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panzermartin

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Posts posted by panzermartin

  1. 8 minutes ago, billbindc said:

    Burkina and Niger between them have something like 25k in their armed forces. In ECOWAS alone, Nigeria has over 230,000 and will be backed by French networks, special forces, Western ISR, etc if it chooses to intervene. That's a hybrid war Wagner might just be stupid enough to fight.

    Yes I know the numbers look good on paper, but I wouldn't want to see another conflict there. Not sure how the rest of Africa will welcome a sizeable western intervention there. 

  2. Anyone else worried about the Niger coup and the weakening of French/western influence there and the rest of African neighbors. I was never a pro colonial but I wouldn't also want to see Russian/Chinese puppets there  taking power. They are going to do the same or worse than what Europeans did a century ago. Wagner is supposedly involved. Is this a world wide exporting of the ukrainian conflict, or just small imperialist moves on the checkerboard. I can see all this shaping in a big Western  vs /ex colonial /Russo chinese hybrid war sooner than later.

    Damn, World shifthing events ahead for all of us in this decade. 

  3. Not sure who is winning at the moment....But for me Russia showed great tenacity and character when after the first months of  shocking losses, abysmal performance, units simply abandoning shining expensive equipment and an unrealistic plan of conquering Ukraine with 200k men and bad intellgence, managed to bite back and hold the line so far against practically the support of 40 NATO countries and a total western blackout on their economy. That was a blow that would break any country to pieces.

    Russia was ridiculed, for its drunk tank drivers, the washing machine looters, the Moskva fiasco, the javelin cope cages, the dodgy weapons from the 50s and so on...Yet it now casually destroys Leo2s and Bradleys in perfect killing zones, has now the edge on drone warfare and Electronic warfare and its industry is working 24h round the clock fully adapting to the urgency of the situation. Russia has not commited yet the bulk of their 140 million population, people home are not much affected by the war and a good part of its losses are tens of thousands of convicts and poor minorities in contrast with Ukraine that is offering the core of their male population. More importantly, Russia enjoys a vast superiority in air support that is still important to dominate a battlefield and make a wider offensive succesfull. Ukraine seems better in ISR, precision and small infantry unit action but these alone cant dominate the front. Ukraine lacks the critical mass to push Russia out any time soon imo. And the western support coming in small waves and pieces ends up getting destroyed in small waves and pieces instead of decisevely altering the balance at once. 

     The next phase could be a full NATO intervention that Russia can't cope with, but I'm not sure whether this would be a positive escalation for anyone. 

     

  4. 5 hours ago, Haiduk said:

    Sometime I think that with help of Ukraine some countries also search a ways to get rid of own junk to burn it in flame of war and not waste money for utilization

    I think, these 100 BTR-60 can be moved to rear TD brigades on Belarusian border. Or better to use them as SVBIEDs... Or remote-controlled minefield breachers %)

    The video of this weird acrobatic dismounting way from this APC must be modelled in CMCW )))  

     

    I've heard, when on tour, the Bolhsoi ballet uses the BTR-60

  5. 5 minutes ago, Butschi said:

    To be fair, @panzermartin specifically mentioned Western Europe. None of those countries are in western Europe.

    Again, there is enough to discuss that people actually post, so can we all please reduce the number of strawmen a bit? They are multiplying like rabbits of late. 😉

    For a moment I thought geography was inverted to prove my point false. Thanks. 

    All I wanted to say before I was shot on the wall, was that the fears of Russia reaching the Atlantic with the current scale and intentions of this war, have no actual base in reality or history. 

    At least, I'm glad I unite this forum 😁

     

     

     

     

  6. 32 minutes ago, Aragorn2002 said:

    🤣

    Please laugh if this makes you less anxious about Russia invading Netherlands 😅

    10 minutes ago, Aragorn2002 said:

    Historically Russia only attacked countries on it's Western border after being attacked itself?

    If that ain't a remark to laugh about, I don't know what is.😐

     

    Please read again my post. "Went deeper in Western Europe". That's quite different than a war on their western border. 

    But the truth is Berlin and Paris saw russian soldiers in their streets only after Germans and French tried to march in Moscow.

     

     

  7. Historically Russia went deeper into Western Europe only after Western Europe attacked Russia. Napoleon, Hitler etc..Kinda of reactionary counter offensive. I can't see this changing now, especially since the motivation of russians to fight in Ukraine and protect vital interests and russian populations there is already low and men are fleeing to Georgia, Turkey and god knows where else.

    Russia doenst have the means to advance even past the Dnieper. NATO air foce alone will be enough to stop them. Realisticaly the only fear is the nuclear escalation. Thats why we are trying to keep this war "small"  

     

        

  8. 17 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    I'd say I've seen more, and larger, capture videos in the last two weeks than several months before.  As for Russians not surrendering even when it's their only option other than death... we've seen that since the start.  Nothing new.  Lots and lots of videos of Ukrainians yelling for guys to come out of their hideyholes, refusing, then getting a grenade.

    For sure Russian "barrier units" are in action.  We've heard lots of this from Russian POWs, but a week or so ago we saw a drone video of Russians shooting Russians.  So yes, there is fear of retreating and fear of surrendering.  Some are simply not smart enough to have made up their minds that they've got a better chance of living if they surrender than they do retreating.

    Steve

    Maybe I missed those videos. That lead me to the impression that the en masse surrender or abandonment of equipment of the early weeks of the war are no longer. I think the addition of barrier units were introduced later to counter these. Still shocking these are still employed like it's the 40s again.... 

  9. Speaking of the quality or mentality of the Russian troops in Ukraine...I'm trying to figure an explanation why we are seeing less and less russian prisoners, and the ones in the video prefer to die than surrender/retreat. It's like Stalin not one step back 1941 again? What's going on. 

    We literally saw Ukraine SF begging them to surrender but still didn't work...

    Is it the misery of war that has taken all sense and desire for life, is it the NKVD squad waiting in the woods behind, is it drugs, is it brainwashing, has the mutual hate crossed the point of no return, or we don't see enough of what's happening to pows (from both sides) ?

     

  10. 2 minutes ago, danfrodo said:

    JUST F-ING DROP IT, JESUS H CRYPTO, JUST STOP you are wasting everyone's time.  It's hard to keep up w the forum without dozens of posts stemming from this.

    Hey who's screaming now. It's not my fault I had to reply to 20 posts about copium. I'm out for now. 

    Peace. 

  11. 3 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:

    There is a huge difference between coming into a room full of people who are having an informed exchange of ideas and screaming insults about their intelligence, integrity, reasoning skills, etc. and coming into the same room and engaging in the discussion with productive debate behavior.  This is how you started out the whole mess we're sorting through:

    " Sometimes I'm surprised by the amount of copium in this forum. "

    The thing is, I never expected the forum to take a meme word like Copium so seriously! I personally find it funny, it's unfortunate that this was taken as screaming insults to fellow members or undermining their intelligence, which absolutely is not my intend. It was in a definetely lighter tone, written text cannot convey accurately. 

    Maybe in my other words I put some of the everyday pressure and I'm not on the receiving end to realize it. Something to improve I guess. 

     

  12. 31 minutes ago, hcrof said:

    I may be wrong but I think the word "undermined" should have read "underestimated". Noone here is defending Russia, but this forum does tend towards Russia sux lol sometimes. We can find buckets of videos of zek lemmings getting barbequed but Russia has a big army and there are pockets of competence (see the RUSI report). We should be mindful of that. 

    There, thank you. I think I can't edit to avoid misunderstanding. Undermining was meant for Underestimating /bashing /ridiculing 

    Apologies 

  13. 2 hours ago, Beleg85 said:

    Are we sure we observe the same genocidal, simple war of conquest? If you are so afraid of "undermining" Russia, here is you adress of complains and source of all of the fuss : http://www.en.kremlin.ru/contacts

    You are not rightfully criticizning, you get whacked by arguments and are now doing another virtue signalling, while clearly parroting Putin propaganda matrix you saw on some Russian forum. And you don't even get that- that's btw. how propaganda of this type works. Its victims are always people who think of themselves as freethinkers, outside constraints of mainstream media, but who are in fact mentally not equipped to properly build their own worldview that would be anchored in both political realism and some basic ethics. Ukrainians and "American overlords" guilty of Larissa rail accident, USA building bases to "force" others to watch Micky Mouse, poor bombed Nazis in WWII etc. These are the same, unmistakeable symptoms of reducing everything toward symetristic bull*hit.

    I am more and more inclined to believe that if world in 1939 would have internet and contrarian keyboard warriors, whole Europe would be foocked royally, divided between Brown and Red totalitarian empires up to this day, doing whatever they want.

    Ok, I have enough of this, so where was this mute button...

    I could reply unleashing the dangerous isotope Copium that shocked some people here , but I forgive you for falling so low and calling me a Putin propagandist, since you are clearly in rant mode 

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