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Kinophile

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  1. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Thomm in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Or the right-wing party in Austria being fascinated by Putin and Russia.
    If my grandfather (who survived Stalingrad only because he was flown out with appendicitis) was still alive, he would have a strong opinion on that.
  2. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Putin states Islamists couldn't target Russia and organize Crocus Hall attack, since country is "unique example of multi-confessional unity". 👌 Poor jihadists; so much effort and like stone in the water.
    https://theins.ru/news/270533
     
    Btw. their investigation comitee published materials from "telephone of one of suspects". Predictable results (sorry no english but one can figure out the clip):
    https://twitter.com/JanR210/status/1776133072116736313
     
  3. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    While the delay in approving further American aid for Ukraine is regrettable and has likely resulting in Ukraine losing more ground and infrastructure lately, does any else feel that a positive outcome of all of this is that it has spurred Europe to act more decisively in bringing forward their own aid and future commitments?

    In the long run, that seems to be a very positive development.
  4. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Pedophiles and Russia. The beauty of it is that they flee incarceration in the US (pretty tough, but has toilets and you'll likely live) for Russia (awful and not enough toilets), and then join the Russian Army to fight on the Ukraine front (toilets are now literally a hole in the ground) and, because Russia does not give a flying damn about them, they are sent in the next sheep assault and die in confused agony.
    Its wonderful. 
  5. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Maciej Zwolinski in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    For an army in the time of peace, that reasoning makes a lot of sense. However I do not think that a country fighting an existential war would be so picky, if the nationalists actually follow their ideology and volunteer for service. And values such as machismo and hatred for the foreign enemy may actually translate into high combat morale, being more valuable than the ability to easily get along with women or sexual minorities. There is a lot of literature about people becoming good soldiers in war often being poor soldier material for a regular peacetime army.
  6. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to MikeyD in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "Will" rather reminds me of those teenage girls in the UK who thought it would be a good idea to travel to Syria and present themselves as child brides to ISIS. Its impossible for a sane person to even guess what they were thinking at the time.
  7. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's a form of greeting the spring for them. Russian soldiers leave their holes they lived all winter and simply cannot resists sending several own mechanized battalions into flames during these futile attacks. Some unconcious form of celebrating life rising everywhere around them probably. We have Eggs and Easter bunnies, they have crispy  tanks. I didn't read him lately, but I am sure Dugin has entire theory already of suicide attacks as expression of uniquely Russian unharnessed elaine vital.
    Check mate, cold-hearted Anglo-Saxons. You will never get it.
  8. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "extremist" and "reasoning" are kind of mutually exclusive.
  9. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Helpful
     
  10. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Helpful
     
  11. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/30533
    A lot of 155mm ammo from Greek depots for Ukraine via the Czech initiative and shell production cooperation between USA and Turkey with new factories to be set up in Texas.
  12. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  13. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  14. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Literally proves the point yet again, "Where there's the Will, there's a Way". 
     
  15. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Literally proves the point yet again, "Where there's the Will, there's a Way". 
     
  16. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  17. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fenris in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  18. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Oh for God's sake, are we still engaging with this guy? 
    Cmon,  that last post ("rigged elections in the US") pretty much seals the political troll label. 
  19. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from pintere in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Always nice to see javelin kicking ***. 
  20. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Most of what is labeled AI today is pattern recognition of some sorts. So a cruise missile that can orient itself by looking down and compare that to a map is AI driven.
    As soon as you can chat with a missile, bad things happen.
     
  21. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Because nobody posted this yesterday, here is aftermath of Russians armored assault attempts in different places for March 30th - April 1st
    Siversk direction. National Guard battalion "Donbas" of 18th operative brigade eliminated enemy platoon
    Usual day of 47th mech brigade, Berdychi area NW of Avdiivka - usual destroyed Russian armor and dead Ivans
    25th airborne brigade repels the same most mass armored assault of Russian BTG of 6th tank regiment of 90th tank division in Tonen'ke area, SW from Avdiivka. I suppose we can see soon more epic video. 
    Destroyed Russian armored column, which tried to advance further into Ivanivske (Russians still name it in old manner Krasnoye), west of Bakhmut
     
  22. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Shahed plant go boom. 1000km from front. 
     
  23. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to Eddy in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Free e-book: War in Ukraine: Conflict, Strategy, and the Return of a Fractured World (Project MUSE - War in Ukraine (jhu.edu))
    Found this e-book which is a collection of essays on the invasion (it's from John Hopkins University, released under a Creative Commons licence). The contents and authors are:
    The Ukraine War and Global Order => Hal Brands

    1 Ukraine, Russia, China, and the World => Stephen Kotkin
    2 Why Putin Invaded Ukraine => Michael McFaul and Robert Person
    3 Strategic Fanaticism: Vladimir Putin and Ukraine => Lawrence Freedman
    4 The Failure to Deter: US Policy toward Ukraine and Russia from the End of the Cold War until February 24, 2022 =>
    Michael Kimmage
    5 How the War Will End => Anne Applebaum
    Part ii: The Conflict
    6 The Russia-Ukraine War: Military Operations and Battlefield Dynamics => Michael Kofman
    7 Russian Military Resilience and Adaptation: Implications for the War in Ukraine and Beyond => Dara Massicot
    8 Planning for the Worst: The Russia-Ukraine “Tiger Team” => Alexander Bick
    9 US Strategy in Ukraine => Kori Schake
    10 Nuclear Lessons and Dilemmas from the War in Ukraine => Francis J. Gavin
    11 Fallacies of Strategic Thinking in the Ukraine War  => Thomas G. Mahnken and Joshua Baker
    Part iii: Global Dimensions and Implications
    12 The Ukraine War and Global Cleavages => Ashley J. Tellis
    13 Putin’s Point of No Return  => Andrea Kendall-Taylor
    14 Accelerating Profound Changes Unseen in a Century: Chinese Assessments of and Responses to Russia’s Invasion 
    of Ukraine  => Bonny Lin and Brian Hart
    15 The European Union as a War Project: Five Pathways toward a Geopolitical Europe => Mark Leonard
    16 Lose-Lose: The Economic Sanctions of the Russo-Ukrainian War => Daniel W. Drezner
    17 America’s Global Role in the Shadow of the Ukraine Conflict => Peter D. Feaver and William Inbode
    It's 300-odd pages long in total, but each chapter is it's own essay which should make it a little less daunting. Some distinguished names have contributed; Laurance Freedman, Anne Applebaum, Dara Massicot, Kofman.
    I've only read the first few chapters but so far, so good.
     
     
  24. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Oh for God's sake, are we still engaging with this guy? 
    Cmon,  that last post ("rigged elections in the US") pretty much seals the political troll label. 
  25. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And also “absolutely”.  We should track loses, terrain etc as exactly that, indicators.  In sums they can signal trends, which are extremely important for telling wind directions.
    Where things get weird is when people take these trends as actually metrics of victory and/or defeat.  Adiivka was a long brutal tactical offensive that really has not yielded an operational consequence, at least not yet.  It is a data point within the war.  Not a fundamental sign any one side is “winning or losing”.  Ironically, those using Russian advances over the winter as an indicator that “The Hot Thread Has No Clothes” are using “heuristics”.  Which we have been all schooled upon as our own original “sin.”
    The reality is that we need to see operational level decisions that change strategic options before we can say the tide is shifting.  If Russia could have translated Adiivka into an operational manoeuvre and was at the gates of Kharkiv right now, with a view to splitting Ukraine in half…well then we are definitely into “uh, ok something has really shifted here” territory.  Ukraines strategic options would be collapsing in this scenario, which to my eyes is a real metric.
    Taking Adiivka or Bakhmut as signs of Russian winning, resolve or invincibility, only demonstrates a serious lack of understanding how war actually works.  And strangely, where were these people when Ukraine was making similar small limited tactical gains last summer?  Oh wait, they were here crowing about how “Ukraine is done!”
    There is a clear double standard in some western political circles.  And this part really makes me angry.  Real people are suffering and dying in the largest conventional war we have seen in a long time.  And the first thing some people are doing is viewing it through the “I will do the opposite of what the other political party is doing because they cannot win.”  Not what is morally right or wrong.  What is best for their personal political calculus.  That is what really makes me react to these trolls.  They do not have the best interests of anyone at heart, but their own.  It is an extremely selfish way to approach something as brutal and unjust as this war.
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