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Sequoia

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  1. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from SlowMotion in Is CMBS dead?   
    Regarding the current war in Ukraine- You do all know there is a thread that is now 100s of pages long discussing it in the Black Sea forums. Can we not digress into discussing the war itself here in this thread please?
  2. Upvote
    Sequoia got a reaction from MSBoxer in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In a way I can't say I blame the "Internationalist" such as Merkel and Clinton, and even George (I have seen his soul through his eyes ) W. for the idea that bringing China and Russia fully into the world markets would convince them that there's more money to be made that way than in conquest. First of all it's true. The status quo coalition the Captain talked about a few pages back, was making most countries rich. Yes, some countries slower than others, as some were at the trickle-down end of it all. And again, corruption in many countries ensured only a small percentage of the population were benefiting in others. But overall the system worked about as well as could be found in history. Integrating China and Russia into the status que coalition seemed logical. 
    The flaw I think is dictators are never content with cooperation. The world is always a zero sum game for them. Putin in particular had fantasies about righting wrongs and Russian natural rights to certain lands as part of its Empire that Western leaders missed picking up on.
  3. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from alison in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia is the world's biggest country in size and 9th in population. It had and has all the potential to be a great country- one of the world's greatest. 
    A one paragraph (and therefore over-simplified) version of why it I think it made the wrong choices was there was too much corruption in its leadership, and its population had never known anything else. And its leadership was butt-hurt by not being giving the respect they thought they deserved being a superpower that "voluntarily" disbanded, but "merely" that of other major European powers such as Germany or France.
      
  4. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from alison in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In a way I can't say I blame the "Internationalist" such as Merkel and Clinton, and even George (I have seen his soul through his eyes ) W. for the idea that bringing China and Russia fully into the world markets would convince them that there's more money to be made that way than in conquest. First of all it's true. The status quo coalition the Captain talked about a few pages back, was making most countries rich. Yes, some countries slower than others, as some were at the trickle-down end of it all. And again, corruption in many countries ensured only a small percentage of the population were benefiting in others. But overall the system worked about as well as could be found in history. Integrating China and Russia into the status que coalition seemed logical. 
    The flaw I think is dictators are never content with cooperation. The world is always a zero sum game for them. Putin in particular had fantasies about righting wrongs and Russian natural rights to certain lands as part of its Empire that Western leaders missed picking up on.
  5. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In a way I can't say I blame the "Internationalist" such as Merkel and Clinton, and even George (I have seen his soul through his eyes ) W. for the idea that bringing China and Russia fully into the world markets would convince them that there's more money to be made that way than in conquest. First of all it's true. The status quo coalition the Captain talked about a few pages back, was making most countries rich. Yes, some countries slower than others, as some were at the trickle-down end of it all. And again, corruption in many countries ensured only a small percentage of the population were benefiting in others. But overall the system worked about as well as could be found in history. Integrating China and Russia into the status que coalition seemed logical. 
    The flaw I think is dictators are never content with cooperation. The world is always a zero sum game for them. Putin in particular had fantasies about righting wrongs and Russian natural rights to certain lands as part of its Empire that Western leaders missed picking up on.
  6. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from FredLW in Why never a Sdkfz7?   
    I'll speculate it's because if it was there, players would want to use it for its primary purpose, which was towing various larger guns, which isn't a game feature.
    Thoughts?
     
  7. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from Billy Ringo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Damn you Jon Stewart! It will be years before I'll be able to eat a bagel again!
  8. Upvote
    Sequoia got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    You do understand that longing for a government where the leader has unrestricted power is the type of government one finds in Russia currently. As Winston Churchill purportedly once said, Democracy is a terrible way to run a country, but it's far better than anything else that's been tried.
  9. Like
    Sequoia reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't think the folks waving signs are actually getting life in the Gulag.  The Russian state certainly isn't going to treat holding the sign the same as active sabotage. C'mon man.
  10. Upvote
    Sequoia got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Might Putin think capturing towns such as Avdiivka, despite fierce Ukrainian resistance, will break Ukrainian will (which even the Captain posited as a hypothetical). 
  11. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from NamEndedAllen in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think we both agree that far too many politicians have and continue to put their own ambition and status above the good of the country. I strongly suspect a strong streak of vanity and desire for power are necessary qualities one needs to enter into politics.
  12. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from kimbosbread in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think it's a mistake to label it as the GOP blocking it. I would say it's the more like MAGA's outside influence blocking it, but even that's an oversimplification. Perhaps I'm repeating what's already been said, but with the tiny GOP majority every GOP speaker is afraid of being ousted by one outspoken House member, as McCarthy was. In effect the GOP house is just as weak, if not weaker than the Biden Administration. 
    Anyway, it looks as if Matt Gaetz, who called for Mcarthy's removal might be joining George Santos on being booted from Congress. 
  13. Like
    Sequoia reacted to danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Good ol' canadians coming in voice of calm reason.  😀
  14. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from G.I. Joe in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I agree M. Johnson is a poor representative of and for the US public. I also think he owes his current speakership to the  Freedom (for only people like us) Caucus. But deep down, I have a hunch he and many like him feel about the Orange one like that line in the Night Moves- that is "I used her, she used me and neither one cared," and will dump him and do the right thing on Ukraine once he becomes irrelevant, which I'm thinking may be well before the November election. Johnson  has to appear just reluctant enough to for now keep his job (though like McCarthy he'll probably lose it anyway) .
  15. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I agree M. Johnson is a poor representative of and for the US public. I also think he owes his current speakership to the  Freedom (for only people like us) Caucus. But deep down, I have a hunch he and many like him feel about the Orange one like that line in the Night Moves- that is "I used her, she used me and neither one cared," and will dump him and do the right thing on Ukraine once he becomes irrelevant, which I'm thinking may be well before the November election. Johnson  has to appear just reluctant enough to for now keep his job (though like McCarthy he'll probably lose it anyway) .
  16. Upvote
    Sequoia got a reaction from MOS:96B2P in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I'm hopeful significant US aide will still be passed soon. Most of the US public still supports it, despite the bs campaign by the usual suspects, and IMHO many more Republicans actually want to support it, and will if they can find the "cover" to do so.
     
  17. Upvote
    Sequoia reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Ok, I was following up to here.  Why would a strategy of attrition be ruled out?  First off we do not know which troops are being killed.  If those are all front line conscripts, ok Russia can probably sustain that.  But commanders,  gunners, mechanics and ISR specialists are a very different story.  How fast can the RA replace AD and EW expertise?  There is a qualitative metric missing in this whole discussion.
    The same goes for equipment.  We already know Russia is losing more equipment than it can replace.  It has had to dip heavily into old war stocks.  Attrition to the point that all the RA has left are leg infantry would work very well in that Ukraine need not worry about losing operational ground - in this environment troops cannot walk to Kyiv.
    Next, what is the strategic pressure?  All those dead and wounded are a pull on Russian society.  We hear rumblings and rumours all the time.  At what point does Russia run out of excess human capacity and their society starts to turn?  Like the Russian economy, the answer is not “never”.
    Finally, attrition is where things are at.  We cannot dump enough hardware on Ukraine right now to break the denial/defensive primacy of this war.  Someone has yet to field a solution to the deadlock and until they figure it out, attrition is where things are at.  We have heard a lot of hand wringing on “oh dear attrition, we must be losing.”  Well no, so long as one can do it better than the other guy it can be very effective in warfare.  Sometimes it feels like we ran out of ideas when manoeuvre stoped working.  
  18. Upvote
    Sequoia got a reaction from Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think it's a mistake to label it as the GOP blocking it. I would say it's the more like MAGA's outside influence blocking it, but even that's an oversimplification. Perhaps I'm repeating what's already been said, but with the tiny GOP majority every GOP speaker is afraid of being ousted by one outspoken House member, as McCarthy was. In effect the GOP house is just as weak, if not weaker than the Biden Administration. 
    Anyway, it looks as if Matt Gaetz, who called for Mcarthy's removal might be joining George Santos on being booted from Congress. 
  19. Upvote
    Sequoia got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I'm hopeful significant US aide will still be passed soon. Most of the US public still supports it, despite the bs campaign by the usual suspects, and IMHO many more Republicans actually want to support it, and will if they can find the "cover" to do so.
     
  20. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from G.I. Joe in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    You do understand that longing for a government where the leader has unrestricted power is the type of government one finds in Russia currently. As Winston Churchill purportedly once said, Democracy is a terrible way to run a country, but it's far better than anything else that's been tried.
  21. Like
    Sequoia got a reaction from sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    You do understand that longing for a government where the leader has unrestricted power is the type of government one finds in Russia currently. As Winston Churchill purportedly once said, Democracy is a terrible way to run a country, but it's far better than anything else that's been tried.
  22. Like
    Sequoia reacted to kohlenklau in CMFI FRANCE 1940 BRONZE PACK IS RELEASED!!!   
    Swing by the other thread lads to grab the dropbox link and to have a look at the readme!
    Or use this wormhole...
    https://community.battlefront.com/topic/142292-how-to-make-a-big-mod-test-dummy-log/?do=findComment&comment=1988156
     
     
  23. Like
    Sequoia reacted to Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This event in the Canadian parliament was already discussed here at length when it happened.
    Did Tucker by any chance ask Putin about the countless killed Ukrainian civilians and kidnapped children? I did not watch the interview so I don't know.
     
     
  24. Like
    Sequoia reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    what combat situations are those statistics based on? - For example US forces versus Sunni and Shiite irregulars in Iraq would be heavily one sided but hardly relevant to Ukraine.
  25. Like
    Sequoia reacted to Zeleban in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Isn’t the completely failed strategy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2023 grounds for the dismissal of the commander-in-chief?
    Let's look at 2023 from the perspective of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The loss of Bakhmut, the failure of the offensive in the Zaporozhye region. Underestimation of Russia's mobilization and industrial capabilities and, as a result, the encirclement and probable loss of the large fortified hub of Avdeevka.
    To be honest, I don’t quite understand why Ukrainians idolize Zaluzhny so much? Although perhaps this is understandable. This is exactly the image of the victorious general in 2022 that was painted by Ukrainian and foreign media. Well, how can you not fall in love?
    Let's look at Zelensky's culpability in the loss of foreign (American) support. Do you really think that Zelensky’s personality was the reason for blocking Ukrainian aid in the House of Representatives?
     
    I believe this is just part of the Republicans' plan to take power. And it doesn’t matter who would be the current president of Ukraine: Poroshenko, Zaluzhny or Stepan Bandera, aid to Ukraine would still be blocked.
    Perhaps you think that this influenced the blocking of borders by Polish or Slovak farmers? But I think that this also has nothing to do with Zelensky’s personality or politics
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