civdiv

I am reading this via my Kindle Unlimited subscription. Interesting book and good read; I’d be interested in other’s opinions. Especially interesting is the authors discussion of some rare re-use of captured French vehicles by the 21st Panzer Division. Things like the Somua MCG half-track repurposed as a mobile anti tank gun or rocket launcher, or the P-107 conversion for the 20mm anti aircraft gun. Some of you purists will want this equipment in Combat Mission, or maybe it is already there. The MCG anti tank gun varient looks so much like a German half-track maybe I have already seen it in my readings but did not recognize it as a former French vehicle.

Especially interesting as the article claims the industrialization was paid for by wheat, which led to famine in the Ukraine. Kind of topical right now.

Another fascinating thread by Kamil Galeev on Soviet industrialization; Twitter thread unroll; Soviet Industrialization

Interesting video; Peter Zeihan

Another fascinating article and no, I cannot guarantee it’s accuracy; 4th letter from an FSB analyst

Another Twitter thread roll up

Twitter thread roll up on Ukraine/Russia This is a great Twitter thread roll up on the Russian failures in Ukraine and Putin’s current dilemma. I do not think this is political, it is more about tactics, decisions, history, mythology, military rivalry and the current military situation. If mods think it is political then lock it up immediately and then folks can still read it. Please keep politics out of this.

Jim, I recently received your book unfortunately I am reading a couple (or more) books right now. I will get into it in a week or more. I doubt I can receive you the detailed feedback above. Cheers!

Sub 50 meters is not ‘practically point blank’ for someone shooting a pistol and getting shot at. 48 meters is a long pistol shot at about max range against a man sized target. 5-7 meters is point blank, 15 is medium, 25 is long, and 50 is max effective range.

Amazon? I ordered it over a month after you and it shipped the next day.

Sir, as someone else said somewhere, this forum is like a bunch of guys heading to the bar. Sooner or later someone is going to say something that pisses you off (Aaron Rodgers sucks) but they are not taking a swipe at you.

First, I would assume you mean T-34/85. While it was a good tank at the time the first T-34 had a major issue; a two man turret. So could they have crammed everything the Germans regarded as required into a T-34 chassis? Many countries did not go with the Christie suspension because it reduced hull volume. Sloped side armor makes it even more cramped. Now throw a radio in every tank and what else?

The simplest way I can explain it is that with your first choice you have a 33% of picking the right curtain, so the chance is 67% you are wrong. Since your choice is now binary, changing your choice flips the odds. So you aren’t flipping 50/50, you are flipping 33/67.

Sgt, when I was first faced with this problem I was as stubborn as you were on it being 50/50.

Sorry Sgt, this is called ‘The Monty Hall Problem’ and is fairly famous. Wiki has an article on it. Lots of PhDs wrote scathing letters saying the solution was wrong. One had to watch a computer do this problem thousands of times before he admitted he was wrong. The bottom line is that if you switch your choice the only way you lose is if you originally picked the right curtain, which you have a 33% chance of doing.

Ok, let me put it this way. If you switch your choice the only way you lose is if you originally picked the right curtain (33%). If you picked the wrong window at first (67%), when you switch your choice you win 67% of the time. If you do not switch your choice you win 33% of the time.

If you change your choice your chances of winning rises to 67%.

If you switch your choice your chance of winning rises to 67%.

You are wrong as I was when first faced by this one. I had to write it out in a table and my mind still hasn’t quite wrapped itself around this.

We are not talking about Rome invading Carthage. You know this.

Ok, let’s make it relevant. BF hosts a giveaway and the winner get a chance to win CM:WWI with Engine 5. There are three curtains, and you get to pick one, and if a copy of the game is behind the curtain, you win it. So you pick a curtain without opening it. Steve opens another curtain revealing nothing behind it. Steve then gives you the chance of changing your pick. Does changing your pick change your chances of winning a coveted copy of CM:WWI?

I was talking about Round 2, not Round 1 but invading a sovereign country is never the correct or legal option. And you are claiming that Russia invaded the Crimea because the Ukraine was fomenting revolution? Also, the Panama Canal is pretty important to the US; should we just go cease it? I mean, we did build it.

Oops, posted in the wrong forum, sorry!

Many have likely heard of it. You are on a game show. There are three curtains and behind one, there is a prize you win if you select the right curtain. You pick one of the curtains and before the host reveals what is behind it, he opens another curtain and it is empty. The host then gives you the chance to change your pick. Does changing your pick change your odds of winning?

Hypothetically; What would have 1,000 more MECHANICALLY RELIABLE Panthers and 1,000 Pz IV Ausf Js (Or their derivatives such as Jagdpanther and Pz IV based Jagdpanzer IVs) have made? I make these figures up so feel free to argue them. But on the basis of my straw man, how does this effect WWII on the Western and Eastern Fronts? Delays the end by how much, if any? Six months?