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Kinophile

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  1. Thanks
    Kinophile got a reaction from Vanir Ausf B in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The line for navalnys funeral keeps growing. I doubt the police will let everything go off without a hitch. 
  2. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Maciej Zwolinski in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    They are not emaciated, and they should not be.  Poland was willing to transfer a very significant part of our military equipment, accept a huge number of refugees, pay for Starlink terminals, act as one of the most active diplomatic supporters of the Ukraine, etc. We even took an Ukrainian SAM which killed 2 Poles and desperately tried to pretend it was Russian missile until we could not pretend anymore. But why gut a significant part of agricultural industry? That is unnecessary and a step too far.
    Especially since - as far as we know - in the Ukraine the grain export is a business of equally not emaciated and well nutritioned oligarchs and multinationals, who would like to make a better margin through cutting transportation costs and dumping the goods immediately after crossing the border. That is not a very appealing cause.
  3. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    @Haiduk @Grigbet al
     
  4. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The BSF really has failed in its primary mission - war time domination of the Black Sea. 
     
  5. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The BSF really has failed in its primary mission - war time domination of the Black Sea. 
     
  6. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The BSF really has failed in its primary mission - war time domination of the Black Sea. 
     
  7. Like
    Kinophile reacted to Sojourner in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    He seems to have overlooked the fact that Russia also shipped vital weapons off to Ukraine and is in more far worse shape today than it was before the war in Ukraine.
  8. Like
    Kinophile reacted to MikeyD in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So Putin talks about 'DeNazification' and Tucker's response was 'Hey, I take that personally!'
  9. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Zelensky is sticking by 13... Still, some proofs would be preferred. 
     
  10. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Omnomnomnom
  11. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Zelensky is sticking by 13... Still, some proofs would be preferred. 
     
  12. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Omnomnomnom
  13. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That bit is pretty uncontroversial; imposing a sanctions regime means that theoretically no goods or services or money goes in to the target country and nothing (again, ideally) comes out. So the US loses a market for its exports, and also loses a source of cheap or otherwise desirable imports. That's at the very least disruptive, and likely to cause at least some damage in terms of missed opportunities. For example, take the economic pain and disruption a couple of winters ago when Germany abruptly stopped importing Russian gas.
    The gamble/assumption is that "your" economy can handle the disruption, and "theirs" cannot.
    Now, whether that is "really" hurting the US economy ... well, I mean, it's Swanson McNear. He couldn't tell you the current weather or the time right now without putting some dishonest spin on it.
    "Sure, it's sunny outside but it's going to rain this afternoon because Biden is old" or "it's just turned 11am but in only a few weeks it'll be midday - lunchtime! - when the Democrat's con of daylight savings starts! Having lunch while it's still the morning makes no sense!"
  14. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think even with just 5 confirmed, we can count this as Sukhoi February.
    (Sukhoi mans dry).
  15. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    dumbest he ever heard eh?  Guess he doesn't listen to his own broadcasts.
  16. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    11 th! 
    This is nuts. 
     
  17. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from rocketman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    11 th! 
    This is nuts. 
     
  18. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from rocketman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  19. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    You can recall dozens Russian planes and choppers, which were "shot down" in first several months. Indeed these were either "morale boosting", or mistaken reports (target just dissapeared from radars for many reasons, but crew reported about downing), or it could be E95M aerial target jet drone, which Russia actively used during first months as false targets and our radar crews could think they lock on real aircraft or cruise missile and then to report about downing, or it could by cruise missiles. So, from there is derived "340 destroyed planes", but in real in five times less.  
  20. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I doubt this is real number. 
    Now we have next: 
     - two confirmed Su-35 and A-50U from Russian side
    - the video of falling down unknown combat aircraft near Dyakove (presumably Su-34, this is mathes with COSPAS information about eject signal from this area - Su-35 was shot down significantly west from this place)
    - COSPAS ejection marks on the map allegedly from three Su-34 (including the one, mentioning above)
    - bad quality of something falling down on the screen of some SAM (StarStreak?) claimed as Su-34
    - just a claims of shot down jets. 
    So, we have 3 100 % confirmed, 2 with high probability confirmed, 2 allegedly confirmed by COSPAS marks and rest 4 just unverified claims
     
  21. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    11 th! 
    This is nuts. 
     
  22. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    11 th! 
    This is nuts. 
     
  23. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    11 th! 
    This is nuts. 
     
  24. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  25. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I posted previously about Japan promising aid. Well they came through in nicely timely fashion. Norway too! 
     
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