Yet

corrosion warfare yay! trench warfare booo! anyone ideas how ukraine can turn the current trenchwarfare (like bakhmut) into a more favourable type of warfare/defence for Ukraine? maybe UA kills more in the current trench warfare, but it still is not favourable because RU can refill the ranks easy. In WW1 we had musterd gas and claykickers. We discussed winter and logistics being unfavourable to RU, but that out of the question: How could UA re-invent trench warfare (or current stalemate defence) to turn it incredibly more into their favour?

he will head on to Kamtjatska, Sachalin or some other outskirt of russia and rename it Putinia, ofcourse he will somehow get/buy/manage/force the blessing of the new leaders which will greatly help the new guys not to fall out of a window.

what everyone missed here is in my opinion the most striking. If the governor is right, and half of the wounded will die due to lack of medicare that is a huge deal! if Wagner officers dont have acces to medicare, who does? now thats really bad (for RU) both in numbers, for morale, and for risks people are willing to take. it really means that WIA = out of action.

sooo.. So the west boils the frog slow enough not to escalate nuclear and to give Moscow time to find an alternative not to shatter into uncontrolled chaos. But boils it fast enough to make it clear that winning the war is not an option. ...thats what you mean?

these Dwagon teef are not weak just because of bad mixing, that cracks concrete long term or under extreme pressure, not delaminate it. probably also not made out of steel, first it would be stupid beyond RU measures as it is expensive, intensive production and anyone who went to secondary school as well as any construction worker can tell that steel expands and shrinks by temperature much more than concrete. also hollow plywood construction and polystyreen are mentioned, but we see armored vehicles 'bumping' over it, not just crushing it as if it never was there at all. my guess is (solid) recycled plastic material which is also being used for street furniture. Covered by and unattached to a way too thin layer of concrete. (possibly ordered by Kinophile's general corruptovic)

the strikes at Engels and Saratov hurt RU, domestic RU support and were sweet for UA morale, as was the attack on the Sebasfleet, mil.airport on Krim and on the Kerch bridge. the bridge unfolded as a serious hit, but i wonder why UA didnt wait with these surprise attacks untill they can totally destroy the target while still having the act of surprise. this hit also hurts, especially short term, but it isnt devastating for RU in terms that that all bombers and facilities are destroyed. And the same counts for the krim airfield and the fleet (and i think that the bridge attack turned out pretty lucky in terms of damage done and duration that it is out of order). also all these attacks have not been called by UA officials. Could it be that there is some kind of half-attached (UA?) team developing drones and hitting with them without direct command from the UA generals?

I really wonder why people are thinking that UR forces would cross the borders with Belarus and/or RU. That would turn RU from Defender into agressor. It would totally change a careful created and maintained narrative. Crossing the borders would be totally dramatic for Western support - not gonna happen.

Thats a good cover-up story! We all know that these will drive up to occupied area, hook up some RU tanks and retrieve them like in old Ukrainian tradition.

hmmm ukraines counter on russias losses is at 89000. We know it is hard to get accurate numbers, but seeing russian situation and mobiks,... i hoped/expected the ratio to be 1:2 or more instead of 1:1

well, lack of food, sleep and most of all warmth really reduces your reaction time. By the time you see pink elephants making a call in a telephonebooth on an empty field, you'll need 15 minutes investigation to find out that your grenaded buddy is not really a dancing chocolate-pie. next to fight, flee and freeze.. there is just the extremely extended time needed to realize what is actually happening (the absence of acute stress).

hello echo-chamber, - if it was an ukrainian (also no NATO) missile, should NATO then wipe the UA? ofcourse not, so no. for a stray missile NATO wont get involved other than maybe increased airdefence, increased borderpresence etc. though it is all speculation: it makes sense that it was a russian rocket that overshot Dobrotvirska target with UA airdefence coming behind. --- Im happy to read 10/10 shakheeds are down. good to hear only 10 were launched, and that all 10 were taken out it shows the improvement in airdefence, and might also shine a light of the future of (dumb/cheap offensive) drones vs airdefence that was discussed earlier. I wonder which systems were used to take what down. --- a no-flyzone has specifics about what cannot fly. May aircraft? rockets? himars? drones? An all-in nofly over whole ukraine might be counterproductive

Given that orcs have tusks it doesnt seem all too far fetched.

replace french with polish and you seem to be up-to-date.

so thats what those riverine boats in last aid package was destined for?!

democracy is not doing what the majority of the people want. democracy is doing what the majority wants while taking the wills of the minority in account. and that is a big difference, which dictators are usually not very good at (other than that most dictators just really tell the people what they have to want). Democracy is more that counting votrs casted in freedom. Shine this light of democracy on a nation and see how much of a 'democracy' that nation really is ;).

what makes you think that RU values soldiers more than material? id assume that the military material, valuables, washingmachines and museumpieces are withdrawn and the (foot)soldiers not.

How much army will be freed up? you guys think that if Kherson is taken, there will be no action from Kherson till Burchak? I agree that rivercrossing will be hard, but i also cant imagine that both sides will de-militarise the Dnjepr banks. The 40 riverine boats that USA and NL are sending are not for fishing. What would UAFs options be along the river when Kherson is liberated?

this is very likely. Belarus is probably partly being used for training the step 2 and step 3 chmobiks as ru needs their trainers at the front (if ru trainers still exist).

think russian, this probably means in russian: we improve our ways of working, and you dont have to be afraid of the enemy. we now work beter together and will easily crush the enemy.

if you start out with UKR claims, about 15% of the numbers noted at the start of the war of the RU army is destroyed. if you half that, its 7%. of course, not all army is deployable in UKR, but still.... there is a whole lot of RU army left. They just dont have the logistics to deploy everything at the same time. As long as Putler is all-in, there is a long way to go.

Erdogan still has a nato veto (or temporisarion) for finland and sweden up his sleeve

RU doesnt have any problem hitting civilian targets. but is there a realistic chance that the appartment and playground hits are off target are just misses to other, more logical targets like powerplants, industry, communications or logistics. With the goal to disrupt the UKR war-economy?