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Kinophile

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  1. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Difficult to counter. 
  2. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's a great idea!
    The rest of it is infantile, whiney drivel, so you're really doing everyone a favour by limiting your stable genius to one glorious post.
    Of course, you could have not posted at all - that's an even better idea! 
    The latter is mine but you can have it, gratis. Sorry, too many syllables - Free. 
  3. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well we can’t and probably won’t in our lifetimes.  The “truth” is a floating point of agreement (are disagreement) among humans.  We are essentially a species with brains big enough to invent the big beautiful fictions.  We believe in them so hard that they may as well be true because they create conative impulse.  I don’t believe in God but Holy Wars are still going to happen.
    As to the weird string of political conspiracies (John Kettler is that you?).  In my experience in government, conspiracies are the rare exception - and they usually get caught out…that is how we know about them.  Governments leak like sburke after a few beers on a good day.  Most TS stuff is over classified and sitting on 00’s era desktops.  The government can barely get above board things done let alone wage an effective mid/dis information campaign against its people.  The governments that can have to spend a ridiculous amount of time and energy, over a long period of time, to even get close.  Russia tries very hard but we know there are holes in the fence.  Hell even NK is not fully able to fully insulate its population from outside info.
    So while people like you are digging bunkers and fitting for aluminum hats, the reality is that governments are big slow moving bureaucracies good at only one thing…protecting the bureaucracy.  
    Beyond that I am not sure what Neo/Matrix thing you are really talking about.  The war?  The causes of the war?  The progress of the war?  We will never really know the truth about any of it in some universal truth because no such human truth exists outside of science.  How do I know gravity works like they tell me?  Well go jump off a building.  As to the rest it is best guesses and close enough.  We can see what we can see.
    What is really weird is that the Information Age should make it impossible to lie.  One can quickly verify a lie in the ocean of information out there…that was the theory.  But what did we do with that ocean of info?  We saw more lies!  We linked patterns that are not there.  Are you being lied to…definitely.  And what should bake you noodle is that because you are a human being the front and center culprit in those lies are not XYZ…it is you, to yourself.  We lie to ourselves all the time.  We filter, bias, ignore, reject and spin every time you look in the mirror.  We lie to ourselves about everything all the time.  Welcome to humanity.  
  4. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to photon in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Have you read the thread from day 1? The amount of open source information here - from all imaginable perspectives - is enormous. Historians will be able to make much more sense of this war than any in history. Would that we had this sort of information for the ancient world! Or the Battle of Midway!
  5. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Putin's invasion plans were formulated on Hunter Biden's laptop.  They were created while he and George Soros were vacationing at Jeffery Epstein's place at the same time that Hilary Clinton was discussing a marketing plan with Epstein to use a Pizza place as a front for child trafficking.  I seem to remember this was close to the same time Jewish Space lasers were lighting up California forests because we hadn't properly raked them like they do in Finland.  I remember all this because right about then I was sticking light bulbs up my anus to kill Covid.
    See it all makes sense now right?
  6. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Difficult to counter. 
  7. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Difficult to counter. 
  8. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Difficult to counter. 
  9. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Syrsky continues saying the right things...
    Reform is very much on his mind. He seems to have the combat vet's intolerance of REMFs, especially in an existential fight like this one. 
    https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-ato/3845632-oleksandr-sirskij-golovnovnokomanduvac-zsu.html
    Damn right too. 
  10. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Good. 
     
  11. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Syrsky continues saying the right things...
    Reform is very much on his mind. He seems to have the combat vet's intolerance of REMFs, especially in an existential fight like this one. 
    https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-ato/3845632-oleksandr-sirskij-golovnovnokomanduvac-zsu.html
    Damn right too. 
  12. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting visualization of a propaganda projection process. 
     
  13. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting visualization of a propaganda projection process. 
     
  14. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And at the polar opposite of the intelligence spectrum from Syrsky:
    Amazingly, it gets even better. 
    https://news.err.ee/1608969679/slovak-national-arrested-in-russia-after-swimming-across-narva-river
  15. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Good. 
     
  16. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Good. 
     
  17. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from mosuri in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Good. 
     
  18. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And at the polar opposite of the intelligence spectrum from Syrsky:
    Amazingly, it gets even better. 
    https://news.err.ee/1608969679/slovak-national-arrested-in-russia-after-swimming-across-narva-river
  19. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Twisk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And at the polar opposite of the intelligence spectrum from Syrsky:
    Amazingly, it gets even better. 
    https://news.err.ee/1608969679/slovak-national-arrested-in-russia-after-swimming-across-narva-river
  20. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Syrsky continues saying the right things...
    Reform is very much on his mind. He seems to have the combat vet's intolerance of REMFs, especially in an existential fight like this one. 
    https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-ato/3845632-oleksandr-sirskij-golovnovnokomanduvac-zsu.html
    Damn right too. 
  21. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Ts4EVER in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hamas lives in Gaza like royalty and in order to justify their rule, they have to
    a) show that they are actively fighting the Israeli Apartheid regime.
    b) provoke an overwhelming response with mass casualties.
    At the same time the Israeli right-wing needs Hamas in order to justify their own existence and aid in the creation of a proto-fascist bonapartist regime. Both feed off each other and the regular outbursts of violence are a piece of political theatre that would frankly be funny if real people didn't get killed.
  22. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Terror groups often operate on some pretty vague or non-linear logic.  The fundamentalists are operating largely on faith.  That [blank] = God in their minds, so it is pretty hard to see a logical design at times.  Very often the “goal” of an attack is any reaction with the hope that it will lead to further opportunities they can jump on.  This is really Darwinian warfare - we keep going, and failing, until the opponent makes a mistake we can then evolve into.  Broader goals are often very vague and faith based: Allah will give us a Caliphate if we kill enough of them.  The actual mechanics of how that Caliphate may actually come into existence are extremely blurry.
    Hamas was a bit different.  Their goals were very likely an Israeli overreaction which would lead to its firm isolation within the region (any talks of Israeli - Saudi rapprochement are dead) with a window for possible widening of the conflict - why the Palestinians keep hoping the rest of the Arab world will ever give a f#ck is beyond me.  The opportunity for global isolation, which is effectively occurring, was likely a stretch goal, if they thought of it at all.
    So behind killing and taking Israeli hostages, which makes the troops feel good, the goal of the Hamas attacks was the reaction, which could then be exploited for political gains. This is the dilemma terrorism projects onto the state and why we label it “asymmetric”.  It forces the state to react in order to re-establish certainty, but it can easily do too little or too much. In fact it will very likely do either of those for segments of any population.  So the state is thrust into “best of bad” choice sets. This is always good news for a terror group as it opens up the door to opportunity.
    This is why terrorism would never work within a zombie horde.  Zombies can’t get scared and never react outside of “more brains!”  A terror attack on zombies will never get a reaction (beyond “more brains”) so it offers little opportunity options space.
  23. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  24. Thanks
    Kinophile got a reaction from Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting visualization of a propaganda projection process. 
     
  25. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Aragorn2002 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting visualization of a propaganda projection process. 
     
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