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Doc844

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  1. Ooh before I forget, couple of things, I didn't want to comment on these earlier because I was way behind the thread. Bayonets. Bayonet drill is still very much taught in the British military, well in all infantry units it is. Firstly its a good beasting, erm sorry not allowed to use that term anymore. It's a good exhaustion exercise. It is absolutely knackering but you are expected to keep your tempo and aggression levels up all the way through it. It is also a good way to teach controlled aggression, to keep awareness even while your knackered and slavering like a wild dog. Lastly its bloody good fun. In general, I would rather have than have not, as someone previously stated, bayonets don't run out of ammo. Also what may not be quite well known is that the British bayonet can also be used as wire cutters. How cool is that, you can either kill someone with it or cut fences.
  2. Just a quick fly by in regards to the strikes in Crimea. I've been following along intermittently just lately, work sucks at times, some days I have to bash through 10 pages or more just to get caught up. My overall gut feeling is that things are starting to feel more loose, both in the North and south, the RA is creaking and groaning and doing slap dash fixes where it can. So this massive step up of long range strikes has been planned and timed very well and is acting as a stressor to overload the RAs already terrible command and control. I don't think it is primarily about degrading assets in Crimea to help further down the road, its as I stated more about adding more problems on top of what the RA C&C already cant deal with. I would not be surprised if we see something really break on the RA defensive line in the next week or so and I mean REALLY break. The timing of all these strikes is just to specific. Thoughts?
  3. In regards to Prigs coup there is one play that hasn't been mentioned yet. The possibility that Prig expected Putin to be dead or imprisoned. So he took Rostov, then a column of wagner went on their thunder run to Moscow. Maybe his co-conspiritors had promised that Putin would be out of the picture by then, but Putin exited stage left and fled to his bunker and they missed their chance. Then they all lost their bottle.
  4. Did not see this curveball coming. So Prig basically gives Putin a political slap, like back of the hand slap, in front of the whole world, is on the verge of 'winning' then says, only joking. This smells rotten. Plus why would Lukashenko broker a deal that basically puts Prig on his couch. A man who is hanging onto power literally invites the whole pack of wolves in to his house, nope, doesn't make sense. This thing, whatever it is now still has some yards to run .
  5. One over riding principle however you look at this in regards to Prig. In an autocratic dictatorship you don't get to challenge/embarress the top dog in full view of the world and get to keep your head. This is now game of thrones quote time, "when you play the game of thrones, you win or you die". I love the Tolkien and LOTR but felt this was more appropriate.
  6. That is some scary *** section battle drills. I would be more worried about getting shot by my own side.
  7. An old pro here, *cough*16 years *cough* since I had my uniform on. Time flies. We were always taught grenade or grenades, then straight in, over battlesights, single shots, one left, one right, sweep arcs, third man down the middle. All dependant of size and what your assaulting obviously. Good example is the video of the grenadier guards in Helmand. However we did know of an excellent way of clearing bunkers that were tight, confined with little airflow. Smoke grenades. Bang one of them in and I can honestly say from experience that you can not breath, instant oxygen deprivation. You will either come running out with your lungs screaming or stay inside and be incapacitated to some degree. Very effective.
  8. Is it just me or is anyone else noticing an uptick in guerilla activity just recently.
  9. Some people on here will have probably see this already but for those that haven't its worth a watch. The 'operations room' on you tube, Desert storm, the air war. I found it massively interesting, the planning, the thousands of moving parts and some of the off the wall ideas that they used. Kinda gives you an idea on the undertaking that would be required in Ukraine.
  10. Hmmm let russia do what it wants in Ukraine to avoid a bigger war. Really. Quick history lesson. "Peace in our time" 1938. Appeasement of Mr Adolf, fast forward 7 years, 60 million dead. Whoooops. And I'm not being flippant, just flabbergasted.
  11. Im tired (night shift) but did you just call me a right wing looney????
  12. But it's not about the payoff as in number of deaths, its about vulnerability. Not being safe in your garden, office, home and there's no real defence against it that I can see. Also just because it hasn't been done yet doesn't mean it won't be.
  13. Lots of interesting discussions and info to chew through. Been playing catching up due to work stuff. one thing that has struck me and not been mentioned in regards to drones is the civilian/terrorist sphere. This war is showing what can be done with drones, whether it be military spec or someone with a bit of botch tape and plasti-cuffs. So what happens when some one decides that going all AR 15 in a school, sorry America, and dieing for it, decides to stick some homemade explosives to a drone and goes all drone bomber in a residential area. Or even worse a terrorist organisation does it, multiple targets, maximum terror. How do governments protect against that, prevent it. I know its off topic but this war has brought into stark contrast how much damage can be done with a simple drone. Also there was a post about miniature drones being used in mass swarms to target individual soldiers, like 10000 to 15000 drones in a swarm. This was actually written in a book I just recently read, Counter Strike by Dan Bruns. It is about a Chinese blitz attack on Taiwan and the only way it can be stopped is for the American President to authorise the use of hunter killer drones, in the book 15000 Chinese soldiers simply just die. Scary sh*t. Books not great but kills time when ur off shift on a rig. As for the coming UKR offensive there are 2 thoughts that keep niggling away in the back of my head. Firstly in regards to equipment, how it seems to be dribs and drabs coming in. Units are still training, won't be ready in time etc. But I keep thinking of how Ukraine and the West played it with other heavy gear, ie tubed arty and Himars. The US/West said they were getting them however everyone gave timelines of training, but it turned out they had already been doing it for months and they were active pretty much from the get go. So, it worked then so why not this time. Tell it loud and the Russians will hear it and believe it because they want to. When the offensive starts 2 or 3 brigades may well be ready to go. This leads me to the second point. Ukraine psyops have been excellent from the very beginning, whether it be official news or through the use of social media. So they aren't going to be suddenly bad at it. So all the conflicting reports just now may well be the start of the shaping phase of the offensive. Send out contradictory reports, not enough arty, need more ammo, the attack won't start until May-june etc. This then becomes a lot of info for the Russians to sift through to try and formulate a picture and a plan, and I say plan very loosely. When the offensive gets going I think its going to be a bit of an eye opener. Just my thoughts after 16 days of 12 hour shifts with another few to do. Hope you get the jist of what I'm driving at but I am pretty tired.
  14. In regards to the kerch bridge I couldnt decide for myself between truck bomb or missile. However on watching the video taken from the CCTV capture backwards and forwards lots of times I'm more and more coming down on the side of missile. A few points of why, firstly at point of detonation, to me the explosion looks like it comes from behind where the truck was last seen and when you crawl the video forward it seems as though it was to the right rear, on the edge of the frame. This made me think that if it was a missile, it clips the edge of the right hand lane, detonates but it looks like alot of the explosive force is directed into the water, hence all the water that comes back and over the bridge, blown their by the strong wind. If the missile had struck the middle of the road then I would think alot of the back blast of water would be deflected back down and/or would also force it's way up between the lanes, but what is seen is that it all comes from the right of the road. Plus, because the missile may have just clipped the edge then this would explain the lack of major cratering or dismantling of the road surface. Just to emphasise, I am in no way an explosives or bridge expert although I have seen plenty of the first, but taking into account directions, angles of after spray of water and damage done this makes more sense to me. As for truck bomb, my knee jerk gut reaction is no and the angles of the explosion and back blast, especially the water movement just reinforce that. Just my musings on it.
  15. Wow, that took some effort to catch up and what a time to do it, just as the kerch bridge gets smacked. However although I'm liking all the theories of what did it, everyone has overlooked the main reason for all major russian mishaps in this war. The extremely dangerous and explody act of smoking. The smokers done it again, dropped his fag in the truck, rolled under the seat, set fire to highly flammable cheap chinese foam padding which then caused 152mm ammo to explode and blew up the bridge. Case solved, call me Sherlock not Shirley.
  16. I'm way behind on this thread again, work can suck at times, only on page 1485, but wanted to chip my 2 pence worth in on nukes and use of. One thing to remember is that as people get older they move more away from the 'me' to their kids but even more importantly their grandkids. They are their future, our future and humans are hardwired to that as part of the perpetuation of the species. So yes you may have the man at the top, ala, Mr Putlin who may or may not give a ****, all is lost I'm gonna go the way of Hitler and take everyone with me. But I can guarentee that most under him and even more so those who are further away from the levers of power do not agree and want a future for their families and relatives. I strongly believe that if Putlin decides to drop a nuke there is a very high probability, even inevitability that someone will vacate his brain from his skull. If I recall correctly what I stated above was one of the main reasons why Kruschev de-escalated and brought the world back from the brink. Not saying that this position should be used as a hail Mary plan but I could see that being the way it would pan out. Putlin - "**** the west, they ruined my glorious plan, **** Ukraine they didnt roll over and die, press the red button". Loud bang and the next thing he sees is Lucifer standing with a big grin saying welcome.
  17. So the war has ben going for 5 months and in that time Putler must have been able to put 2 and 2 together by now. My army is not what I thought it was or told it was. My navy is a waste of money, except maybe the submarine arm. My airforce cant even accomplish its primary task. So maybe, just maybe I had better find out the truth of whether or not my nuclear forces are in the state that the paper reports say they are. There is a possibility that the answer he has received is, nyet comrade, a large portion of our nuclear forces are in the sh*tter, we could do some damage but we would be f*cked and all the world would see it and as said by others I would imagine that US/nato intelligence are doing their damndest to find this info out. Putler may even think that Nato already know the state of their readiness. Food for thought.
  18. Interesting that quite a few news sites are stating that Putlin is heading to Iran for face to face meetings with Khameni. Seems a dangerous time politically to leave the country, many a leader have been deposed when out of the country, especially autocratic ones. Anyone have any further info on this?
  19. Apologies if this has been replied to, still catching up on the last few pages, work can be so awkward at times . Now I'm not saying that Western Intel, political leadership were astute enough at the time but I'm going to say it anyway. But it may be possible that Russians build up to how it was going to deal with Ukraine were becoming more prominent/realistic possibilities, so the US had to re-orientate sooner rather than later to be able to counter the threat. Still being tangled in that mess which for me was unwinnible from Western standards would have severely degraded how America could respond. So the decision was made to cut losses and pull out, pretty **** deal for Afghanistan but the coalition could have stayed, my country included (UK), for another 20 years and still not made much of a difference except more blood and money spent for little gain. Just my 2 cents but worth thinking about.
  20. For me I think people are looking to much in to this, 'the Ukraine' 'the Russia's thing in regards to territories and what not. It's more to do with context and how it rolls off the tongue and how it sounds in a sentence. For instance, 'we are going to the Germany' doesnt sound right, where as 'we are going to the Ukraine' does sound right. 'We are going to the Belgium' 'we are going to the Seychelles' which one sounds right and for me it's as simple as that. No point over complicating things which just dont exist.
  21. The situation of Belarus is very intriguing, a country that has had the snot kicked out of it for the last century, mainly by the Nazis and the USSR. Now it finds itself in a position where 1, it could realistically oust Lukashenko, his pay master has alot on his plate just now. 2, it could at the same time determine the fate of Putin and Russia as a nation, close the back door and the northern russian cough 'offensive' cough, falls apart. This may be their best chance to finally be their own country.
  22. Maybe Russian generals should have studied how the U.S. and its allies managed the logistics of iraq and afghan. That was a massive undertaking, I saw both with my own eyes and that was in countries that were no where near as hostile as Ukraine and did not have anywhere near peer equipment or training. As people have previously said everyone loves the cool shiny gear, we used to, we would always nick cool gadgets if we had the chance. But the logistics is what wins battles. Hell the main reason the allies push across france into germany came to a standstill was because of logistics. The unsung heroes of any effective military force are the logistics arm.
  23. In reference to Ukraine's counter offensive, the main news broadcasters havent mentioned a thing about this, not totally surprised to be honest. Has it been verified by any other sources yet Edit. I did find a mention of it on Ukraine Media https://uacrisis.org/en/day-20-of-war-ukraine-on-counter-attack-russia-quits-council-of-europe-ukraine-russia-talks-to-continue
  24. Or they could use their reserve forces to take over the line and redeploy their regular forces elsewhere?
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