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BlackMoria

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Posts posted by BlackMoria

  1. 17 minutes ago, Grigb said:

    Stay tuned for the next episode of the reality show Death of Stalin 2

    "Next, on Survivor"  😃.  Looks like getting voted off the island is in full swing with all the firings and 'resignations' that are occurring.   And I imagine 'tribe mergers' are not a possibility?

    **Edit - Survivor is a popular reality show in North America and my comment above is a reference to that.  Realized that other members may not be familiar with the show and hence, not understand my reference.

  2. 9 minutes ago, Slaughterhouse-Five said:

    I am... I...well. I am not pursuing my aggressive policy toward Europe. I am not pursuing any policy, because I'm ordinary man in one Eastern-european dictatorship. Here's the thing. Comrade.

    Right now.  But when this war drags on long enough that your name comes up on the conscription lists and you have your conscription letter in hand.... what then?   Something to think about...

  3. Putin is a petulant child having a hissy fit over the fact he is not getting things his way.   To me, this attack was not unexpected.  In fact, I am surprised that more missiles aren't raining down on Ukrainian civilians.  Hopefully that is more to do with diminishing stocks of missiles.  But yeah.  Putin's demise can't come fast enough, IMO.

  4. 13 minutes ago, Huba said:

    Wait, there's more:

    However, Stanovaya said that Russia's main goal in Ukraine isn't about seizing territory but is aimed at preventing Ukraine from co-operating with the NATO military alliance and making the country accept Russian influence in the form of "Russification."

    If that was Putin's main goal, the war is going far worse than if he just wanted some land. This article is just BS in my opinion.

    If that was the intent..... Epic Fail.  Period.

  5. Aahhh..... Those wonder weapons they have faith in?  Like their oversold, overestimated vaulted military.  Someone needs a coffee enema to clear the toxins poisoning their brain.   Maybe, just maybe .... I don't know.... perhaps consider the possibility that your wonder weapons will perform as well as your army and equipment is performing in Ukraine.  Just saying...

  6. I love that scenario.   And the map.   Wicked urban terrain.   Based on the feedback I provided, it got harder to complete without taking some casualties but playing it about a dozen times, I have managed to keep the casualties to a single digit each time.   A true gem of a scenario.  And that map.  Deep respect of LLF for painstaking doing that map.

  7. Quote - (I am also the kind of wargamer that feels bad when he losses pixel troops unnecessarily, they are my responsibility to use wisely).

    Amen, brother.

    When I play any of the CM games, I am really anal about keeping my casualties as low as possible.  To the point of obsession.  I play real time and I micro manage my forces to a point that most people would wonder if I am actually having fun ( I am).

    Screen shot of my best accomplishment.  The point of pride is not in the kill count on the right.  For me, the satisfaction is the left hand column.  That is all that matters to me.

    First Clash screen shot.jpg

  8. 3 minutes ago, Kinophile said:

    "Look! We're firing our guns, therefore we are winning!"

    Thats some Kadyrovite level copium right there.

    Speaking of over-equipped fashionistas, I read recently Kadyroviskis were "leading" the fight into Sieverodonetsk. I'm truly curious of their actual combat ability if forced into a real battler; by which I mean, in a slow siege like Marioupol, there's plenty of down time. But Sieverodonetsk is extremely dangerous right now, which is very much not the K's vibe, yet the Russian push to the front is relentless and I doubt even the Chechens can get away with fobbing off.

    So if push really does come to shove, can these camouflaged 'grammers actually fight?

    I think it is safe to say that they will not be putting up Tik Tok videos of them getting owned.  I expect more video shennigans of them trolling after someone on the Russian side has won the ground on which these posers pose.

  9. Centuran53 wrote:   "I think my biggest fear right now is that the West will try to achieve peace at any price, and demand a ceasefire along the current front lines. This would effectively allow Russia to get away with a bite and hold operation. It would send the wrong message to potential future aggressors."

    Maybe that will be the case but I think we are far from that "bridge to cross".  The "peace at any price" pearl clutching rabble has always been around and have been vocal in the last several weeks but anyone with any real insight into the conflict will brush off their rhetoric as uninformed and short sighted.  

  10. It looks like decision paralysis is setting into the Russian command.   They commit to something and then it appears like a short time later they change their mind.  It the only thing I can think of that explains the units going one direction and then another, like some toy truck that a set of wheels fell off. 

  11. That new picture Steve put in in his last post is such an camera angle to show how steep the ingress points are that was not clear in the previous pictures of the site.  And no apparent bank preparation other than maybe running a vehicle back and forth to tamp the ground down a bit.

  12. 35 minutes ago, Cederic said:

    The latest narrative (which I'm mentioning as I've seen in two places now today, both UK centric sites) is that Oryx is wrong. The claims articulated are general naysaying about the site, a suggestion that photographs are used multiple times as evidence for multiple vehicles, a lack of verification/rigour and "you can see it's Ukrainian camo".

    What I didn't get from either detractor were links to any evidence to support the claims, so (since Oryx links all the photographs, making his counts transparent and open to challenge) I'm going to continue to treat the Oryx site as a useful and reliable source.

    It does make me wonder if Russia's started to get worried about the visible and available evidence of the losses they're trying to hide from their own people.

    My suspicion is the detractors are Russian trolls or people with jealousy issues.  

  13. Some of the conversation over the few pages have referenced the former Yugoslavia.  Which brings back... well, not so good memories.

    I was a Canadian peacekeeper in Bosnia in latter half of '93.   During the Croatian offensive in the Medak in Sept of '93, I was with the 2 PPCLI when we went into the sh*tstorm to try to stop the ethnic cleansing going on.  The Croatian army attacked our unit during that operation, a thing that the Croatian government denies to this very day.  Despite us photographing the Croatian dead after the battle and collecting their ID, etc.    We had god damn evidence and to this day, the Croatian government position is that they never attacked us.

    Part of our job, beside trying to keep the warring factions apart, was to document evidence of ethnic cleansing and I was in charge (I was an officer) of a evidence collection team.  So, literally thousands of photos, videos.  Transcripts of interviews with witnesses and victims.  Six months exposed to that living hell, day after f*n day....

    So I had the evidence, because sometimes our official recording devices ran out film or tape and we used our personal recording devices to finish up at a site.

    After I got out the military, I found myself sometimes on various military forms about games, such as this one.  Arma forums, military wargame forums... that sort of thing.  And as it happened, I ran into forum members from Croatia and Bosnia Serbs and we would get into it.

    Universally, every Croatian or Bosnian Serb forum poster denied what happened there.  And I was called a liar on many occasions for telling them them the truth of that war as I was there and they weren't.  And I have evidence to back up my claims.  No one believed me and if I offered visual proof, they didn't want to see it or they disclaimed it as fake.

    I remember a particular Bosnian Serb who was not in the war but we got deep into the weeds discussing what happened during that war.  Deny, deny, deny.  It never happened.  Until videos that the Bosnian Serbs took of them killing civilians and dumping them in mass graves what was recorded by the very soldiers who committed the atrocities surfaced and made it onto their local media and they couldn't deny it any longer.  Those videos were part of the process besides sanctions that resulted in some notable Bosnia Serb / Serbian leaders being turned over to the ICC for prosecution for war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide.  After the revelation came out, this individual on that forum who I had spent hours engaging with about the culpability of Serbs in the atrocities simply ignored me from that point onwards.  I will never know why.... was it that he discovered that I was right all a long and he was wrong and he was ashamed (as he would have been) or he simply wanted to hang onto his delusion of what narrative he wanted to believe was true and he knew that I would keep chipping away.   

    Denial is a powerful thing.   I don't understand why it has such power but it does.  People can dismiss an outright objective reality because to accept the truth is to undermine what they think reality is or should be.   I don't get it and is beyond madding to see the denials in the face of objective reality happen over and over.

    Sigh.   I don't know why the hell I rambled on with this.  Maybe it was a story I need to tell to remain sane in light of the same brutality I witnessed back in Bosnia happening in Ukraine now.  Or maybe I still am the greater fool for believing my experiences in Bosnia can be an object lesson to others about holding onto a narrative that is personally comfortable but runs counter to all the real evidence to the contrary.   DMS, I am looking at you....

    The truth will come out after all this is over.  At least, I hope it does.  The truth of this war needs to be told and codified so generations that follow can know what really happend.

    Now at the end of this and reviewing it, I feel that I should have deleted this or apologize for it.  

    I am hitting post. It is my truth.  Let people accept it and learn something from it or ignore it.  I needed to say this for a long time.   

     

     

  14. 1 hour ago, DMS said:

    Putin said that he asked Clinton in 2000, but he reacted "coldly". 

    Putin has said a great many things, most of which are lies, fabrications and mistruths.  Putin said he would not invade Ukraine - he did.  Putin said he ordered the halt on the assault of the steel plant in Maruipol - it have been repeatedly assaulted over and over.  Lies, over and over.  Putin has said the civilians have safe passage to leave the steel plant - they cannot due to Russian shelling or breaches of the safe passage.

    So excuse me if you said Putin asked Clinton in 2000 and I don't believe him about that claim.   At this point, Putin and the Kremlin have zero credibility with me. 

  15. 24 minutes ago, DMS said:

    OMG, how men can be so naive. Random dude reads text, everyone: "oh, it's a stunning truth!" I remember CNN video with that "phone call intercepts". 1-st episode: "we raped 16 year girl" (to woman, must be "wife"), 2-nd: "we eat dogs", 3-rd: "I hate their medals, we suffer here" (realistic one!). In 3-rd episode actor even didn't try to imitate Russian accent, must be from Poland or Baltic. 1-st world war British propaganda was more sophisticated. You believe in everything you are fed, it's amazing. And that is wargaming forum, where people read books about WWII and must have higher erudition. 

    And you compose theories about broken Russian nature, based on this!

    No, Russia is being judged by it actions, not what it says.  We have a saying in the west.  "Walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, looks like a duck.... therefore it is a duck."   The acts of Russia in Bucha, Maruipol, all over Ukraine are in full display for the world to see.  Ergo, if Russia troops acts like uncouth, uncivilized barbarians, we are within our rights to call them out for it.

  16. 1 minute ago, Ts4EVER said:

    Armies should probably start to seriously invest in some kind of "social media division". Just how in WW2 before an offensive armies would generate fake radio traffic and such, these days you need to generate fake "opsec breaches" or civilian posts about your army being spotted somewhere it isn't.

    Absolutely a consideration.   Today, depending where the conflict is, you have got to assume driving your military element along a road or through some town, that somebody is using their smart phone to record you and that info is getting someplace you aren't going  to like it going.   That said, using same social media, your military can shoot the same video or photo and attribute it to another location or doctor any geo location clues in the photo or video.  With that much information coming in, it will be trying for enemy intel people to sort the wheat from the chaff so to speak.

  17. Putin has made nothing but bad calls since he green lit this invasion.   So, let's say you are the head of Putin's nuclear forces and Putin calls you up and says he wants to launch a nuke.

    Do you believe that your boss, who has made bad call after bad call, suddenly has a 'eureka' moment that solved all of Russia's woes?  Or...

    Do you believe that this is the ultimate bad call of calls and if there is going to be a Russia after today, it is up to you to do something.

    99.9 of even the steadfast supporters of Putin are going to jack a round into their Makarov, hide it somewhere on their person and wait for their boss to show up with his key.   I don't think anyone is mad dog crazy to go down this path, because it solves nothing and it makes things very, very worse than they are.

    In short, I am banking on everyone in his inner circle being sane and realizing the end game of the start of escalation of nukes means No more Russia and no more future for them and their children.

  18. It is being used as a 'terror' weapon (quasi mortar).  It's accuracy as a 'mortar' sucks, especially in urban terrain.  The cable to command the detonation is going to drop on top of building, utility/power/phone lines, etc, dragging the main charge back some ways (you can see the rocking forward of the launch vehicle in the video of that very thing happening.

    In short, it works fine as a 'terror' weapon since accuracy doesn't matter at all.  You just want something to do a big boom somewhere where you think people (and not your own troops) are...

  19. 24 minutes ago, DesertFox said:

    As for 105mm armed NATO tanks (M7-gun/M-68gun) being sufficient for the ukraine environment...I haven´t seen anything driving around there what an M60A3-TTS, a Leo1A5, a Leo-C2 or a M1-IP can´t handle.

    Engagement ranges appear to be well below 3000metres anyways (that was AFAIK one of the core arguments for intro of 120mm back in the 70/80s). Availability of APDSFS-T (Tungsten or DU) might be a factor, however the US has that gun on their M1128 Stryker MGS and in Europe (NATO) AFAIK Greece still has a fairly big armada of Leo1-GR (350ish).

    It would certainly help to get as much fire on the enemy as possible, so using them, if available, has IMHO merit, although it would mean builing up a new logistic chain for supplying those vehicles (not to be underestimated).

    Assuming the fidelity of the CM:BS modelling of weapon systems is near to reflecting reality, the M7 gun on the Leo 1 should be fine.  By happenstance, I was playing a mission last night (Rollin' On The River), in which my 3 x Stryker MGS were hull down behind a railway berm when 10 x T90AM emerged from a treeline in column formation at 1675 metres range.  End result - 10 dead T90s, no losses to the Stryker MGS.   That is assuming the fidelity of the data is somewhat accurate.  Assuming so, the Leo 1 is not a useless contribution to Ukraine.  Leo 2s would be better but the Leo 1 is what the offer on the table is.

  20. Probably the usual BS that anyone speaking for the Kremlin or the russian military spouts.    Goes in the same toilet of intents as the russian talking heads on their media about once they are done with Ukraine, russian will invade the rest of Europe.  LOL.  Perhaps they should be trashing talking the first step to their ambitions - pocketing the Ukrainians in the Donbass before they take Odesa, then Moldova, then the rest of Europe.  Three days in to their offensive now and not much to show for it except escalating their own body count.  Too bad the russian military is not up to the lofty wet dreams of the supreme leader.  LOL

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