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Seedorf81

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  1. Like
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from OBJ in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Thanks for your honesty.
    I understand that there may be some difference in the interpretation of what "woke" is. I for one do not have a clue where something is woke or not, but it seemed to me the guy in this video meant that (he says so in his conclusion) giving less qualified (in physical and mental, motivational and intellectuel and yes, also gender-related area's) people more chances than better qualified persons, is "woke". And does not seem to work in the long run.
    A friend of mine followed a one and a have year long computer/office-training programme. At the end of that course a job at a municipality department was available, and from the thirty graduates about ten or twelve of them wanted that job.
    They gave the job to the least capable person, because they wanted a woman with an "emigrational background". That didn't make the other applicants very happy. I found out that she had scored by far the lowest on all tests/exams from all students (I never told my friend about that), and for some years I had to have an occasional business-like contact with that women and really, she was incompetent. Not only because she didn't understand relevant parts of the Dutch language, but she was unneccessary rude, and didn't really knew how to use the computersoftware.
    I never understood why they gave her that job, and not to one of the (much) more qualified applicants. It was, like a said, municipal job, so except for annoying people and slowing down things, no harm was done. But I think that in an Army it is vital to choose people that are the most capable if available.
    I think that has more to do with common sense than with being woke or racist or mysogynistic or intolerant.
     
  2. Like
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from Splinty in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Thanks for your honesty.
    I understand that there may be some difference in the interpretation of what "woke" is. I for one do not have a clue where something is woke or not, but it seemed to me the guy in this video meant that (he says so in his conclusion) giving less qualified (in physical and mental, motivational and intellectuel and yes, also gender-related area's) people more chances than better qualified persons, is "woke". And does not seem to work in the long run.
    A friend of mine followed a one and a have year long computer/office-training programme. At the end of that course a job at a municipality department was available, and from the thirty graduates about ten or twelve of them wanted that job.
    They gave the job to the least capable person, because they wanted a woman with an "emigrational background". That didn't make the other applicants very happy. I found out that she had scored by far the lowest on all tests/exams from all students (I never told my friend about that), and for some years I had to have an occasional business-like contact with that women and really, she was incompetent. Not only because she didn't understand relevant parts of the Dutch language, but she was unneccessary rude, and didn't really knew how to use the computersoftware.
    I never understood why they gave her that job, and not to one of the (much) more qualified applicants. It was, like a said, municipal job, so except for annoying people and slowing down things, no harm was done. But I think that in an Army it is vital to choose people that are the most capable if available.
    I think that has more to do with common sense than with being woke or racist or mysogynistic or intolerant.
     
  3. Thanks
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from fireship4 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Attempt to change direction of thread..
    Way back we discussed the striking difference between amounts of Russian soldiers coming from big cities (almost none) and those from rural area's (loads).
    And I stumbled on this surprising video from a guy who checked out British Army demographics and recruitment-issues.
    Do not be fooled by the title of his video, this is not a crazy rightwing nutcase or woke-hating dumbass.
    His research and investigation are quite factual as far as I can see, and the title of his video is based on the fact that the UK government and Army for years and years tried to make the Army as inclusive as possible by making it easier for women, LBTH, minorities etc, ("Woke influence") to join up, but he discovered that it did NOT work out as planned. And partially because of that, the British army has huge problems with getting enough recruits/volunteers.
    My understanding is that this problem is also playing up in the Netherlands, and I suspect in more West-European countries. (No idea if it is a problem in the USA). It has a possible profound effect on the near-future strenght of (some) Nato-countries. Which connects this issue directly to the Ukraine-Russo war, because of escalatory possibilities.
    If you do think his conclusions are unjust or too far fetched, please let me know.
  4. Like
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well, I think he is less biased than the title implies, he says himself (9 minutes in video) that the recruitmenttroubles cannot be explained by woke-issues alone.
    He mentions:
     - changing motives from the new generations,
    - the effects from social media and internet,
    - income,
    - the fact that young people want fun, succes and more pleasant things than being in the Army,
    - the fact that people aren't driven to join the army through poverty anymore,
    - the "lessening "of patriotism, of being proud of your country,
    - the difference between rural and urban numbers,
    - the difference in recruitment numbers between England, Wales, Ireland and Scotland.
    -  that Poland ("Not so woke") and Japan have the same recruitment problems, 
    and more.
    So he concludes himself that wokeism isn't the main problem. He says that he current recruitment is a problem, and a serious one.
    Like I said, I agree on that point and I see that it is happening in the Netherlands, too. Young people just don't wanna join the Army as young people did decades ago. (I can't blame 'm, btw.)
     
     
     
     
     
  5. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    word.  I'm confused enough on this thread with some of the stuff that gets said.
  6. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Two locked threads related to that topic attest to that.
    This thread needs to stay open, as it is the damn source for following this war on the internet.
  7. Like
  8. Upvote
    Seedorf81 reacted to Sgt Joch in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Short answer, no. Tom Cooper had an interesting write up on this. The F-16/AIM120 combo is out ranged by the SU35/MIG31/R37 combo.
    You also have to remember the F16 Ukraine is getting are upgraded A models which while competent are not as deadly as the latest models in the U.S. inventory.
    https://xxtomcooperxx.substack.com/p/its-the-range-stupid-part-1?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
    Way too much emphasis has been placed on the F16 and aircraft in general. One important feature of this war is the way in which SAMs dominate the air battlefield and shape all air operations. Both Ukrainian and Russian air forces are very skittish about  coming into range of the other sides SAMs since that is almost guaranteed death.
    More Patriot batteries would be a lot more useful to Ukraine than 40 year old F16s.
  9. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    85% chance Haley loses by 15% or so in NH and will be out after she then loses in SC. 
    14% chance she loses by single digits and then loses by double digits in SC. 
    1% chance she loses by single digits/barely wins NH and then carries that momentum through SC. After that, who knows? 
    It is very important to remember that Haley is middle ground...for the GOP. Her positions on abortion, spending, Social Security, etc is fairly far right relative to the general voting public. And her problem is that she's not in an election between her, Biden and Trump. She's in a GOP primary dominated by the 40% or so of its pro-authoritarian electorate. She's also not an elected official in any capacity. She has no ability to rally any votes in Congress and she has no political pull on any of them (as Trump does with that above mentioned 40%). 
    In the end, politicians win by persuasion. Have we seen any evidence of Haley persuading anybody? Any fired up crowds? No and we haven't seen it for a while. Trump has his rallies that are mostly carnivals for the most hard core MAGA folks but you have to go back to early Obama to see a crowd being inspired in a positive way. That's what a game changer looks like. She ain't it.
  10. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Blazing 88's in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A little more info on that Bradley vs T90 scrum (props to the original poster, 'MarkSheppard' on another forum):
    ~This Bradley is mounting a drone jammer as shown in this pic he provided.~

    https://twitter.com/TheDeadDistrict/...15646653948411

    Stepove, Avdiivka, a Bradley IFV of the 47th Brigade is repelling another russian assault. Notice the newly developed anti drone jammer Cupol (Купол - Dome) on the rear top of the turret of this Bradley ifv. ZSU started using this system widle. Average range of jamming from 40-80 meters.
     
    Mark's comment.
    Apparently the average range of this type of jammer that AFU is using widely is 40 to 80 meters.

    It doesn't stop drones from hovering 200-400 meters away and taking video of you with zoom lens; but it does mitigate a little bit of the suicide FPV drone threat...

    With one caveat..
    ...you've got to be moving. A jamming range of 40-50m means that if you're stationary; even if you jam a suicide FPV drone in it's attack dive, the ballistics of the drone will mean that it has a good chance of hitting you....
  11. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    He knows he will lose and it costs a lot of money to keep a campaign running. He has made a choice to back Trump in the hope he will get something out of it "IF" Trump wins... Either way he will stay in favour of those that voted Trump for future elections...
    Trump will win the Republican primaries that has been known for quite a while. The Primaries see only a small fraction of those that can vote turn out and it is easy for a hardcore percentage to sway it for Trump.
    What we don't know is how many of every Republican will vote Trump at the election. Iowa was useful to see that nearly 50% of those that turned out did not vote Trump.
    In 2024 there are roughly 752k Registered Republican voters - only just over 100k of those voted in the primary.
    So he only got support from just over 52k of those that came out to vote.
    A lot can happen in the time before the vote in November. The Democrats have yet to fire up their campaign and Trump is getting a lot of free publicity at the court houses...
    That could turn out to be bad publicity by Nov...
    Anyway that's enough on American politics, back to Ukraine...
     
     
  12. Upvote
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Short article on drone-war at Cherson front.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67991772
    Interesting quote:
    "On the outskirts of Kherson in an icy field, pilots practise drone flights with plastic bottles tied beneath them, in place of grenades.
    It takes just 14 hours of training to qualify as a drone pilot. Ukraine's government is encouraging people to take part in free training, as well as to manufacture drones at home to send to the front."
    Just fourteen hours! Training a recruit to be a decent shooter with a rifle might even take longer than that!
  13. Upvote
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Short article on drone-war at Cherson front.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67991772
    Interesting quote:
    "On the outskirts of Kherson in an icy field, pilots practise drone flights with plastic bottles tied beneath them, in place of grenades.
    It takes just 14 hours of training to qualify as a drone pilot. Ukraine's government is encouraging people to take part in free training, as well as to manufacture drones at home to send to the front."
    Just fourteen hours! Training a recruit to be a decent shooter with a rifle might even take longer than that!
  14. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Vacillator in Pre-orders for the CMFB module Download are now open   
    Happy to see that's not the Churchill in the previous post.
  15. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Kevin2k in Pre-orders for the CMFB module Download are now open   
    It is a combination of a cast front hull (Similar to the M4A1 front hull), mated with a welded rear hull (Similar to the  M4 rear hull). Newly manufactured as such. Then called hybrid or composite hull.
    It is explained here:
    http://the.shadock.free.fr/sherman_minutia/manufacturer/m4composite/m4_composite.html
     
  16. Upvote
    Seedorf81 reacted to danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In an age of uber-industrialized addiction, lack of affordable & indigent housing, lack of any real systems of drug treatment, lack of adequate mental health support, WTF do we expect?  I see & hear lots of people s--ing on the homeless (not you, Bulletpoint), but this is not all just due to being lazy & immoral like many folks seem to think.  This is a symptom of our society's unaddressed problems, not the underlying disease.
  17. Upvote
    Seedorf81 reacted to Vet 0369 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What we call JP4 is pretty much the universal fuel for turbine engines. It’s basically kerosene, or what the British call Paraffin in. It is also used in most turbine powered vehicles such as tanks.
  18. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Sojourner in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia has deployed a new air defense system in Moscow
     

     
    How much is that in hryvnia?
  19. Like
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Looks like another big "succes" for mr Putin.
    He's finally succeeding in waking up the dormant bear, it seems. If people doubted the West's resilience , this exercise is gonna give a little indication what can and/or will happen when Nato-The West is getting ready for a fight.
    I hope that the Russians will realise that they don't stand a chance if push comes to shove, but making wise decisions hasn't been their greatest achievement so far.
  20. Upvote
    Seedorf81 got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Looks like another big "succes" for mr Putin.
    He's finally succeeding in waking up the dormant bear, it seems. If people doubted the West's resilience , this exercise is gonna give a little indication what can and/or will happen when Nato-The West is getting ready for a fight.
    I hope that the Russians will realise that they don't stand a chance if push comes to shove, but making wise decisions hasn't been their greatest achievement so far.
  21. Like
  22. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I've read UKR tankers have very good opinion about Stridsvang 122 - Sweden version of Leo2 and many issues about German ones, because German Leo2 are "too tender", less stable for cold, dirt and to combat overload in that time that Sweden tanks are more appropriate for real war.  
  23. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to mosuri in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This has potential to be huge: https://www.kyivpost.com/post/26885
    Ukranians reaching leningrad by drone means they can strike ust-luga and primorsk, two out of three big oil export terminals on the western side of russia. Third being novorossisk, which, well ...
    Ukraine might decide to go sanctions schmanctions at some point and truly bork russian exports for good.
    At the very least russia needs to dedicate some resources to guard against careless smoking at the oil terminals, which is away from other uses ...
  24. Thanks
    Seedorf81 reacted to Vanir Ausf B in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Nah, you can see all 3 crew members running at :22
    https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1747843889971580992
     
  25. Like
    Seedorf81 reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The driver was captured later, but this wasn't filmed.
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