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Vanir Ausf B

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  1. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Claims to show moment of impact against the "Sergei Kotov" patrol vessel.
     
     
  2. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That isn't actually what it says.  It is more about where we stand now with a complete reversal of where things had been when the US and Soviet Union began a drawdown in weapons and moves to limit the risk of nuclear war.  It is only saying anything about Ukraine as a tangent to the overall global risk and specifically brings up the rumors Russia started about the Ukrainians doing a "false flag dirty bomb" which the US and Ukraine felt was a cover for Russia to use a tactical nuke.  It never once suggests a Ukrainian negotiation or even a discussion of the state of the war there.
    The overall article is about the increased proliferation and development of new weapons in a world with an increase in conflicts.  You really should read this stuff before stating what it is about.
  3. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    First German FPV drone for military purposes, delivieries will go to Ukraine. Called "tank destroyer" Maus.
    We will see if it will turn out to be over-engineered and unnecessarily maintenance intensive. 
    But the manufacturer claims to have been in communication with Ukrainian soldiers during the design process.
    Released features:
    - Weaponry: modular via "clamp-on" system
    - Effective range (combat): 5-7 km (3-4 miles)
    - Effective range (recon): 12-17km (7-10 miles)
    - Max. flight time: 25 min
    - vertical speed: 17,5-22.0 m/s
    - Weight (empty): 700g
    - Max. total weight: 6,5kg
    - Frame: Donaustahl-M-V1 (inspired by "De Havilland DH.98")
    - Max. speed: 140 km/h (86mi/h)
    based on 10.000mAh battery.
    Seems like a speedy but low-range drone. Maybe it will have good electro-magnetic shielding? I would hope so.
     
  4. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A (probably paywalled) WaPo article about Ukrainian recruitment efforts. It largely echoes @Haiduk's comments from yesterday.
    _____
    Syrsky has been tasked with auditing the existing armed forces to find more combat-eligible troops, after Zelensky’s office recently announced that of the 1 million people who have been mobilized, only about 300,000 have fought at the front lines. But nearly a month after his promotion, no one in the military leadership or the presidential administration has explained where those 700,000 are — or what they have been doing.
    More than 4,000 amendments have been made to the mobilization bill, and some lawmakers see the measure as an attempt by Zelensky to pass off responsibility to parliament for inevitably unpopular decisions.
    “It’s time to start an adult conversation with society and not to be afraid of it, ” Bobrovska said. “It’s not 2022, when emotions took over.”
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/03/04/ukraine-mobilization-zelensky-russia/
  5. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    More light on the story with destroyed M1150 - likey it tried to tow damaged and abandoned M1A1
     
  6. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russians started to use new 122 mm HEFRAG shells OF56IM-1P for D30/2S1 howitzers. They have a range on 4 km longer (19....20 km), than Soviet shells (15,2 km). This shells very similar to Chineese 122 mm ammunition with the same parameters, but unknown either this direct Chineese supply with Russian markings or Russian produced.
     
  7. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to domfluff in Different uses for 155mm and 120mm mortars   
    As is ever the case, the real-life utility of these is often because they are there.
    To take the Soviets, and Soviet-derived forces (so, Syrians and Russians in CMSF and CMBS), the 120mm mortars are a battalion asset, so each battalion would have a battery of mortars embedded within them, and these will always be available to the paper structure of this formation.
    122mm and 152mm artillery are brigade-level assets, so will be assigned to the main effort. That's often, but not always, what we're representing in CM scenarios. Call-in times will typically be longer, but not necessarily long enough to matter. 122mm and 152mm howitzers have a significantly longer range than mortars, so there will be tasks they will do which mortars are unsuitable for.
    A CM battle is an extremely limited perspective on a wider task. In that specific case, the roles of 152mm howitzers and 120mm mortars are very similar. They are providing the same four basic tasks that artillery carries out, destruction, suppression, obscuration and denial. The HE in a 120mm shell tends to be larger than the 155mm/152mm artillery, so bigger boom for less accuracy. This means that laying smoke for obscuration is the task which mortars are generally strictly better at, but most tasks can be done more or less equally well with either system. There will be some differences in things like the angle of incoming fire. Whether that matters will be terrain dependent.
    Accuracy is for the most part unimportant for suppression and denial, and only really matters when you're trying to actively destroy targets, which is a task that 152mm and 155mm artillery will be superior to 120mm mortars at... but still not ideal, since that's a task better suited for rocket artillery and more specialist munitions (sensor-fused munitions, for example), which are often not really a close support artillery role (and hence not necessarily something you'd see a lot of in CM terms).
    So, sure, if you want to phrase the question as "Why should I pick this system in a Quick Battle?", the answer may come down to points values, rarity and available ammunition. Mortars tend to be a little cheaper, but that will vary.
    If you want to phrase this question as "Why would you put this in a scenario?", the answer is (or should be) that this is something that is available to this unit, in this context.
    If you want to phrase the question as "How do I best use this unit?", then there's very little difference in how these are employed, they both do similar tasks to approximately the same degree of effectiveness, with minor differences.
     
  8. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Pretty awful place to get hit, very little cover from ground fire and presence of drones means completely vulnerable to overhead attack and observation. 
    I'm not convinced a top grade NATO squad could have done much more. Run across the road across from the vehicles? Sure, better chance v Brads - but Drones overhead. There was one guy rolled out right, kept down the entire time - until naded by a drone. 
    I suspect they lost their leadership in the first few minutes and after that, well... 
    The entire mission was a death ride. No squad could have come out of that in a functional state, then somehow cross 1km of open terrain. 
  9. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    40 minutes and filled with details appears to me pretty genuine, especially considering russias "quality" in other faked content so far.
    - Taurus discussion starts at 5 minutes in
    - No one has a clue why Scholz is blocking Taurus
    - They hint at US soldiers being there and confirm UK troops on the ground overseeing the targeting.
    - They also confirm the UK troops would be willing to work with Taurus so German troops dont have be there. So thats another blatant lie from Scholz.
    - UA learned patriots within weeks and surprised the crews how good they are used
    - Stormshadow/-- mounts can be modified to fit Taurus relatively easy
    - hitting easy targets: few weeks
    - Hitting the bridge seems difficult, Stormshadow/-- got shot down quite often? Training will be 4-6 months
    - Stormshadow and Scalps are pretty much all used and UK/FR want Germany to deliver Taurus before sending more themselfs
    - Only single digits amount of Su-24 are left 
    Next question, how the **** does russia get access to this?
  10. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yes, those comments tend to come more from people not involved at all with the war who mostly base it on common stereotypes, while I feel most of the russia sucks crowd is following the war but for the most part just what ends up on twitter.
    I would argue current russian army in relation to ZSU is the best it has been since before the war. They have found strategies with which to overcome large defenses, poor troop quality and low morale. Those are btw higher than during the first year of the war, while those who volunteered to defend are now exhausted or dead and followed by people who are less eager.
    Furthermore, the western supplies have essentially dried up - majority of what is being pledged now is 2 - 3 years away from being delivered - what had been pledged is being missed, like the million artillery shells - all the resources are currently commited and getting pushed back [although current mass charges arent sustainable for rus but rather an opportunistic reaction to the current state of the defense].
    There is ofc the occasional T-54 meme driving around but the commanders know that they are good enough to successfully fullfill current russian strategy, and since having showed up a year or more ago, still not in large quantities but rather the odd tank here and there in a long list of T-72s and T-90s, I doubt it is an indicator of desperation and rather someones little side project restoring these lol. 
    As for who breaks first, I hope the weak politicians who are bowing down to putins nuke extortions, because they still react like scared little deer whenever putin lets a supposed nuke drive around the block and get replaced with men who know how to deal with that obvious behavior.
    This war can be won decidedly with putin backing himself into his little contained reich playing happy dictator in his golden palace, but instead they risk Nato troops ending up in situations like the picture I posted today.
    Of course and there are lines where putin will receive a bullet in the head by his own people but that line has been drawn up time and time again until everyone realized that it likely wont happen when all the people thinking it fell out of windows.
    This has to be evaluated within the context, so far russia has surpassed any imaginable amount of absolutely pointless suffering, anyone a year ago seeing hundreds of wagner convicts die painful deaths asked why are they still signing up for this?
    The question arises just the same now. I watched more than a hundred dead russians today, yet the question why they do it still has too many answers. russians were willing to spend more than an entire decade of afghanistan misery on a frontline city that in peacetime could be walked through in 2 hours and the reaction in russia is a few people on the street, singing, thinking woe is us.
    Imagine this amount of death and destruction on the Nato side, without overwhelming US airpower winning the war before it started. Because the amount of graves the west is willing to dig is the literal worth of article 5. If we take ww1 as a guideline, we are still short a million dead russians, famine and a civil war before the time is up.
  11. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This entire debate about boots on the ground is interesting one...like everyone pretends that Texeira papers didn't mentioned specific numbers of operators already in the country or French gandarmerie (and likely many others) protecting Zelensky. 🤫
    Btw. is it true that Taurus needs trained NATO crew to feed targets to its systems that SCALP does not (sorry if answered, I have week-long lag on the topic)?
    Jesus, what we are even looking at.
    Offensive is going pretty well I see.
  12. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Chibot Mk IX in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    First rule of Aerial warfare. Divide the wartime claimed kills by 3 (sometime even have to divide it by 7)
     
    Also, Russia could develop then filed something similar to ADM-160 MALD decoy missile/drone.
  13. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It is my biggest gripe in this forum. Closely followed by the idea russia is hanging on by mere threads, collapsing any day now.
  14. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The line for navalnys funeral keeps growing. I doubt the police will let everything go off without a hitch. 
  15. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't disagree about the 1916 analogy but how do you think the warring sides would have made peace in 1916? Under what terms? And who would enforce them?
    Edit: and wasn't the war being fought in french and russian territory in 1916 due to rapid early advances by the central powers? And who won in the end?
  16. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I guess there is such a thing as airborne meat waves. 
     
  17. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Please god no. That's a twitter account that's far past its smell date.
  18. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Lethaface in Tank v. tank spotting.. (what a ***** mess)   
    It is and always has been. There are things you can do to stack the odds in your favor, and it sounds like you did that to a degree. But in Combat Mission, and I would argue in real life, doing everything the right way doesn't guarantee success. Of course, the corollary to that is sometimes you can screw up and still win.
  19. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Number of Russian airstrikes from 1st of Feb to 28th of Feb

  20. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Has Finland provided weaponry that realistically could be used to strike inside Russia? I tried to look it up but it seems Finland is coy about what they send, exactly.
  21. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think artillery shells, no missiles. But they also havent disclosed everything 
  22. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to FancyCat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  23. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So, is this silly hypothetical sub from Russia, or is it unknown. Because right now all you have is Schrödinger's sub ... which might not even have been a sub, let alone a Russian one. And that isn't a good basis for anyone to be declaring war over.
  24. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    .... article 5 is a legal clause.
    Yes, there is also a lot of symbolism attached to it and for good reason.
    But it is ultimately a legal procedure which requires legal justification to invoke. A legal procedure which all nations of the treaty agreed to follow as per its carefully worded letter.
  25. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I'm no expert but if a NATO member sends soldiers outside of NATO territory to participate in a war and then gets targeted by the other party, why should that trigger article 5? If the US defends Taiwan and China strikes the US, would that trigger article 5?
    Anyway I'm not going to argue for or against one side but it's really up to each nation to decide if they want get actively involved in war (outside of NATO obligations, of course), I think. Just because France and UK do it doesn't mean everyone else is suddenly obliged to do it, too.
     
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