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Holien

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Posts posted by Holien

  1. 12 minutes ago, kraze said:

    The sole fact that no cops or military personnel were present at Crocus for about an hour should tell you everything you need to know.

    That Russia is suffering a shortage of fast response armed units as they have been busy elsewhere.

    That decent command and control staff are busy elsewhere (if even alive).

    Ukraine is going to be blamed for anything bad happening in Russia whether or not it can be tied back to Ukraine or the evil 3rd party (British, CIA, FBI, America) depending on the whimsy of the Russian elite at the time...

    It really doesn't matter what Russia thinks, it's what the real world thinks...

    Russia already lives in a Fantasyland so who cares how they spin it...

  2. 7 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    This news, though it was again from "anonymous source" summoned a huge wave of hate in Ukraine. Especially on background of today's heavy strike. 

    Lot's of folk here not very happy with this either....

    I am all for sending Ukraine everything we can from the Uk. No point in having it sat here in warehouses when we have a fire to put out in Europe.

    I will be writing to my MP, not that I expect it will do much but it's something I can do.

    Europe has realised that we shouldn't be dependent on foreign countries for energy and key commodities so we are on a trajectory to remove the strangle hold of OPEC and Russia.

    If Ukraine can produce it's own weapon systems with European help, American Aid will become less important.

    We need to keep you in the fight this year....

    Ukraine needs to work out how to recruit folk to keep the front lines manned...

     

  3. 5 hours ago, Carolus said:

    Great news after another night of Russian bombardment...

    If America could only ween itself off Oil...

    There is a pathway but too many on the right are against anything "green".

    A topic not for this thread but it would help the world and stop Americans being held hostage to oil price pressure.

    I wonder if Ukraine will listen to this advice from Biden or will take the Israeli position.

    Europe really needs to up it's involvement as I despair of some Americans who hold power.

     

  4. This chap is doing fairly decent videos trying to explain attacks and the context of them.

    His content on the incursion into Russia has been useful for me to understand exactly where the videos have been taken. 

    His analysis is not military grade but by adding maps and context it is useful, to me anyway...

    Looks like Russia might have lost some long range bombers? 

     

  5. 1 minute ago, Carolus said:

    And maybe Ukraine will also eventually adjust their targeting to the most expensive and useful parts of the Russian energy and railway grid - unless the Western powers really wagged their fingers and declared that as forbidden.

    I am hoping this will be the case and the Western Powers can't stop Ukraine from using home grown weapons doing whatever they wish..

    In fact I think Macron might even be fully behind this now to end the war quickly...

    As I keep asking "ARE WE THERE YET!!!!"

    God do I hope so....

  6.  

    Ok as we are talking about Elections PR Stunts this popped up and worth a read...

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/05/05/putins-human-rights-council-accidentally-posts-real-crimean-election-results-only-15-voted-for-annexation/amp/

    The article is from May 2014. I know I know going back a bit but when did the war start...

    So for those thinking there was mass support for the annexation the actual figures don't back that up...

     

    Quote

    Yesterday, however, according to a major Ukrainian news site, TSN.ua, the website of the President of Russia’s Council on Civil Society and Human Rights (shortened to President’s Human Rights Council) posted a report that was quickly taken down as if it were toxic radioactive waste. According to this purported report about the March referendum to annex Crimea, the turnout of Crimean voters was only 30 percent. And of these, only half voted for the referendum–meaning only 15 percent of Crimean citizens voted for annexation.

     

    Quote

    We can debate the extent of fraud in the March 16 referendum, but only the Council’s highest estimate just yields the fifty percent turnout ratio normally required for major referendums. What counts is that the Putin regime solemnly announced to the world that 82 percent of the Crimean people voted to join Mother Russia, and many in the West swallowed this whopper. At best, according to Putin’s own council, only 30 percent did.

     

    Anyway all a moot point as any Russian election is just a PR attempt to dupe the world...

     

  7. 20 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    Realistically?  It's still Russia's main source of income and every drop of fuel taken away from the civilian market for the war will be cumulatively noticed.

    This struck me at the start of the article..

     

    Quote

    On one hand, the additional income Russia receives from exporting the products made by its refineries instead of the oil they are made from, is relatively insignificant compared to what it makes from selling the crude oil. Ironically, Russia’s tax system means that the state loses money if energy companies export oil products instead of crude oil.

    So they make more from the crude and Ukraine is not targeting that production.

    Certainly Russia is going to see more fuel shortages for its internal market but it is not clear cut that the drone attacks will do enough to shut down the energy market for Russia.

    As the author says (he wrote article I guess before the 26th Jan) we will have to see how effective the repairs are.

     

    Quote

    If we are seeing the beginning of a wave of attacks on western Russia’s oil refineries, the consequences will be serious. Either way, Russia’s reserves of resilience and ingenuity look set to be severely tested. The speed and quality of the repairs at Kstovo, Ust-Luga, and Tuapse will be key indicators of Moscow’s readiness.

    I am hoping they are not as effective as Ukraine was in recovering from the attacks on their power grid.

    It could be the smartest use of drones by Ukraine so far and perhaps have the biggest payback. (And Ukraine is already at genius level for use with the ships sunk...)

    Fingers Crossed...

  8. 18 hours ago, Haiduk said:

    what a sense to strike broken helicopter it's unclear - either this was "false flag",

    False Flag...

    New HD web cam perfectly framed helo with broken window, fueled to make a bigger bang.

    Clearly not flown in ages...

    Done in day light, no easy to identify drone, could be anything that destroyed it.

    My money on a False Flag, let's see what else happens....

  9. BBC had a page on Macron and his volt face...

     

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-68575251

    Quote

    European elections are approaching, and the hard-right of Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella looks set to trounce the Macronites.

     

    So is Emmanuel Macron using Ukraine to create a fault line between his side and the opposition, setting a contrast between his own lucid belligerence and Ms Le Pen's turbid complicity with Moscow in the past?

     

  10. 2 hours ago, Rokko said:

    This has be to be a joke, right?

    Yep Jon has a very dry sense of humour.

    It is the same level of Joke that with Leopards earlier the war would be already be over...

    We are where we are.

    Hindsight and rewritten history is inevitable, humans being human.

    Doesn't mean that there shouldn't be pushback on those spinning a message so it does have to be countered.

     

     

  11. 10 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:

    so no point in further beating dead horse.

    Yep...

    Hindsight a wonderful thing....

    As if we even knew Russia WAS going to invade...

    Going forward Europe is showing every intention of upping it's support despite some folk saying otherwise...

    Ukraine is NOT out of the fight and if it addresses some weaknesses it will certainly stay in the fight longer than Russia has...

  12. 43 minutes ago, Kraft said:

    The "not possible" is just a moral veil for "not in the interest

    There we go with simple answers and simple statements....

    How would the logistics worked with all those tanks?

    You do know the tip of the spear needs a decent length of well crafted wood behind it to make it effective.

    Look Steve earlier has as ever given a far more detailed effective response.

    Sure there could have been things we should have done sooner and more effective.

    Sure Germany could have stepped up sooner. It would certainly have helped but there were / no easy answers, hindsight is easy... 

  13. 1 hour ago, Kraft said:

    Now say, that instead of 1970s scraps and rusting cold war stock, more units with the hundreds of available Bradleys and Abrams were involved, the outcome would be the same?

    Could have been worse than where we are now as Ukraine would have had to take more troops off the front line to learn and integrate an influx of equipment.

    You clearly forget the discussions at the time that we needed to send soviet era kit as easily used by Ukraine.

    We could not just dump modern kit into Ukraine and expect it to be used effectively.

    People want easy answers. This war isn't easy and there is no magic wand. Sure we need to better upgrade Ukrainian military forces, but that ain't easy...

     

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