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_Morpheus_

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    21 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    "So, this is a disaster... there very big chances we are witnesses of final days or even hours of Zelenskiy regime, because I can't undertsand how any country can survive  under such heavy pressure".

    ROFL. Author  of this video is obviuos vatnik. 

    Haiduk, don't bother yourself to answering on his comments, he is like an author of that video. Just take a look on his posts in other topics:

     

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by _Morpheus_

    18 minutes ago, danfrodo said:

    I'm still wondering what the cost-benefit looks like from UKR perspective for fighting around Bakhmut.  Aint much there worth taking and at this point it doesn't have much morale or propaganda value, IMO.  So I am assuming it's an operation where UKR believes it's destroying or at least fixing RU units for relatively low cost. 

    Which also reminds about something else I am thinking about: if UKR is significantly reducing RU artillery then at some point UKR needs to attack in enough locations such that RU can't cover all those areas, leading to some local collapses/retreats.  But when will UKR feel like it's time to do that?

    IMHO: Longer russians are staying on the occupied positions, better positions they will have. Take a look how much mines/tranches russians prepare in Zaporizhia, so Bakhmut should not have so many minefields around it. Actually they were able to attack on the 3 km long front and push for 2 km, it would be really hard to do in Zaporizhia for example.

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, panzermartin said:

    Please laugh if this makes you less anxious about Russia invading Netherlands 😅

    Please read again my post. "Went deeper in Western Europe". That's quite different than a war on their western border. 

    But the truth is Berlin and Paris saw russian soldiers in their streets only after Germans and French tried to march in Moscow.

     

     

    Ok, let be fair. 
    `truth is Berlin and Paris saw russian soldiers` - that happen only because non russians (Ukrainians, Belarusian and others) fought on the russian side.

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by _Morpheus_

    38 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    First, because the plotters have to convince these guys to leave Russia without much fuss and offering Belarus (a Russian speaking neighbor) is more likely to achieve that than Uganda.  Second, the distance to Moscow is not relevant because they've been neutered in number and status.  Third, being in Belarus gives them a legitimate purpose inline with their core ethos, which is to protect Russia's interests.  Fourth, they very well might go to Uganda, Syria, Congo, or somewhere else AFTER they go to Belarus.  The point is to get them out of Russia NOW, worry about the details later.

    There are a lot of unclear, but the main question for me is Belarus - really ?

    • I could bet that most of the Belarus population don't want to get tens of thousands criminals with military experience and weapon close to their houses.
    • lukashenko must have a plan for the wagner, otherwise he need to create one fast
    • We saw a lot of examples where putin enemies died in Europe, does prigozin think he is safe in Belarus ?
    • there is definitely some agreement, may be not between all, but may be separate ones between  lukashenko - prigozin and prigozin - putin.

    And now my theory: lukashenko see that he don't have much support from his military block - they did not participate in war (I could bet putin asked for that), so he need somebody to protect him and allow to transfer the power to somebody without the coup. prigozin will be able to get money/power in Belarus with support of the lukashenko and at the same time help putin not to lose the Belarus (prigozin was not against the putin).
     

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    On 6/18/2023 at 12:05 AM, Battlefront.com said:

    Unusual to see drone video of AGL shots pummeling infantry positions.  Interesting to note a couple of times we saw what looked to be direct hits but the Russians there weren't incapacitated. Though for sure many were wounded and it appears at least a couple KIA, most probably from AGL hits.

    Steve

    Part #2

     

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