuilt itself to commit to this war. There is zero chance of a course change with Putin in power, and very little chance of one if the is wider regime continuity when Putin leaves. So this is going to go on until Russia obliterates its capacity to function as a coherent state.
  9. It is more spectacular film this way, but I am pretty sure A Bradley's gun can punch through a BTR-82 99% of the time. They would have been just as dead on the inside. You are of course 100% correct, but many Western governments have been very reluctant to explain what that actually means to their populations. Defense spending more or less doubling, more or less forever, real economic cost as we separate from China in critical areas, and, and and... The extent of the problem seems to correlate with how far your capital city is from the Russian border, and to be fair, in Canadas case that is a long way.
  10. Twitter hates me so this is a reddit link of a Ukrainian FPV causing a Russian SPG to vaporize. This is at least one piece of proof that either the Russians are pushing their guns stupidly far forward, or that the Ukrainians have figured both the range issues for both the drones themselves, and the comms links to start hunting Russian artillery at its usual deployment ranges. Or perhaps some level of drone autonomy. If it is happening at scale the Russians won't like it very much.
  11. Perun beats that horse to death, feeds it to a grinder, and then puts whats left in a coke furnace. And those are his nice comments.
  12. The army seems to be committed to a full brigade of Bradley's with Iron Fist as well. Clearly they have decided that Iron Fist is the bet they are making going forward. Somewhere between four and eights shots doesn't seem like enough in the current environment.
  13. This seems to be the most recent news on the Abrams upgrade. They are raising the possibility of unmanned turrets, autoloaders and a different engine. The only thing commit to is in integrated, highly capable APS, and new electronic architecture that makes everything play nice together. They say are aiming for sixty tons, but refuse to commit. Edit: and I agree with Steve they ought to cut bait on the whole thing. It is like planning new battleships in 1939.
  14. Personally I would expand it all the way to Tagenrog Airbase, but that s just me...
  15. https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1796447249628852609 Close up of a supply truck that met an FPV. Really graphic shot of the driver at the end, quit half way if necessary. It also points the problem for mechanized forces that is harder than all the other considerable problems. The supply trucks have to be as well armored and protected as the AFVs.
  16. An extremely unpleasant reminder of why giving up is not even an option for Ukraine. It comes with a side of the UN should just close.
  17. Jack Watling, and some special ops people on drones in Ukraine, and after Ukraine.
  18. The ability to at least disrupt Russian glide bomb attacks is the most immediate question. If the Ukrainians have or will soon get something that can do that it will make a huge difference to both civilians in Kharkiv, and the soldiers defending them.
  19. Unfortunately we don't know when his war is going to stop, or the next one start. My money sadly is longer than we would like on the first question, and far to soon on the second. Who was it that said "Ask me for anything but time"?
  20. In this war that is August, if not sooner.
  21. Two things, 90 plus percent of the drones in Ukraine are just civilian grade stuff the has literally had an RPG warhead with a fiddled fuse taped to it. Spare a thought for the people doing that job. They cost a $1000 or less. If it takes twenty of them to kill an MBT, that is still a war winning exchange. Secondly, the next generation of drones are not going to be hacktivists creative art projects. The are going to be murderous little kamikazes that are purpose built for the task, and have warheads that will punch through any armor that is ever going to move under its own power. Even if they come in a $5000, and takes five of them per tank, it is an exchange rate that will run heavy armor right off the battlefield.
  22. The NYT seems to feel the urge to be useful today. If only it hit them more often...
  23. It was a backwater period, the way it then soared to almost complete world dominance in the course of two or three hundred years is one of histories great discontinuities, perhaps te biggest one since writing.
  24. I think the entire Russian plan assumed that U.S. aid wasn't coming, and then they launched it before they were ready because they were trying to make real gains before the aid showed up. They failed, expensively.
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