Jump to content

Anon052

Members
  • Posts

    44
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Anon052

  1. Macron can't be re-lected. He is in his second term and in France there is a two-term limit. And the presidental elections are three years away....so this makes the rest of this analysis questionable.
  2. At the moment there are a lot of videos of russian warcrimes and executions of ukrainian POW emerging. Nothing new. But I think this could be some kind of new systemic directive. Any thoughts? Or could be just the fact that constant drone coverage makes it more obvious. https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1761873688545120568 The unit in the second videos that does the mock executions calls themselves 'executioner" and publishes proudly their videos of warcrimes.
  3. There are talks that russia now uses a satellite guided missile-system similar to HIMARS with range up to 120 kms. Did anyone hear something? The surge in russian precision strikes on trains and similar targets way behind ukrainian lines points in that direction. If true it would be very bad news.
  4. I read the newsarticle Seedorf posted that somehow claimed new kind of evidence surfaced but everything in there was identical to the investigative report that was published in germany more in depth roughly a month ago and was discussed here too. The german investigative report was very onesided and ignored a lot of evidence that pointed in russian direction and it failed to plausibly establish how the Andromeda could do the northsteam sabotage. The only new "fact" in the dutch article was that traces of the explosive HMX was found at the site of sabotage. I am no forensic expert but there are different reasons I would be highly sceptical of this fact. But even if true. HMX would be one of the most probable explosives that one would use for such a bombing by diver. And if the Andromeda was a false Flag, then it would be very easy for the perpetrator to plant the same kind of explosive that was used in the bombings. You say the complexity of the operation was overestimated. Do you have any idea what kind of complexity is needed to do this kind of operation? I work in UXO,UXB, ERB disposal in the northsea, baltic sea and rivers. I work on specialised ships and with divers (most of them with navy background) that do exactly this kind of work that would be needed for the northstream sabotage. The complexity of this operation is a LOT more than just being able to do the dive. The equipment needed just to do the simple dive ignoring all of the other specialised equipment: on the ships I work on this equipment is located in containers that are half as big as the Andromeda. All those gastanks alone do take a lot of room. You need a lot more of those for a deep sea diving suit/ hard-hat than you would for a simple diving suit. The first problem the divers had to overcome is to find the pipelines and then the right locations for the bombing. This alone is a very big problem. To locate those you need a depth sonar or a submersible. Good luck instaling those on the Andromeda. In those depths it is pitch black. Those divers have to work completely blind. They are trained to do so but they still need instruction by those one the ship with exactly this kind of equipment that the Andromeda lacks. And on top of that they did this on the same day at three different locations. And they did the dive on a very instable plattform which means high chance of death. Then there is the question of the explosives. The theory that was presented in the investigative report was that only a small amount was used. There exist seismic profiles of those explosions and those hint at a bigger amount of explosives used. It is not conclusive evidence but it points in another direction. Not one of the divers I work with thinks its realistically possible to do the northstream sabotage from the Andromeda in a short amount of time. There is more I could write but it is already late here I have to work very early tomorrow. One thing I have to say. The reporting on northsteam really does remind me on the reporting in german media about MH17 after it happend. The media tried to be "neutral" but it was mostly pointing in ukrainian direction and sometimes it was just reciting russian propaganda. Even after Bellingcat could show exactly what BUK was used by which unit german media ignored this evidence. It was only after the dutch reports with conclusive evidence were published that the reporting did change.
  5. I found this article about the problems of NATO training of ukrainian troops very interesting. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/ukraine-russia-training-nato-west-military/
  6. I watched the documentary and I find it really bad. In german I would say "tendenziƶs" the english meaning would be tendentiously. A lot of known information was not presented. If this was intentional or just bad research I can not say but especially the spiegel has lost a lot of journalistic credibility in recent years and had a pro russian tendency. Not long ago they did an article where their only source was a russian spy so they published direct russian propaganda and similar events. They somehow forgot to mention in the documentary that Diana D. is a russian national, that wasn't born in Ukraine/crimea and only got an ukrainian passport in 2001. After she went to crimea she did a lot of pro russian activity. In the documentary she was portrayed as ukrainian and they found it not strange that she appeared in russia after the bombings. And I don't know why they missed the seismic profiles of the explosions that clearly contradicts their assumption that only a small amount of explosives was used. Some of the conclussions they draw there are not very logical. I would like to see how they picture the Andromeda doing the work on 4 pipelines in short amount of time on open sea. I work with specialised ships/ shipcrews that work in bomb disposal. The amount of specialised equipment needed to only work in depths of 5-10m with explosives is really high. I asked some of the divers if they think it was possible to do the work needed from Andromeda. They laughted in my face. Most of the divers have navy background......
  7. The symbolism is strong with this one. Exactly 2 month ago the wagner group started their rebellion/coup. So with russian fixation on dates I would assume along with videomaterial that cleary hints that this was ordered by the Putin/the Kremlin. The reports state that both Utkin and Prigoshin were in the plane and their bodies got identified after the crash....
  8. A month ago there was heavy fighting at the Antonovsky Bridgehead. Since then I didn't hear any news from there. I am wondering what happend there. Am I correct to assume no news means that the ukrainians retreated?
  9. There was a video that showed a loitering munition hit on an IRIS-T SLS mounted radar near the southern front. My question to those more knowledgable than me. How many of those radars are in a single IRIS-T SLS system? One? Does the loss of the radar take the entire system out of the game? I have read that the IRIS-T SLS proved to be very effective near the front in bakhmut earlier this year, where it took down several aircraft. How important do you think in the wider context is the loss of one system (there were 2 systems sent to ukraine at the moment I think)? Especially for the southern offensive. The positioning near the front means that it was used to cover the spearheads?
  10. If anyone had any doubts that russia is behind the destruction of Kakhovka Dam: It was not the only dam they destroyed in the occupied southern regions. There seem to be clear strategy to flood the south to hinder the offensive. Most people have no Idea of the severity of the longterm consequences(past the flooding) for the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam alone. It completly ruins the argricultural economy of the south. This is a complete desaster. I can't find the right words. This has to be one of the most effective scorched earth strategy in history. The silence of UN and ICRC is damning. No international help from NGOs at the moment. There HAS to be a western response.
  11. Perhaps he had a very special cup of tea?
  12. I hope this isn't true, this would be a major shift and very shortsighted:
  13. Exactly. A shiver runs down my spine with these kind of acts even more than any individual case of torture, rape and execution ever could. What I don't understand that there is not more international outrage and pressure. When this happend inKherson there was practicly no international reaction. I did not read about it in any detail in german media. I fear to imagine what happens to those people. Does any one has information on what happened to those in Kherson?
  14. Yeah I saw this too. Not only were the heads cut of but hands were too. Comments were suggesting that they were international legion und they cut of hands and heads to make identification impossible.
  15. A warning. At the moment there is a video circulating social media that show the gruesome beheading of an ukrainian prisoner of war with a knife. I have seen a lot but this is one of the most traumatizing videos I have ever seen. DO NOT WATCH. I have no idea how anyone can do such things to another living being. I wouldn't even do it to my worst enemy. The culture that breeds such behavior is deeply sick. I really wish nato would do a lot more to end this bloodshed as quickly as possible. Not doing it hurts us a lot more than most are realising. Worse, ordinary russians are celebrating this video.....
  16. A story on how some officers in the russian army treat their own female medics. What a disgrace. Hope this will seriously impede the flow of new medics into the army and be a factor that helps with a systemic collapse. https://www.businessinsider.com/russian-officers-used-female-medics-as-sex-slaves-solider-says-2023-3
  17. Brutal. At the beginning there was a very close assault on the ukrainian trench. The combats only a few meters apart. It seems to have failed after one russian got shot and direkt artillery hit. But there is a cut. Seems to be that the russians got away? Would be interessting to know how big the casulties where here. Later in the tank attack everything is blurred.
  18. There is a new story about the northstream sabotage in german Focus. I did find the article only in german: https://www.focus.de/politik/ausland/neue-spur-fuehrt-nach-russland-mit-greifarm-u-boot-steuerten-russische-militaerschiffe-nord-stream-pipelines-an_id_189278264.html This new story is much more plausible then the sailing yacht story. The article states that on september 19 there were bigger maneuvers of the russian baltic fleet. It seems at least 3 russian ships (the article states that there could be 6 russian ships in all, all six ships were named in the article) used those maneuvers as cover to reach the location of the bombings and were active there. This activity was detected by different swedish and danish patrolships. The russian ships had specialised equipment like cranes and submersibles and there were espionage ships that covered the activity. I myself work a lot in the port of Hamburg in explosive ordance disposal of ww2 ordnance from specialised ships. This yacht story seemed like a bad joke to me. I can't imagine how they handled the explosive from a yacht without a crane.
  19. It is still early and in social media it does look different lots of talking about "bad Ukraine". I don't know if I read the same articles, but there was a lot of subtile finger pointing to a pro-ukrainian-Group and connections to Kiev and lot of talking about no hints of false flag. This seems to be typical of saboteurs to leave behind a business card. Yeah right.
  20. I was very sad to read on twitter, that a longer version of this clip excists where this brave soldier is killed later on. There was no link so I hope it is not true.
  21. OMG. This is one of the most intense videos I have seen from the war. Not easy to see exactly what is going on. Is it russians storming the trenches (it seems so from the comments)? Where do you see a vehicle(which sec)? Everything is so fast, hard to see the details. The detonation at the start seems to be from a autocannon. Hope the guys did survive and not that the the videofootage was collected from their bodies.
  22. This looks very bad for SpaceX and Musk: It seems the russians use new drone jamming systems that work. I just hope there will be enough pressure on SpaceX to revert this change. I don't know how important Starlink is for Ukraines drone war but it could seriously hamper Ukraine.
  23. And the time this Video was released is very suspicous. Just after Putin stating that the ukrainian army is executing their men for desertion. This Video needs to be georeferenced, to see where it was taken.
  24. The only thing that makes sense is that they (ukraine) genuinely believe that it was NOT their missile or at least their political leaders. A ukrainian missile wouldn't need the same response from NATO than a russian one.
  25. They tried to hit a nuclear power plant. I do not find this funny. We just can be glad they hit nothing important. This is a new level of escalation. I just hope the criminals will get everything they deserve.
×
×
  • Create New...