Jump to content

evilcommie

Members
  • Posts

    20
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by evilcommie

  1. 1 hour ago, panzermartin said:

    So, after 2 years the Russians finally found a way to make good use of their airforce. 

    The good thing for them is that the stock of old FABs from the cold war is practically unlimited. (I'm not sure about the gliding kits though)

    I would even use strategic bombers from high altitude to release salvo of guided FABs, each designated a different target. 

    I remember zaluzhny saying that they are at a moment where only a technological leap over the enemy would allow them to break enemy lines. Russians have found their wunderwaffe, mass use of glided bombs. For UKR that weapon could be a competitive airforce. 

    I don't think the f-16 will make that much of a difference.  In fact, I think less than other wunderwaffe's as RU does have pretty robust air denial against aircraft targets. 

    The wunderwaffe's Ukraine have had so far include drones, Javalin, NLAWs, HIMARS,ACTAMS, Patriot, Storm Shadow Leopard 2 , M1 Tanks... sure they did make a impact to Russian operations when they were first introduced, but I really suspect they are running out without replacement.     Once the kill ratio's between UKR and Ru draw closer... I suspect something will collapse and the parties will come to the negation table.

    As much as we people laugh at Russian Arm's production, its probably in a better shape than the what the EU can do.  

     

  2. 1 hour ago, Rokko said:

    Can someone queue me in on the S-200? I wasn't aware that this was some kind of ultra-long range AD system. Why was it seemingly retired without replacement (for engaging targets at that range) and are there comparable Western systems? What I gathered so far is, that S-200s were apparently used as static emplacements (although apparently not in this case), which presumably made them vulnerable.

    The Russians replaced their 5v28 missile used in the s-200 missile system with the 9m82 missile from the s-300 family.

    The s-200 system was really designed to shoot down large bomber aircraft at very long range.

    The 5v28 missile is unwieldy. It weighs almost 8 metric tons , more than the max takeoff weight of a Mig 17 fighter jet and uses some toxic fuel with nitric acid based oxidiser  and also strap on solid fuelled boosters.  I can’t imagine them being easy to maintain and deploy. They probably also take ages to deploy.

    There is no western equivalent system. 


     

     

  3. 38 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    In happier news, seems there's at least some evidence that a power struggle with Putin is well underway.

    https://www.newsweek.com/leaked-fsb-letters-civial-war-putin-allies-prigozhin-kadyrov-1760455

    This comes from the same source that was widely quoted at the beginning of the war.  Many of us thought it seemed like some good creative writing, however Christo Grozev (Bellingcat) vouches for this one (and others) being written by someone who is or was FSB.

    The big fight, coming soon, is between FSB and Prigozhin.  Read the article to see the details of this, but it boils down to Prigozhin coming to the point where he believes he can grab at least regional power for himself.

    Now here is something very timely for this thread.  The source stated:

    Note only a few posts ago sburke posted a new story of terrorist bombings in Moscow:

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/russia-in-flames-at-least-five-dead-as-moscow-rocked-by-explosion-by-major-train-stations/ar-AA14memb?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=a3b4701c62f5485884b4a8d341c3c69d

    Coincidence?  I'm guessing not.

    Then there is Kadyrov.  I think the FSB guy is suggesting that Kadyrov, and others, might not be the first to make a move, but if Prigozhin moves they will likely try to carve out something for themselves.  Kadyrov is pretty much assured of taking Chechnya for his own at any time IMHO.

    Steve

     

    I guess all the internal players in Russia must be preserving their own forces and equipment for a civil war rather than send them to Ukraine. 

  4. 2 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:

    With Russia, it doesn't have to be believable for me to think it could be true ;)

    I wouldn't put it past Wagner to fake these things.  Concrete is expensive on this scale.  I just found an article that said that Russia managed to find a source that was willing to sell them enough to last until 2024, but it's unclear if they've taken delivery.

    In any case, these things are utterly useless.  I already posted my observations about them being easily moved (I move things like this every so often, and it isn't difficult even with 1 person), so they are there for show only.  For sure they aren't dug in and I doubt they used rebar.

    Refreshing my memory about Siegfried Line's dragon teeth reminded me that after the war they had to be blown up because extracting them was too difficult.  And some remain as nobody got around to it.  So, the Germans built them correctly and we know that didn't stop the Allies.  Russia's pointy ones are pretty pointless :)

    Steve

    One thing for sure is a invoice for lots of concrete , sand and rebar for construction of these anti vehicle obstacles was issued and settled.. 

  5. 22 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    The moment of destroying of T-90M near Staryi Saltiv, Kharkiv oblast. UKR civil volunteer Roman Donik, which supply units around Kharkiv, claimed this was a work of 227th TD battalion of 127th TD brigade and the tank was destroyed with Carl Gustav shot

     

    Is it really a M4 hit? Seems more like a Direct HE hit from 120mm mortar or 155 shell? 

  6. We seem to be seeing less UKR drone video these days. I guess the Russian’s with their shortened supply lines and decreased in-competence figured out how to reduce their effectiveness.  Based on the casualty videos that are leaking out. I would think its starting more like a even 1 to 1 trade between the Russian and Ukraine now. 
     

  7. 44 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    I heard a report about this the other day.  Total NATO stocks have many thousands in surplus to send to Ukraine before they have to compromise their own direct needs.  Production of Javelins is something like 2500 a year at the current peacetime run rate.  Which means there are plenty more AT weapons to send to the Ukrainians to take out the exiting Russian vehicles, not to mention the dribble of new production that might leave the factory floor.

    I had not forgotten them :)  I sorta lumped them into the "aircraft" number of 500.

    Steve

    I suspect many NATO countries would want to donate their stockpile of munitions, especially ones close to their “best used before date” so they can justify getting newer stuff.  It’s probably cheaper donating them than having to responsiblely recycle them following current environmental guidelines. Those East german Strella Manpads …..

  8. 15 minutes ago, Fenris said:

    This is motion sickness inducing to watch but it does show a number of tanks being taken out.  Google reckons the caption says "Jewelry work of our artillery on enemy tanks in the area of n.p. Bearded woman. Glory to the Nation!"  Whatever that means.

     

     

    Looks like both MBT’s got hit multiple times but survived . I guess they weren’t empty ERA blocks this time.  The same cannot be said of the BMP2.

  9. 1 hour ago, DesertFox said:

    Javelin hit on BMP

     

     


    I would guess it’s a BMP3 or BMD4 due to the way it cooked off.  Likely the 100mm rounds with combustible case. 
    I would think fully cased rounds such as 30mm rounds cook off more like fire crackers. 

     

  10. I also think the Russians are having a harder time as easy to use ATGM’s have now proliferated to rifle squad level. 
    Previously, squad level AT weapon would be some sort of AT rocket (RPG/Recoilless rifle)  which requires quite a bit of skill to hit a moving target or hull down target. Even if the shot hits, the effect on a MBT would be questionable.

    Now, rifle squad level have access to point and shoot ATGM with top attack, which is are much more likely to hit and knock out a moving MBT with the 1st shot.

  11. 16 minutes ago, panzermartin said:

    I think our government should not be willing to send those. We can't use them against our seller (Russia) Plus we are in constant threat from Erdogan. Last time Turkey did a "mini Putin" in Cyprus, (and still holding north with 40.000 troops) nobody really cared. 

    Thinking more, about it.  How difficulty would it be to hide an S300 battery in Ukraine near the current battle zones.? Isn’t the country relatively flat and open ? I would imagine Russia will having no difficulty finding deployed ones and taking them out with Ballistic or cruise missiles launched from the Black Sea or from Russia itself.   
    Might be better off announcing it, then send in some inflatable ones. 

  12. 58 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    No chance of it happening.  No support here in the US or within NATO.  Great concept, something that theoretically should happen, but going up against a crazy man armed with nukes is really not smart.  If Putin didn't have nukes, this war would have been over last week.

    The best way to get a no-fly zone over Ukraine is to keep sending anti-air weaponry to Ukraine as fast as possible.  Apparently discussions are underway to get S-300 missiles to Ukraine as quickly as possible.

    Steve

    Really? Does NATO really have stocks of S300 sitting around?

  13. 3 hours ago, Fenris said:

    What's with many of the RU AFVs appearing to have the really narrow tracks?  Considering where they're from I would have thought wider tracks would be standard....?

    Design compromises. Many of those narrow tracked AFVs are BMD variants optimised for air mobile operations.  Probably had to fit in a back of an IL-76 and have reasonable internal volume. So make the hull as wide as possible and narrow the tracks.  Also, in order to reduce weight, make the hull out of aluminium. Notice how many burnt out BMD’s literally melted, unlike most BMP’s and BTR’s.  

  14. A few interesting things about the missile is. (although some of guys will probably know this)

     

    - The Russian seem to like beam riding missiles. One stated advantage is that the guidance sensors actually faces the rear toward the launcher, hence its hard to jam ! 

    - The missile has fixed fins that spin the missile. Only 1 fin moves to guide the missile.  

    - Its also interesting to note the missile flight path. I would guess the missile is spun for conical scanning reasons too!

    - Up to 2 tubes can be raised for ripple fire..

    - The 9M123 missile apparently has a version with thermobaric warhead for anti infantry use!

    This seems to tie in with the make the missile cheap so that we can fire many philosophy.

     

    One disadvantage of beam riders is that they are less precise as range increases, but I guess the designed probably made the missile cheap to fire in multiples and the warhead large to knock out any tank with 1 hit anywhere!

     

    One question is ?

    Can the millimeter wave radar beam go through smoke?

     

×
×
  • Create New...