fireship4

I've seen it suggested it may encourage the movement of anti-missile systems away from the front, making it more vulnerable, and run down their supplies, so the RuAF can fly at higher altitudes. I cannot agree with this. People under duress may think on shorter time scales, with the aim of surviving day-to-day, when thinking further ahead and the effort required to sacrifice for tomorrow are too taxing on their limited resources. Living further from the edge may allow for clearer thinking, and saving up for a decent pair of boots which will cost less in the long run.

Dear oh dear.

Hope they get these: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ground-launched-small-diameter-bomb-would-double-ukraines-precision-strike-range

A battalion of SPG artillery was expected to travel with the BTG apparently, or two battalions plus MLRS plus AT guns plus attached artillery as part of a brigade formation, according to 'The Russian Way of War', which I think was based on a bunch of military training material left on a Russian general educational website, with commentary. With regard to artillery being weak, we see 152mm artillery destroying tanks in Ukraine without hitting them directly, and I doubt a 10min 120mm barrage by a mortar battery on their heads should leave an infantry company a viable force.

A Russian brigade artillery group's 2 battalions of howitzers together are 36 guns... I have never seen that kind of support available in game outside user-made scenarios. Furthermore, artillery in game has been accused of being weak, and I agree as far as I can judge. I believe this has all been gone over before in any case. Would love to see it change!

Aircraft in hour+ holding patterns over Kaliningrad Krabrovo airport again this morning, with one so far apparently on the way back to mainland Russia, presumably due to weather conditions.

Multiple flights from Moscow & St. Petersburg seemingly unable to land at Kaliningrad Krabrovo this morning. It's a long way back!

Video caption reads:

I should have said that the author of the first video linked to the criticism himself in the comments section.

A recent YouTube piece on ideologues influential on modern Russia, in particular: Ivan Ilyin, Lev Gumilyov, and Carl Schmitt. It provides context to why the influence of Dugin is considered overstated. And for some pushback/criticism on how much Putin himself is in fact an acolyte of Ilyin:

Caecilius est in culīnā.

Er, can we settle for liberation Cato?

Full translation of Dugin letter via @wartranslated, these do not seem to be words that can easily be taken back: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1591181876815106048#m EDIT: Also, via @TpyxaNews: “Iran has suspended the supply of weapons to the Russian Federation,” - Arestovych

Fans of Joseph Wright of Derby may appreciate this photograph I found via @WarMonitor3, hosted by the NYT, captioned by him as 'Bakhmut, 58th Brigade':

I am no expert on this but... the translation reads 'Dombed Bombas' and I believe it is intentional. I have heard Volodymyr Zolkin refer to Donbas as 'Bombas' a number of times in the past and I think it may be in reference to Russian refrains on it being under attack.

Mark Galeotti is back from holiday, with a catchup episode: https://audio.buzzsprout.com/oxwwdnx3sfnvqmcg8q3dy0kxg0yq?response-content-disposition=inline& Of the podcast 'In Moscow's Shadows': https://feeds.buzzsprout.com/1026985.rss That goes along with his blog: https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/ EDIT: In other news, Adam Curtis has released a new documentary 'Russia 1985–1999: TraumaZone': https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ke600MgW1F0 or for those in the UK: https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/p0d3hwl1/russia-19851999-traumazone An interview about it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=663vLIYBcpI

https://nitter.net/TheDeadDistrict

Using some live map information from the 24th onward and BMU height maps, imported into Google Earth. Link for higher detail: https://postimg.cc/62F8C1m8 [Of course there's another Lyman just 90KM ENE] [@DefMon3 Map dated 2022.09.30 overlaid upon something similar https://postimg.cc/67CkwMkd] For what it's worth: https://quoteinvestigator.com/2014/02/28/clever-lazy/

"Russia's FSB detains and expels Japanese consul for alleged spying - agencies" https://www.reuters.com/world/russias-fsb-detains-expels-japanese-consul-alleged-spying-agencies-2022-09-26/ I had been thinking of making a post of reasonable weight regarding some of the topics touched on recently, including statements about Scotland and Wales being 'self-governing', Northern Ireland being 'occupied territory', the sapient status of Russians (including presumably those Ukrainian grandfathers who fought in the GPW, several forum members and their relatives), the current nuclear brinkmanship, the nature of a modern democratic nation state as it lives in the heads of its populace and institutions, and the extent to which a society can be considered 'open' or 'closed'. In lieu of the last two subjects those interested may find a 1988 article in The Economist by Karl Popper worth reading: https://www.economist.com/democracy-in-america/2016/01/31/from-the-archives-the-open-society-and-its-enemies-revisited The verbosity and frequency of posts to the thread make it hard to get a handle on without some scanning and skipping. I'd advocate that news posts from members like Haiduk and Grigb continue apace, while more attention be paid to concision in the expression of opinion and discussion in the thread. Glad to hear some Western nations are averse to lies in theatre, and I consider there to be silver lining to the cack-handedness (camoflage in a virtual studio and misguided WordArt) I witnessed where 'information warfare' faces the home front, as I do in the case of our unruly classrooms.

Apologies for the repost, but I was unable to edit the one I made 2 hours ago. A link to the video of Prigozhin speaking to inmates that @FancyCat posted yesterday, with subtitles, via @wartranslated: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570123353331011586#m What Girkin thinks about it: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570374548914053121#m A relevant scene from Shtrafbat: A thread by Galeev: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1539258381243908096.html

A link to the video of Prigozhin speaking to inmates that @FancyCat posted yesterday, with subtitles, via @wartranslated: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570123353331011586#m A relevant scene from Shtrafbat (autotranslate is all that's available): EDIT: What Girkin thinks about it: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570374548914053121#m

A notable exception to the second: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1554584145086619651.html

I am a regular watcher of the 'War in Ukraine' YouTube channel. They made some comments regarding sanctions increasing oil prices and counter-productively benefiting Russia. In the interest of examining the issue and the related issue of Russian natural gas supply to Europe:

I look at that kind of thing as a co-ordination problem. Sure there is plenty of toilet paper, but if everyone else panics, we better stock up as there really will be a shortage. Perhaps that applies in this situation - there is a real reason to panic if everyone is panicking, if the panic itself has some direct effect. Loss of belief in a leader, loss of confidence that the flank is secured, etc. Great meme. Galeev's recent call for memes against Rheinmetal missed the mark for me, and I think it's quite interesting why it wasn't successful. It was a top down call for memes, to a certain specification, not in line with the cultural context of memes of this type. Like saying to the country - 'Oi, give me some plans for new energy sources'. Creativity doesn't work best that way. Neither does the selection effect: this meme spread because it's bloody clever.