Please don't belittle my opinion because I'm a Canadian or a civilian *son of a soldier though, and did my time in Lahr and Ramstein as a kid*
But I'm with JTMauney on this one. One of the real big problems with issues like this is the fact that the domestic political power plays interfere and cloud the true reality of the reasons for implementation of these systems.
Part-1 Nuclear Super Powers
Do you really think that for even an instant that Russia or any other insanely stockpiled MIRV capable country is concerned by ABMs???!!! It's all posturing on the civilian front. The true reality is it wouldn't mean anything to an ICBM capable power if it was their intent to "flatten" North America over a dispute.
The cold hard fact is that a nuclear detonation in the atmosphere would create enough EMI to make a 100% ABM defence unrealistic. So frankly, anything you hear from politics concerning "The Russians or Super Power X" are concerned by these ABM developments are utter crap with a political agenda.
Part II- Rogue Cruise Missles
This system would be effective only for eliminating threats of dubious quality. AKA Chinese and 3rd World tactical *hehe, the official word for "short range" * nuclear missles.
In other words, it's designed to protect positions in global hot spots where a nuclear cruise missle may be employed in a conflict.
So here's the question you have to ask yourselves.
If you pay close attention to the political chunder heads you voted into power *I admit they run the coutry great, but you have to admit they are utterly incompetent when it comes to defence* it would be painfully obvious they are unwilling to use nuclear weapons unless North America is attacked or their is a nuclear exchange with a NATO member in good standing *Come on, if someone took a nuke potshot at France, would the US really retailate with nuclear force hehe?*
Rogue nations know this.... or may even think this (in case I'm wrong and the US would use nulcear power on a nation that fired a nuclear cruie missle at a troop position, but given how geographically close all those militant US hating nations are, I doubt they would risk it, especially since their would be civilian casualties by the US attack, and in rebuttal, the small nation could say it employed nukes on military targets only, which is another gloabal political powerplay of its own)
So think for a second, if US forces were about to remove some insane militant from power, and he had the chance to prevent this with a tac nuke, would he use it? Maybe, maybe not.... but the point is, if he does, that's gonna be a pretty embarrasing blow.
Forget all the political rhetoric that would insue about "We could have been prepared". Your real concern would be how the other militant nations would be watching. "Wow, Nation X nuked a US ground force and didn't get flattened"
Enter the ABM. It makes employing a tac nuke by a rogue nation a dangerous gamble. More then likely they would second guess the idea, which is exactly what you want. It's not wether the nuke is shot down or the ABM fails that is important, it's wether the Nation has the balls to fire a Tac Nuke. Another dicator bitch slapped by the US wouldn't be anything too dangerous, but a nuke fired by a rogue nation would bring the world into a far more dangerous tension.
Part3- Quick Final Argument
I think I've covered most of the reasons for and why Nuclear super powers wouldn;t really care.
This leaves us developing nuclear super powers such as China.
I'll make it real easy for you. *NewsFlash* Their nuclear arsenal is going to proliefrate reguardless, every country in history has done it, the ABMs simply give them a mock reason for it. Heh, this is probably better then a nuke attack itself by these nations. The chunder heads in office will have a field day with "Cold War part II" and "Brinkmanship-The return". Why is this bad for the scared, finger pointing, clueless civilians in the US? Because the contry will be pratically paralyzed with defensive indecision as this rogue nations meet their agendas in their global locations. Sweet Jesus, people make it sound like the motivation for all countries everywhere is to get the capability to enter into a mutually destructive nuclear war with the US.
Wake Up Please
-Orion
Edit Note: Yeah yeah, my spelling sucks, Im at work and will correct it later. Thank you for your concern.
[This message has been edited by LORD ORION (edited 07-14-2000).]