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Peregrine

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Posts posted by Peregrine

  1. 20 hours ago, Haiduk said:

    Even wrong clock shows a right time twice for a day. As for me "western values" is that, what was in gold 70-90th. Not this sh...t, like a hate of J.Rowling because she dare to use a word "women" instead "menstruating persons". I don't want to live in such idiotic society

    Portraying this sort of dumb stuff when extreme fringes scream at each other on social media as how normal western society functions is disconnected from reality.

  2. The below is an exert of an ABC News (Australian) story about Wagner. Most of it would not be new to readers of this forum but it did have descriptions of small unit tactics that I hadn't really seen anywhere else. The initial wave of 2 groups of 8 are "new" fighters (prisoners / recruits post conflict start) and the old or professional fighters are those with experience prior to Ukraine. The story isn't overly long but I have pasted the interesting bit below after the link.

    Vladimir Putin needs Yevgeny Prigozhin and his Wagner Group mercenaries in Ukraine more than anyone else.

    "The Ukrainian special forces officer explained to me that the way the Wagner fighters have been operating has been in groups of eight. A team of eight will run, crawl and zigzag towards the Ukrainian line, he said. The team consists of a team leader, a drone operator and six "mules". The mules carry as much ammunition as possible, including rocket propelled grenade launchers and machine guns.

    Once the team of eight advances 20 or 30 metres — if indeed they survive — they then try to dig a trench which will form the beginning of the new Russian frontline. They then try to hide themselves and their weapons in this trench. Then a second wave of Wagner fighters will join them and try to make this trench deeper and longer.

    If they survive and establish this new frontline, then professional Wagner fighters – the "old Wagners" will join them, or, sometimes, professional Russian fighters may take over these new positions."

  3. 26 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    Some Russians have semi-joke conspiracy that "Stalingrad scenario" (collapsed weak flanks and encirclement of main forces inside the city) is a revenge of Shouigu to Prigiozyn. In this vendetta in struggle for (future?) political influence lives of Vanyas don't matter.

    The "lives of Vanyas don't matter" seems to be standard in all situations. No conspiracy there.

  4. 12 hours ago, Haiduk said:

    Tankers had an order completely supress enemy in order to do not allow direct engaging of UKR infantry with Russian entranched infantry, so he received an order from operation commander to crash the enemy by tracks.

    No quite the same but "gamey" similar things happen when playing CM battles (more so WWII).

    My infantry has bled too much it is time to do something risky/stupid with a tank and see what happens.

  5. 2 hours ago, alison said:

    I am curious to find out what exactly the AFU is lacking right now that would allow them to turn the current situation into "decisive results". Maybe the first point is to define what "decisive results" means. Let's say it means getting back to February 2022 borders during the summer campaign of 2023. What kinds of military assets are a) not existing in Ukraine right now, b) able to be delivered immediately from the West, and c) can immediately be put into service in order to achieve these results?

    NATO would have had an air campaign that if successful would have been unrelenting and hideous for those on the ground. The interdiction that would have happened after this would have been super ugly.

    When Ukraine won land battles outside Kyiv, then Kherson, Kharkiv that resulted in significant withdrawals the Ukrainians didn't have the interdiction capabilities to turn these wins into routes or multiply the casualties many fold with Falaise or Highway of Death style violence. I suspect they may still not have them and any delays to the expected offensives will be to make sure as much of this capacity is available.

    None of these assets are immediately available in a volume that would make a significant difference in terms of air power. ATACMS would be something that is in the ballpark but I don't really understand it's effectiveness in this context well.

    More tanks as well. Difficult to judge but at times the impression exists that Russian AT defense is inconsistent.

     

  6. 3 hours ago, Seminole said:

     How is it ‘misinformation’ to cite this analysis?

    They are a graphs with numbers. Analysis would be explaining why at different times the population increased and decreased.

    At no point on any of those graphs was Ukraine a country not at war with a democratic government with corruption trending downwards.

    And if that is analysis it basically saying a median estimate is the Ukrainian population is heading towards 20 million. Great news for the taxpayer as you can basically start dismantling schools, hospitals and infrastructure now.

  7. 4 hours ago, ftukfgufyrdy said:

    Yeah I just chatted with my friend about this and told him about using breaching teams in CMBS. He's a royal engineer commando and told me that his unit had just finished a recent training where they rigged a building to blow when the enemy comes in to occupy it. 

    Opposite but similar from Australian engineers. One of my brothers friends said he lost count of how many times he "died" practicing disarming buildings rigged in various way. He said it was a little dispiriting.

  8. 14 minutes ago, Sequoia said:

    Just a thought. We're thinking Xi is going to make the best move for China. We saw a year ago a supposedly shrewd dictator make a disastrous move for his country, and have blamed it on Putin surrounding himself by yes men after many years of accumulating power. How certain are we Xi isn't prone to the same flaw?

    Xi is starting to look the same in many ways. He is now looking like leader for life when he probably shouldn't be. Strong vote result in his favor, 2952 - 0.

    The ruling party is littered with loyalists. Personal loyalty is the most important trait. Competence is left by the wayside. No contest of ideas.

    At the same time they are repeating the same mistakes dictatorships everywhere make. Manufacturing internal and external enemies even when they don't really exist. Do this often enough and it becomes reality that is acted upon.

    Only problem for the rest of the world is that when they go nuts internally or externally 1.4 billion people will be involved.

  9. 1 hour ago, Kinophile said:

    Oh its dirty,  I can assure you. I know for a fact the local kids have been pissing on that stone for decades. 

    For a fact, ladies. 

    I have been to Ireland (from Australia) and later when I started with a bunch of Irish guys told them about my trip the first thing the locals from County Cork said was "FFS, please tell me you didn't kiss the stone." for the above reasons.

    Right of passage in the area apparently.

  10. 15 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    The defense industry elites are happy, of course, but they are a small percentage of the total power structure.

    It sort of makes sense that seeing their things go boom should produce more money but if defense spending is linked to GDP (sort of) in the manner Western leaders speak of it then defense spending is a part of the overall economy as well and fluctuates in line with that. I started to spend a little time to quantify this but bailed as it was going to take too long but even a quick glance it is hard to see any trends.

  11. 6 minutes ago, chrisl said:

    The thing that should really be bumming Russia out is the quality of the video.  That's high quality, sharp, no rolling shutter distortion, and enough bandwidth to get it in realtime halfway around the world.

    Unless your the pilot. Then you have a great vid of yourself smashing 30 million dollars worth of someone else stuff then walking away with a shrug.*

    * Barring any damage to your jet.

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