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Combatintman

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Everything posted by Combatintman

  1. Problem solved either way - not a bug with TRPs - couldn't make out the mortar from the image so I'm guessing its a 120mm of some description.
  2. Looking at your picture, the text on your pointer is saying your mortar is out of range. Move the mortar closer if it is on map and you should be able to fire at the TRP. If its off-map then you're stuffed.
  3. Talking of military ineptitude ... the Saudis have been using AMRAAMs to knock down Houthi 'suicide' UAVs in the Yemen conflict for quite a while now.
  4. I was at Command and Staff Trainer (South) when the Combat Estimate was rolled out (2000-2003) - in fact we were the organization that was responsible for field trialling it. Mike Jackson I think was CGS at the time and we had his buy-in which helped knock down the 'not invented here' crowd at the Staff College. My last job before transferring to the Aussie Army was at Command and Staff Trainer (North) ... so yes I may have some opinions on the matter
  5. In a word ... no. I doubt that in early 2021 Putin had decided that he was going to conduct a 'special military operation.' Bear in mind that the dust had only just settled on the Nagorno-Karabach conflict of the previous year and Russia is pretty sensitive about Islamic-extremist terrorism landing on Russian soil from Afghanistan via the other 'stans to the North with whom Russia has a security pact, the CSTO. I am sure there was plenty of bandwidth being spent in the Kremlin about how to ensure that Russia's borders could be secured from that extremist Islamic terrorists in that neck of the woods after the US/NATO left. Indeed on more than one occasion in the last 12 months Russia has sent troops to shore up its CSTO allies due to that perceived threat plus civil unrest in a couple of those countries. In the latter case, Russian troops were sent to put down riots in one of the CSTO countries in the region either late last year or very early this year.
  6. Beat me to it - the time to invade Ukraine would have been while the US and NATO still had forces in Afghanistan - all that military hardware that is pouring into Ukraine now would have been unthinkable if troops were still on the ground in Afghanistan. All it would have taken was for a US/NATO soldier to get killed in Afghanistan and someone to unearth a social media post where the soldier said before their death - 'we didn't have enough body amour/MRAPs/fire support because it got sent to Ukraine.' In fact it wouldn't even take that - the press or an opposition politician would just seize on the fact that equipment and supplies were going to a non-US//NATO country while the former were still engaged in Afghanistan. Also, all of those ISR platforms that were able to focus on Ukraine and Russia plus the analytical support behind them which did and still is making a huge difference to Ukraine would likely have been at least half of what they are now. Also look at the political bandwidth that is being spent in Ukraine right now. For the latter, I go back to the optics - the calculus would be 'are there any US/NATO troops there? Nope ... Let's throw Ukraine some bones to keep the press off our backs but we need to focus on where US/NATO troops are in a combat training and advising role.' US/NATO weakness in Afghanistan was signalled well before August 2021 and the current US President's decision to call it a day earlier that same year. I can't name an actual year when it was obvious that the US/NATO will was lacking but it was at least a decade ago and probably longer than that. Or put another way - the 'Biden was weak' theory is ... errrmmm ... weak.
  7. I can't find my original post about 400 pages or so back but its essentially what @Huba said. My comment was something like 'an anti-radiation missile and a jamming pod strapped to a fast jet does not a SEAD capability make.' The US pioneered SEAD through hard-won experience in Vietnam and even then lost something north of 200 fixed wing aircraft to some fairly rudimentary SAMs/MANPADs - SA2 and SA7 in the main. According to Wikipedia - usual caveats apply - Germany and Italy are the only two NATO nations that deploy a specialist aircraft (Tornado ECR). The former acquired 35 and the latter acquired 16 at a slightly lower spec. It appears that as of February last year the Germans could only field 20 while the Italians could field 15. Looking at a more authoritative source - the Royal United Services Institute - the linked article below lays the lack of NATO capability, excepting of course the US, bare: Getting Serious About SEAD: European Air Forces Must Learn from the Failure of the Russian Air Force over Ukraine | Royal United Services Institute (rusi.org)
  8. I've got the Southern Military District one on my hard drive if you want it - PM me and we'll work out the mechanics.
  9. Presumably then you will have seen this ... (U) Russian Forces in the Western Military District (cna.org) It was published in 2021 but it looks like the research cut off was 2019. It isn't as user-friendly as the RAND document but it does touch on what equipment was fielded in some manoeuvre formations. CNA also published a similar document for the Southern Military District but the link on their site takes you to a press analysis of 2021.
  10. The meta data says Bryansk but that appears to have been user defined because the ground at the grid plot looks nothing like what we're seeing in the video and seems to be the default setting for anything tagged Bryansk. The imagery, according to the metadata, was captured on 13 June so it is definitely recent.
  11. I've just had a quick hunt. The only easy identifier is the fact that this was 40 Artillery Brigade - a Southern Command Unit according to Wikipedia - so probably Kherson or points east of it which doesn't narrow it down much. I've not had a decent pick into this but this video doesn't appear to have any geolocation data in its metadata so it will be tough to pin down without more context. For those that have the time to hunt around for videos - this is a great tool for finding geo-tagged videos: Location Search - Discover Geo-tagged Videos - YouTube Geofind (mattw.io) Easy peasy to use - click location search - drag the green pin to where you want to look, add filters as required such as date-time ranges, search radius etc, scroll down a bit and click submit. The link below is a search I did around Sieverodonetsk for the last seven days https://mattw.io/youtube-geofind/location?location=48.90486748996277,38.316726806640645&timeframe=day-7&doSearch=true Have a look at ones that interest you - click the Open in Map option or View Metadata and go to geo location and copy and past the geo coords in the box to your mapping application of choice.
  12. Unity isn't really an Afghan thing but unpleasantness has been happening in many of the areas I mentioned and the pace has picked up around Baghlan and Panjshir in particular. New groups are popping up to the tune of about one a fortnight now - but many don't seem to be doing much. Some of the shenanigans are Talibs vs Talibs - there was a reasonable bust up in Taluqan today between two factions so plenty of interesting dynamics here.
  13. Working out what's going on is the straight bat answer to your question - seen as how cricket cropped up earlier . Badakhshan, Baghlan, Kabul, Kapisa, Kunar, Kunduz, Nangarhar, Panjshir, Parwan and Takhar are consuming most of my bandwidth right now. Some interesting dynamics in Badghis, Bamyan, Jawzjan and Sar-e Pul as well which I've also got my eye on.
  14. Obvs I did - the clue's in the username . I must say I am surprised that Dovhenke brought things pretty much to a juddering halt. I seem to recall saying that it would consume at least a BTG but there are plenty of images and videos of the place getting malleted or having been malleted by assorted gunnery which should have got the Russians over the line. That said, that is also when the shenanigans started on AAs 3 and 4 on my original schematic and manoeuvre stopped on AAs 1 and 2 ... well to be honest not a whole lot happened on AA 1. I am disappointed that I haven't been able to track this as closely as I was in April but unfortunately the day job has intervened ... it is an interesting summer in Afghanistan. Regrettably I now only have time to check in and keep up with stuff on this thread. Your coverage and links are particularly helpful in that regard.
  15. Don't think I've seen anyone post this resource before: Eyes on Russia: The Russia-Ukraine Monitor Map by Cen4infoRes ยท MapHub
  16. Count the ANZACs out of the above - they look at different parts of the globe where a less than benign regime is chucking its weight around ... Five Eyes Countries 2022 (worldpopulationreview.com)
  17. Yep - one of mine, Probing Around Poteau (or something like that).
  18. Just leave it will you - it isn't going to happen and nobody apart from Charles at Battlefront really knows how that code works. There are threads aplenty in which Steve or the Beta team say that 'easy changes' aren't actually that easy. The programming team at Battlefront is at best three guys who have their hands full with CMx2, CM Professional for military clients and are rumored to be working on an entirely new engine. They are not going to dust off the CMx1 code to update it ever ... they don't have the resources for one, there is zero commercial benefit in doing so and they are looking forwards not backwards.
  19. Injecting fuel into the exhaust to generate smoke has been standard fare on Russian tanks for years. Having smoke dischargers is just an added bonus. I wouldn't read too much into this.
  20. Well stop thinking it then - it isn't going to happen - you're urinating in the wind with this one.
  21. The CMx1 ship has sailed so there is no point in asking for improvements or even discussing them. Battlefront have not updated it since CMx2 came out and have no intention of revisiting it.
  22. So ... I was thinking the other day ... if only there was a war game that had a lot of the equipment and forces used in the current conflict/special military operation in which you could build maps and stuff ... Map size 4,800m wide by 3,664m deep Topo overlay Satellite overlay CM overhead ... Where it is in Ukraine Chervone Overlay.kmz A couple of comparisons ... The Combat Mission Black Sea map file ... Chervone.btt Just a map folks so no you can't do a QB on it or play it unless you actually click the editor button and add forces and plans etc. Will this be a scenario one day ... hopefully. I was prompted to make it because it looked like a BTG or two were going to roll south towards Barvinkove having rolled into Velyka Komyshuvakha towards the end of April and I though it would be worth seeing how it looked in Combat Mission and whether a scenario or two could be built around it - there's definitely meat there for sure so hopefully I can put something together. If I do so it will be the subject of a separate thread.
  23. Slightly overblown because Ukrainian forces have demonstrated that they can mount offensive operations; however, definitely a valid point. I think the Ukrainians have missed a couple of opportunities to inflict either severe defeats or a largish problem set for Russia by not attacking. The obvious one was to have cut off the retreat routes back into Belarus after Russia decided that Kiev was in the 'too difficult' basket. As others have said - an interesting couple of weeks ahead for sure and as things stand, Ukrainian forces can maintain this posture of dogged defence, skilled use of light agile forces cued by ISR to disrupt Russian forces while assimilating the new equipment from overseas and conducting some serious training. Ukraine has to attack at some point but, while there may be some short term concerns, there is plenty of time for the situation to tip more obviously towards a Russian defeat.
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