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Der Zeitgeist

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Posts posted by Der Zeitgeist

  1. 18 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    Official information about today's Kinzhal strike. It was directed not against Kyiv, but to strike Kolomyya airfield in Ivano-Frankivsk oblast, western Ukraine. Since 2004 this airfield was inactive and only during 2014-2016 it was restored as reserve airfield. It has tough conrete bunkers for aircraft. 

    Four Kinzhals were launched, probably at least two of them entered in Ukrainain airspace from north of Kyiv oblast and turned out in range of Patriot. Real laucnhes were accompanied with active EW imitations of false launches. One missile was shot down, I heard four explosions (2 missile at each Kinzhal), so likely we couldn't hit the second missile and it could broke through. 

    Fascinating. This may have been one of the first (maybe even the first) real midcourse ballistic missile shootdown in the history of warfare.

  2. Various German news media are reporting that providing KEPD Taurus to Ukraine is now seriously being considered by the German government.

    One question seems to be the option of "geoblocking" Russian territory for the missiles, which is currently discussed with the German industry.

    If this is true, this obviously raises the question if this includes Crimea. Have there been any confirmed Storm Shadow strikes on Crimean territory so far? I'm wondering what the "unofficial", "internal" definition of Russian territory for Western governments is right now...

  3. 1 hour ago, Carolus said:

    - the biggest differences can be found in deliveries from the USA and Western Europoean countries: only about 50% of pledged weapons and equipment actually has arrived in Ukraine

    - the smallest difference can be found in deliveries from Eastern European countries: about 80% of pledged weapons and equipment has actually arrived

    That's not surprising.

    US & Western Europe sent a lot of equipment that needs extensive training and preparation before it can be shipped, so the time between announcing a particular system for Ukraine and delivering it will be quite high.

    Eastern Europe sent a lot of former Soviet equipment that needs little or no training, so deliveries can be done much faster.

  4. 10 minutes ago, dan/california said:

    If this is real, and I assume some combination of NATO, and Ukrainian intelligence can check fairly well, this is the monment for Ukraine to PUSH IT. The Russians will never be more distracted than they are right now. It might also be the moment for all the deep fakes and other methods of issuing false orders to Russian units I suspect Ukraine has been working on. I am pretty sure they have been working on a lot of that.

    It's all coming together.

    • NATO reinforcements flowing into Europe for BALTOPS and Air Defender 23 as deterrence in case things get crazy in Moscow during the counteroffensive.
    • Things actually going crazy in Russia during the counteroffensive.
    • The offensive itself switching into high-gear.
  5. 4 minutes ago, kraze said:

    Phone/tablet screens are to small. Awareness and feeling where you are (as a drone) is much better when it's full view. Hence why such an insane precision with them. Furthermore if it's two cameras - that's a 3D image which allows you discern details even better.

    Aha, so it's true 3D, that makes sense, thanks!

  6. 9 hours ago, Billy Ringo said:

    I remember seeing one and it ended up being questionable, but I'm sure it has happened.  Got a link to any of those?

    It's very difficult to search for these because the results get drowned out by the huge majority of Russian war crimes. One would probably have to go through various pro-Russian Telegram channels. What I remember was the questionable case of the shooting you mentioned, then a case where Ukrainians were kneecapping a group of Russian prisoners, plus the one where a group of Russian soldiers was filmed bleeding out on a road with their throats slit.

    My initial point wasn't so much about how many of these cases exist, but more how each of them were amplified by Russian social media. So it's quite conceivable that some Russian soldiers truly believe they risk mistreatment or a gruesome death when captured.

  7. 1 hour ago, Butschi said:

     Is propaganda telling them the Ukrainians will shoot them or worse if they surrender? I remember there was a returned volunteer on German TV who said he'd witnessed instances of POWs being executed but that's just anecdotic evidence. 

    Not just anecdotal. There were a number of videos showing mistreatment or outright execution of Russian POWs by Ukrainian soldiers. It's nowhere near the amount of crimes we saw from the other side, but there were still a number of documented incidents.

  8. 28 minutes ago, Anon052 said:

    My question to those more knowledgable than me. How many of those radars are in a single IRIS-T SLS system? One? Does the loss of the radar take the entire system out of the game?

    A single IRIS-T SLM system normally contains one radar, a command van and several launchers (should be 3-4 in Ukraine's case). Ukraine received 2 systems so far (with several more in the pipeline), each with one TRML-4D radar. As far as we know, there was one additional radar delivered, with up to 6 more in the pipeline.

    So they should have one spare radar at the moment.

  9. 1 minute ago, The_MonkeyKing said:

    Napkin math says the missile was launched over >10km away. Not much to do than take the hit while in contested airspace and on the offensive in that terrain.

    Depending on where the helicopters are based, maybe Ukraine can get some hits in there. They probably don't have too many of these upgraded KA-52s.

  10. 9 minutes ago, Butschi said:

    There are faithful on both sides, so this cuts both ways.

    I find people who tell me the offensive has failed already because Ukraine has taken some losses and there has been no break through on day 1 about as bewildering as people from the "Ukrainians are tactical genius uber soldiers, now invincible with NATO wonder weapons, Russia already lost, lol" meme show, who now tell people how stupid they are because such things take time and sacrifice.

    Deliberately exaggerating, no offence meant to anyone here.

    +1

    To be honest, I'm getting really tired of these braindead "NAFO" shills on social media who are making any realistic discussion about the war increasingly impossible without blocking dozens of people first. 

  11. 1 hour ago, Haiduk said:

    Three hours ago Russians launched several Kalibr missiles from Black Sea. Two impacts in Uman' city, Cherkasy oblast. 8 wounded. Local administration says some industrial object and сar wash were hit. Russians claim "large ammunition warehouses were destroyed" %)

    АТБ on the video is a network of cheap supermarkets in Ukraine. 

    Doesn't look like a car wash to me.

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