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General Jack Ripper

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Posts posted by General Jack Ripper

  1. Sad news.

    I got a new PC, finally got all my stuff ported over, and just discovered my Road to Montebourg save file got missed.
    I pulled everything from the my documents folder out, but because CMBN doesn't use that file setup, the save file was in the game install folder instead.

    Sigh.

    I dunno why BF went with that stupid idea to put game files and data folder in the f*****g MY DOCUMENTS folder, then to not retroactively apply that change to CMBN.

    JUST

    INSTALL

    THE

    F*****G

    GAME

    WHERE

    I

    WANT

    IT

    INSTALLED

    Anyway, having already had this problem previously I'm not doing it again.

    Thanks for the memories. Maybe now I can actually start playing the Commonwealth Module. 😆

  2. On 3/23/2022 at 9:41 AM, Vacillator said:

    Thanks for the nice pics and ermm extensive videos 👍.  Haven't been there before, but I do hang around at the Bovington Tank Museum (Dorset, UK) on a fairly regular basis, taking in the sights and the smells.  If you're ever in the area I highly recommend it.

    It's on my bucket list.

  3. 12 minutes ago, Lethaface said:

     

    Did you bother reading the assessments of this very website? Todays one: 

    "Russian forces did not make any major advances and Ukrainian forces carried out several local counterattacks on March 17. Russian forces made little territorial progress and continued to deploy reserve elements—including from the 1st Guards Tank Army and 810th Naval Infantry Brigade—in small force packets that are unlikely to prove decisive. Russian forces continue to suffer heavy casualties around Kharkiv, and Russian attempts to bypass the city of Izyum are unlikely to succeed. Russian forces continued assaults on Mariupol on March 17 but did not conduct any other successful advances from Crimea."

    https://www.understandingwar.org/

    As I explained before, I did not see today's report.
    EDIT: It is most interesting to see Russian Naval Infantry in the fighting report considering just yesterday it said they wouldn't be able to land.

    I guess they landed?

  4. 1 minute ago, sburke said:

    The suggestion wasn't to just be a sh1t to you but that we've been having this discussion for weeks.  Walking into the middle of a conversation that has been going on for hours and stating something others have been debating for that long would normally get a similar response.  Blank stares because folks are not sure where to start and don't really want to rehash hours of conversation.  Honestly I was surprised when you said you'd just started reading it.  As Elvis noted you've been a regular here.  Made me kind or worry if you've been dealing with some stuff.

    I still think all of my bullet points are correct and valid, and I've not seen anything that refutes anything I've said, aside from people misinterpreting what I said to mean something else.

    For example: I said, "Ukraine cannot control their airspace," which people immediately misinterpreted as me saying, "Russia has complete control of Ukrainian airspace." This is not now, nor has it ever been what I said, what I meant, or even a point I made, but you should be able to understand my frustration when this is the sort of response I get.

    I think it's called 'The Zebra Crossing Fallacy' (not my name for it) where if you are not one thing, then you MUST be the exact opposite thing! Because there is no middle ground anymore, about anything, ever. Combine that with the fact that I type very slowly and I do tend to get overwhelmed by a fast moving thread which makes me tend to not give a ****.

    I've been gone for some time, blame the Beer Situation and the fact my workload is directly related to it. I just popped back in because I figured some discussion was happening given current events, started reading the thread, saw how long it was, said "Screw it," and posted my existing synopsis figuring I'd catch up on any replies to it when I eventually read my way up there. What I didn't expect was the response I got.

    "Everything you said is wrong, go back and read 275 pages to find out why."

    Well, I don't come here often even on a good day, and given I really thought long and hard about posting, even about the snarky bits, that irritated me immediately. Okay, it's fair to call me out on the bit about the Winter War, or me laughing at the idea the USA is going to play political hardball in any capacity, but if you (not you specifically but a general "you") deny the political maneuvering statement out of hand as nothing but 'trolling' then you haven't addressed it either.

    What gets me though is if you guys have been discussing this for weeks, I would expect someone to take my bullet pointed synopsis (I PUT BULLET POINTS IN IT! I WAS TRYING!!) and simply refute each point with a sentence or two and go on about their day. I would eventually have read my way through the thread, saw what I had missed or gotten wrong, and said, "Thanks for the info."

    I think people got more hung up on my tone, than got bothered by anything I actually said.
    Well I'm not apologizing for my tone. It's just my style. We're all adults here.

    Sorry, where were we? I do tend to ramble on.

    Quote

    Anyway in regards to that question.  What are you referring to by stuff?  Russia seems to have committed all it's first line units.  The call up they are doing now is dredging all the guys who are 2nd line, or worse Syrian irregulars. Hell they even threw in their parade divisions.  May Day is gonna suck this year.

    It will indeed. I hadn't realized the Russian deployment was so extensive. Most of the info I've seen still maintains the original divisional assignments. Is this a case of RUS using other units as a replacement depot of sorts or are they committing intact units wholesale? Is the call-up for replacements or are entire reserve units being activated?

    The casualty figures I've seen are quite large, but not nearly enough to consume several divisions wholesale. I have to assume given the fact Russia hasn't fought a major war in a generation at least their divisions were at full strength when they stepped off, with ten thousand of personnel per division or so, and we had several divisions engaged.

    Even with casualties of up to 10,000 -20,000 (likely less than that?), those initial divisions are no longer combat capable but they are hardly destroyed. It's very difficult to figure though because every single source I see has different numbers which vary wildly, most of which are news articles copy-pasted from other news articles written by people who drink starbucks every morning (it's like five bucks a cup!?) and live in their parents spare bedroom.

    Aw shoot, I'm rambling again.

    I guess what I really meant was, what information do we have that all of the Russian first line units have been committed? Did they pull everything from everywhere? Do we have video or satellite of trains hauling divisions worth of stuff to the front? Have they re-deployed their Baltic unit? Has their been a major air power redeployment? Have squadrons or wings been pulled from other assignments? Have we seen indications of gasoline shortages in civilian areas indicating a shortage of production or excessive consumption? Has the pace of their shelling eased off indicating a lack of ammunition? Have we seen food shortages in areas outside of Ukraine?

    There's a whole lot of stuff we simply don't know (because the Russian media doesn't tell us, and the western media doesn't care to find out), and in the face of this uncertainty I have to assume the reports of 'imminent collapse of everything' are suspect at the very least. I also have to assume there are units elsewhere that have not been committed but could be if Putin wanted to. We've seen units of the Western and Southern District identified, but two 'Armies' (Divisions) are missing (St. Petersburg and Caucasus), and that's not counting if they wanted to borrow units from other districts. They still, (by my count using wikipedia fwiw) have six airborne units (div or bde) and two divisions in the central district which could be easily transported. That's 70-80,000 dudes they could bring in if they wanted to, with hundreds of tanks and various sundries.

    If this has already happened then I would of course, stand corrected. It just seems difficult to believe that everything available has been consumed in just a few weeks.

    Geez, is it 9:36pm already? I haven't even had dinner.

  5. 2 hours ago, db_zero said:

    I don’t think Putin cares. He’s already flattened cities in Chechnya, took part in flattening and gassing cities in Syria. Why stop now?

    If the objective is to negotiate for better terms, literally drum-firing a major city into rubble isn't going to help him one bit.
    What he would need to do, is demonstrate an ability to hold onto the territory he has taken, and demonstrate the inability of the UKR to take it back.

    That's if he's interested in negotiation, but the Russian has used a pretense of negotiation as a ruse before.
    I know your comment is from a couple hours ago, (geez I don't want to be accused of being behind the curve already!) but my later point about kicking him back across the border applies here. I think the best outcome is to kick his ***, until he cries uncle.

    But that's some starry-eyed dreaming there and I don't think things will be that clean or easy.

  6. 1 minute ago, Cobetco said:

    the answer is they already have deployed their best stuff. one can assume the t14, and t90am are nothing more than parade pieces, at least right now.  the only kit that doesn't have photos after having been abandoned or destroyed is that clownish terminator thing. but that also may also just be a parade piece.

    That's not what I meant, but I have to bow out. I meant units as opposed to specific pieces of equipment or vehicles.
    I shouldn't have said the word 'stuff'.

  7. 4 minutes ago, BFCElvis said:

    You've been a forum member forever. As far as I recall you've always seemed like a good guy. I believe getting off on the wrong foot in this thread may have started with this inappropriate post:

    I hadn't seen the March 17 report yet. I've been busy reading.

    And yes, that's why I just let that comment slide right off my eyeballs, and my brain. But I simply cannot resist the 'Muh Winter War' meme. It's like a cat with a laser pointer. Gets me every time. As far as the previous one, well, let's just say it my way of making a statement about politics by rolling my eyes and groaning for all to hear.

    I do get a bit irritated at being told to 'learn to read' given I could read before kindergarten. So I apologize for getting snippy. But I really do think drawing conclusions on a war that's been going for a matter of weeks, when we have no idea when or how it will end, is foolish. To turn around and tell someone they're wrong without at least explaining, with one or two sentences at least why you say that is also foolish.

    I also think it's dumb to say something like, "It's ovah!!!" When the example of all of human history is before you.

    It's over when BOTH sides say it's over, and not one nanosecond before then.

  8. 6 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    So I gotta start by asking: are you honestly engaging in a discussion here and want to explore ideas?  Because you are coming across as a guy whose mind is made up and no amount of rational discussion is going to matter.

    The rational discussion I've received has been for people to tell me I'm wrong, then tell me to read 275 pages of forum posts.

    I work for a living. Give me a break.

    8 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    (e.g. why does the internet still work for Ukraine?)

    Starlink.

    8 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    That is not true, in fact it is very not true below about 10k feet.

    Okay. What about all the other altitudes?

    9 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    The fact that Russian forces did not set the basic pre-condition of gaining air superiority is a demonstration of their problem, not Ukraine's.  Plenty of evidence of Ukrainian UAV strikes online to demonstrate that we really are in more of an airpower stalemate and that is bad for an invading force.

    I do think the Russians had the plan to establish air superiority, they failed to do so. There were a ****load of cruise missile attacks on radar sites and AA positions early on, but the Ukrainians proliferate mobile systems just like the Russians do.
    I don't think a complete absence of threat was ever in the cards, but being able to cruise around largely unmolested at the higher altitudes you mentioned is still a huge advantage, and the complete absence of UKR air power these days is a big disadvantage to the defenders.

    13 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    The Russian Navy is definitely still a factor.

    Thank you.

    14 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    If for the sole question, "why have they not used it yet?  that said sea control will likely not be decisive, nor has it been decisive so far.

    Which makes me wonder one burning question, "Are they waiting for something else to happen first?"
    I don't know, but it will be interesting to find out.

    15 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    However, it is a layered issue.  Political defeat, military defeat, economic defeat - if we are talking military defeat, well then an inability to influence or shape negotiations in the direction of national interest is near the top for me.  And as we watch the bubble slide on the Russian side of the table, it is not looking good, but I will give you that the jury is still out. 

    Honestly I think Putin is safe politically, unless the entire population rises up against him, but I don't see that happening yet.

    Economic? Definitely. This does seem to have been a massive throw of the dice on a very shaky bet. HOWEVER: Nord Stream 1 and 2 are still pumping gas, aren't they? We'll see.

    Militarily? Seems so. But like I said before, let me know when the UKR counterattack shapes up because I REALLY want to see how that plays out.

    18 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    The primary way Russia has "gone backwards" is in the will of the Ukrainian people.  This is not about terrain, it is about their willingness to fight.  I think if Russian had one a quick and fairly clean fight that will might have stayed relatively dormant; however, that "plan did not survive" and now the entire nation is galvanized in an existential fight...that is definitely "backwards" from a Russian perspective.

    Yeah, but a lot of that is shaped by a media perspective. One thing is for sure, all the media and information we receive is dominated by Ukrainian sources. I'm not saying I don't believe them, but I do question things when it's this one-sided.
    One thing is for sure, Ukraine isn't going to surrender, so once again it's up to Mr. Putin to throw in the towel.

    23 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    Russia does have equipment advantage but it has failed to be able to really leverage that.  Why?  Well that is a million dollar question.  What we have seen is that Russian mass is not working, if it was that map would look a lot different.  I suspect it is either because the Russian war machine simply is not setup for this complexity and has fallen under its own weight, and the Ukrainians help them along with that.

    What I don't get is that they really seem to have drank the kool-ade and not deployed their best stuff. Either they didn't think they needed it, or they're waiting. If they are waiting, why?
    If it is a matter of them simply tripping and falling on their own faces, then Putin should trow in the towel, come to the table, and just take whatever we tell him because Russia's days as a power of any scale are well and truly over.
    But for some reason, I just don't see that happening.

    27 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    You are correct on one point, this is coming down to Will.  The Russians can keep pouring men into this fight, even if they are dismounted and have no ammo or food but if they have the Will that is an option.  What you seem to be sidestepping is the other issue, the Ukrainian Will to fight.

    I don't side-step that at all, I said repeatedly and many times it's up to Mr. Putin to end things. Ukraine is obviously going to fight, so this war will last as long as Putin makes it last.
    That is my point and it's directly in line with everything stated here, but let me know when Ukraine invades Russia, because that would be awesome.
    Russian Nationalism being destroyed by the Neo Cossack. What a reversal of history that would make!
    Admittedly that's just a fever dream and I have no doubt if Russia is kicked out of Ukraine terms will be set.

    IF...

    31 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    They see this as existential and are acting as such, so that is a problem right there for the Russians, unless they want a decades old resistance blowing up in their face but frankly I can't even seeing them getting that far as that would mean the Russians actually have to control the entire country and not about 15% of it.

    That assumes Russia isn't content to control 15% of the country.

    That may have been the plan all along. Who can say? Putin isn't talking to CNN so we don't know.

    33 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    Lemme just close with a very important point - this is not an internet argument that anyone can "win".  I know the reflex is there to play forum games and try to "out argue each other" but that is not what is happening here.

    As much as I enjoy that old forum game. I've been around here for a very long time.
    I take your point though, all I was trying to do was post 'Wot I Think'. Y'all were free to ignore it.

    35 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    This is a real war and people are dying in droves, so I frankly do not care who is "right or wrong" on a given Thurs because the situation is to dynamic.  But if you honestly want to contribute then do so, but this is not a contest...it is a really violent and scary puzzle.  Finally, there are people posting here who are actually in range of all those guns so let's also try and keep that in mind.

    I whole-heartedly agree, which is why I'm not casting dispersions, blame, guessing at motives, propagandizing, describing anyone as hitler, or screaming to high heaven about support for one side or the other.

    I just want to know whats happening, why, and how things might turn out. I gave my best assessment according to the information I have received over the past few weeks, layered it atop an assessment of likely capability going forward into the future, and made my conclusion.

    This war will go on until Putin throws in the towel. Period.

    I say the best way to get there is to kick his dudes back across the border with their tails between their legs, and until that happens victory will be incomplete. There will be that lingering doubt on the other side about, "If we try it again it might work next time." The problem is the UKR dudes are going to have to do it themselves. I don't think there will be a no-fly zone established, I don't think NATO will get involved, and beyond sending money and weapons and few crazy redditors trying to join the foreign legion, Ukraine is in this by themselves. The real test is whether or not they can do it. They have the will to fight, but can they physically do it?

    I don't know. We'll see.

    Thanks for the conversation.

  9. Quote

    Right, but some plans survive better than others.  The problem is Putin's Plan B is to shell civilians and hope that gets him a peace deal that is fully acceptable to him.  Not going to happen.

    Is that his plan B? It looks to me more like plan F. Then again, if they continue to reduce Mariupol the Crimean front and Donbas front will be merged. What happens after that is for the future to tell, but more likely there will be a push from the south towards the Kharkiv front.

    Quote

    Apparently you haven't read much of this thread because this has been refuted quite thoroughly.  The war is outside of Putin's hands.

    I don't know Steve, it seems to me he can throw in the towel any time he wants to. It's not like there's someone standing behind him with a pistol to his head forcing him to continue fighting, and if there actually is then we should all be VERY worried.

    Quote

    Says the guy that apparently can't read.

    Says the guy who apparently can't read either.

    Quote

    They are irrelevant to the ground war, so not important.

    So a ready supply of cruise missiles, artillery shells, and a capability for supply distribution that can be operated along the entire coastal region is not relevant to the ground war? Okay Steve, you got me there. It's irrelevant.

    Quote

    Er, you are reading THIS thread on THIS forum?  Because what you just described isn't at all what is here.  Unless, of course, your reading comprehension is substandard.

    Or maybe you're so used to sludge you don't notice it anymore. Then again you've been on THIS forum longer than any of us. I'm sure you could tell some horror stories over a few drinks.

    Quote

    You have an unusual definition of winning. ... And hate to break it to you... the frontlines are being pushed back.  Only just starting, but it is happening already.

    My definition of winning is 'The Complete Absence of the State of Losing'.
    Why do you 'hate to break it to me'? I hope you're right. But we'll see, won't we? Maybe after another week or two the glorious counterattack will be plain to see, and beyond all doubt.

    Quote

    Says the guy that makes grandiose statements that to many, including me, are completely contrary to the facts.

    Okay.

    Quote

     

    When Nazi Germany surrendered had millions of men under arms, they had thousands of tanks and armored vehicles.  They even still had functional aircraft, including the only operational fleet of jet aircraft.  They even still had some naval forces.

    Historians have gone back and looked for when they think Germany lost the war.  Not 1945.  Not 1944.  For many, not even 1943.  Somewhere in 1941 or 1942 is where most informed historians feel Germany lost the war.  When this war is over most informed historians will say Russia lost the war by about Day 3.

     

    A hundred years from now I'm sure the historians will have fun picking this apart, but when Germany surrendered the largest part of their territory they controlled was in Austria.

    So yeah. They surrendered Austria and Norway and Denmark and Czechoslovakia. When the largest part of Ukraine Russia controls is none of it, they can feel free to surrender that too. Then we can stop dealing with the ongoing fallout of 2014, and the complete lack of political, social, and military response to a blatant invasion and annexation of foreign territory that happened live on camera in front of everyone.

    Personally I think future learned historians will call this, "The War That Didn't Have to Happen at All, Except Stupid People on Both Sides Made Stupid Decisions, and Now We Have to Deal With It."

    Quote

     

    He has no plan.  If you read the discussion here instead of dismissing that you might actually see why.

    One thing I do agree with you though.  Putin is not going to roll over and die unless someone shoots him in the head.  Until that happens, it's Hitler in his bunker behavior.

     

    I am doing my best to read this thread but after taking three advil I think I'll give up.

    Let me know when that bunker thing happens though, when that nonexistent guy with a pistol pulls the trigger. But he doesn't exist though, so I don't think that's going to happen.

    Would make a cool movie though. 'From Russia with Love: Downfall Edition'

    Anyway, I've got a bursting headache, so if anyone wants to actually refute any of the bullet points I made in my first post feel free to PM me, I'd appreciate some extra info I apparently don't posses, and the Institute for the Study of War doesn't possess either.

  10. 1 minute ago, sburke said:

    okay yeah go read the rest of the pages.  but no just because you THINK you have something doesn't mean you have a plan, at least not a good one.  Putin may not roll over and die (though we could wish)  His army though is a whole other matter.  Enough here though.  We apparently have two completely different perspectives on what constitutes winning for either Russia or Ukraine.

    Oh I'm sorry, am I not allowed to say what I think?
    Geez, where do I think I am, a discussion forum or something?
    Like I said, I'm wading through the hundreds of pages of posts as fast as I can, but it's definitely not a shining beacon of knowledge and education.

  11. Just now, kraze said:

    Again let me ask you the same question: 100% of Afghanistan was controlled by russians for 10 years.

    They controlled everything - whole government, every single airbase, every outpost.

    So I take it USSR won?

    They did, until they gave up.
    As I was saying in my post.
    Do I have to go over this again?

  12. 2 minutes ago, db_zero said:

    At this point the best the Russian Army can hope for is inch up a little more to get their 152mm SP guns to where they can use continuous artillery fire to reduce all or most of Kyiv to rubble

    If they resort to such a thing then I will PM sburke and apologize.

    That would be literally the worst thing they could do.

  13. 14 minutes ago, sburke said:

    obstinate?  Russian advance has been stopped for all intents.  You do recall Putin was planning on being in Kiev in 3 days right?  Almost everyone including the doomsayers agree to that.  Russia does not have uncontested control of UKR airspace (which is the real barometer, no one ever expected UKR to have air superiority so that is pretty much a red herring), the Russian Navy is cruising back and forth doing nothing and the West is supplying a ton of military hardware with which UKR is defeating the Russian army so please go read the other 265 pages. 

    From your post it would seem you think Russia is winning this war.  Maybe I am just reading into it, but that seems to be the crux.  Please correct me if you feel I am mistaking your view. 

    1) I don't care what the original plan was, and you should know by now as literally everyone on this forum should know, no plan survives contact with the enemy. As I stated in my post, things will continue until Mr. Putin decides to stop them.

    2) I never said Russia has uncontested control of UKR airspace, please read my post again, or just learn to read in general, thanks.

    3) I specifically reference the fact the Russian Navy has not been aggressive. What they have NOT done though is turn around head back to home port.

    4) I would like to see this evidence of defeat please. I'm sorting through the pages of this thread as fast as I can, but the reddit-tier cringe and literal tweet posting is ruining my vision and giving me a headache, especially having to once again observe videos and tweets of stuff that was disproven, mistaken, or redacted weeks ago.

    5) Yes, Russia is still winning. Until they are actually forced to go BACKWARDS they will continue winning. Key word: BACKWARDS. I'll say it again: UNTIL THEY GO BACKWARDS.

    It's like you're desperately trying to both insinuate I'm saying something I'm not, and also make points that simply fly in the face of reality. The Russians have hundreds, or thousands of tanks and vehicles, hundreds of planes and helicopters, and thousands of troops in Ukraine. That is not what losing looks like. When Ukraine announces they've retaken Kherson, relieved Mariupol, or some other such thing, then I will be the first to say, "Yup, looks like they're winning."

    Until the Russian comes to the table, or announces his intention to talk, then he thinks he's winning. If he thinks he's winning, then he still has a plan. If he still has a plan, then he's not just going to roll over and die.

  14. 6 minutes ago, sburke said:

    LOL well you have 265 pages to go and not to blow the ending for ya, but almost everything you said is wrong.  But keep reading lots of good stuff in there.

    So...
    The Russian advance has been stopped, Ukraine retains control of it's airspace, the Russian navy has been kicked out of the Black Sea, and both the USA and EU have announced a military intervention of some type, or are you just making a joke?
    Oh you're just making a joke. Ha ha.

  15. 11 minutes ago, LukeFF said:

    Why on earth are you dragging up posts from near the end of last month, especially when it looks like you're just trying to poke someone in the face and say "haha, I told you so!" Skip to about page 270 and join the rest of us in the current time.

    Did you not see the entire rest of my post, or are you just casting shade because you want to wag your finger at me?

  16. On 2/24/2022 at 3:27 PM, The_Capt said:

    - US will likely "take the gloves off" in the political warfare arena.  So far the west has been pretty much defensive in this space but I am betting some old-school options are going to come back on the table. 

    🤣 I do wonder what universe some people live in.

     

    On 2/24/2022 at 3:40 PM, womble said:

    That would be endgame for Putin, wouldn't it? The Finns have a very strong record against Russia, I gather :)

    They lost. Just have to remind you they lost. Okay? They lost. All right, let's move on.

     

    So it's been about a month since this thread was started, and I think we have an answer to the question posed in the title. This is as hot as it's going to get. Whether or not Russia takes the entire country, or whether they are content to partition it is up to them to decide (but personally I'm leaning towards partitioning as a means of keeping them out of NATO), but a few things are clear now the situation has developed:

    • Ukraine cannot stop all of the Russian advances. They have had success with local counterattacks, and have stopped some advances temporarily, but Russian forces continue to advance in other areas. There have been 'operational pauses' but there have been no STOPS. The presence of western AT weapons and other lethal support extended to Ukraine by (he who shall not be named) (and others) has given them much more than the walkover they were expecting, but the Russian is tough and used to hardship, even those inflicted upon him by his own command structure. No supplies? No problem! Just steal food and gas from Ukrainian gas stations! People throwing molotov cocktails at you? No problem! Just tell them to go away or you will shoot them! The Russian is used to operating this way.
    • Ukraine cannot control it's airspace. The Russians have taken losses, but they remain free to operate combat aircraft and helicopters over most of the country. Ukraine itself seems only capable of operating aircraft and helicopters in certain areas, and they cannot replace their losses without outside help. Very early in the invasion we heard reports of Ukrainian helicopters and aircraft attacking advancing Russian columns but those reports have died down, and the Russian wouldn't be parking a 40km long line of tanks, trucks, and other vehicles on the highway if there was any existing air threat.
    • The Russian Navy has free access to the Black Sea, which means they can conduct fire support and amphibious operations anywhere they want to at any time. Ukraine has shown exactly zero capability to effect this outcome, although something makes me think there are still existing defenses in some areas., because the Russian has not operated as aggressively as I would think he could.
    • The United States will do nothing but levy sanctions. The current leadership is incapable of doing anything else, an entire generation of people are now sick of foreign wars and interventions, and there will be no groundswell of support for intervention in Ukraine despite the froth mouthed rhetoric of people on twitter and reddit. The average American is more concerned about the crashing economy, inflation, the price of food and gas, and the fact we're currently stuck with a President and a Congress that doesn't seem capable of undoing the decisions that led to this outcome in the first place. I certainly am not running over to the recruitment center any more than I didn't for Afghanistan, or Iraq, or Syria, or Libya, etc. That's just me though, if you want to get your nuts up, and hop on a plane to Ukraine go right ahead. If you happen to meet a guy named Yuri Gavriluk tell him I said hi.
    • Europe will do nothing more than levy sanctions. They rely too much on Russian oil and gas to make up shortfalls in their overall energy production, and they have long since allowed their defense spending to fall below the minimums set by NATO participation. They will need to increase funding, acquire new equipment, recruit and train  new troops, and then maybe a couple years from now consider intervention. Despite the fact (he who shall not be named) tried to call them out years ago for their lack of defense spending, insisting they 'pay their fair share' Europe at large just didn't care. Now the situation will most likely end before the EU is in a position to do anything about it.

    It really comes down to, how long does Russia want to keep this up, when they do call a stop, and what are going to be their terms for a ceasefire?

    I'm only on page 12 right now but I doubt I'll see anything to refute any of this.

  17. On 3/8/2022 at 5:49 PM, THH149 said:

    If only Russian MoD had purchased the professional version of CMBS, Russia would've modernised their armed forces on the cheap with better training, and actually taught someone something useful. 

    I once saw a documentary on RT about the use of video games to teach tactics and strategy to the military, but the games they showed were Blitzkrieg and Sudden Strike. If they had actually bought something like Combat Mission and given all their officers a copy...

  18. On 3/6/2022 at 1:34 AM, MikeyD said:

    To get a good approximation of Russians in CMBS go look for those Youtubers who decided to give the Steam CM franchise a spin without ever having played the game before. A lot of 'How does this work?', 'Oh! I just blew up!', 'Oh no, my men are dying!' and 'I'll just run him into the middle of the field and..."

    😁😄😆🤣

    Oh man that is always fun to see and is quite entertaining in a morbid way.
    I don't know how many times I see some big time gaming youtuber playing CM and I think, "Man if I was playing this guy in a PBEM I would have kicked his ass three times by now."

  19. On 3/5/2022 at 7:05 PM, Battlefront.com said:

    I've seen no evidence that anything in CMBS is wrong

    CMBS is, and always has been modeling a hypothetical scenario.

    Let me say that again, HYPOTHETICAL.

    One more time for posterity, and because some people have comprehension problems: HYPOTHETICAL.

    There. There is no solution because there is no problem. Happy St. Patrick's Day to you all.

    See y'all in a few more months I guess.

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