LongLeftFlank Posted May 14, 2006 Share Posted May 14, 2006 Hmm, John, I've been a consultant for 10 years now, but if you can find a way to tie use of the word "surely" to a "specific probability range" that is endorsed by the US intelligence community, I shall bow down in shock and awe at your superior wankery-skills. (Knocking myself off my own grammatical high horse BTW, "surely" is an adverb, not an adjective as I stated above -- incorrectly ) 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Kettler Posted May 14, 2006 Share Posted May 14, 2006 Here's the link to the Ward paper on Soviet aircraft design I mentioned. Unfortunately, it's a PDF. pdf.aiaa.org/GetFileGoogle.cfm?gID=63226&gTable=mtgpaper LongLeftflank, My memory on this admittedly obscure bit of intel trivia is faint, having not thought about it for almost 17 years, but certain as to the fact that something like it existed. There were footnotes at the bottom of DIA classified pubs specifically stating this and indicating which term corresponded to what range of certitude, expressed numerically as from X-Y percent. Regards, John Kettler 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Kettler Posted May 21, 2006 Share Posted May 21, 2006 CNN reported today that Taiwan is bumping its defense budget 20%. So far, no response to this development from the PRC. Regards, John Kettler 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Peter Cairns Posted June 29, 2006 Author Share Posted June 29, 2006 Long time since the last post, but I had a look to see what the Chinese are developing, some interesting stuff. Type 97 Type 99 Type 63A Type 89 Weishi HJ-9 Type-022 WZ-10 New Transport L-15 None of these is in the US class , but they do show an improvement from current Chinese capabilities. I am particularly interested in the L-15, which like the Korean T-50 is a cross between a trainer and an F-16, and as such could be very attractive to a large number of third world countries look up up date to something more modern, as it lets them do both roles with one aircraft, with advanced technology at low cost. It could turn out to be chinas first real export winner taking over from the Mig-21 in Africa and beyond. The Type 89 122mm MRL is also an interesting design. Peter. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cassh Posted August 17, 2006 Share Posted August 17, 2006 Did anyone hear the Chinese Ambassador to UK on the radio today commenting on the USA's view on the PLAN's expansion and increasing blue water capability - he went f'ing nuts - it was priceless - I've never heard a diplomat talk so undiplomatically - great stuff - I'll try and track down the sound file on the Beeb. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cassh Posted August 17, 2006 Share Posted August 17, 2006 Okay found it - tonights "analysis programme" on China's position in the world (BBC Radio 4) Ambassador Sha (actually chinese ambassodor to UN rather than UK) about 10 minutes in - bloody funny - also a very interesting progamme. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vincere Posted August 17, 2006 Share Posted August 17, 2006 cassh Bloody hell cassh, good find. Just listening to him saying if anybody decares formosa independence we'll do the business whatever the cost with whatever means. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cassh Posted August 18, 2006 Share Posted August 18, 2006 He fantastically entertaining - just quite worrying he's such a senior representative of PROC and is probably not alone in his views... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cassh Posted August 14, 2007 Share Posted August 14, 2007 Another interesting BBC programme regarding chinese defence policy and growth... http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio4/shadowofthedragon/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNathan Posted August 14, 2007 Share Posted August 14, 2007 I'm curious to see if CMSF can handle scenarios involving a war with China by using Syrian forces with better equipment than usual, somewhat better training/morale, and copious amounts of infantry backed by a lot of the more advanced T-72s. Perhaps with a good amount of artillery and a airpower stalemate situation where neither side has complete control of the skies. Think it's possible? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SgtMuhammed Posted August 14, 2007 Share Posted August 14, 2007 cassh, You should have waited 4 more days and posted on the 1 year aniversary of your last post. No reason, I just think it would have been neat. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cassh Posted August 15, 2007 Share Posted August 15, 2007 Doesn't time fly! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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