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BlackMoria

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Everything posted by BlackMoria

  1. As Darth Putin has many times said... "I remain a master strategist". LOL
  2. Then it nearly time. The hall is rented. The band is engaged. Now its time to see if the russians can dance. Or in other words.... Cry Havoc and Let Slip the Dogs of War!
  3. I think the reality is allies to Ukraine will have a say or input but ultimately the Ukrainian government makes the call. Note, yes, what ever their decision is will have consequences. This level of decision always does.
  4. Pfffhhh. Blondes are so old school. Strippers or Porn Stars is where the real news is these days.
  5. Followed by, a short time later, the same T-14 showing up on a flatbed trailer in some US gas station parking lot...
  6. Do anyone run this past the russian women? Are russian women 'all in' at being pregnant at 14 and popping out kids until menopause? Absolutely no thought has been given to the objectives at all. This is several drunk or stoned out of their minds fools writing their manifesto on a snot encrusted napkin in a bar.
  7. I spit up my drink on my screen at this one. Just how much delusion can one snort up one's nose and not overdose? Especially in light of an earlier point just above that - "an end to all immigration." There is just plain $**t talking and then there is "mad dog howling at the moon" talking.
  8. Most of that will be handled by the various S2 staffs of all levels. S2 is the intel people. Their job is to get a handle of understanding enemy intents and dispositions. Armies operate according to doctrines and understanding your enemy's doctrine of how he uses and deploys his artillery assets gives you the ability to 'predict' where and how he will deploy his artillery assets in a given area. That is the start point of your intel gathering plan and where you deploy your drones, position your counter artillery radars, etc. It may seem like 'black box' stuff but a good S2 staff can seem like they are reading the mind of the enemy. I have worked in the past as the BAIO (Brigade Artillery Intelligence Officer) in a Bde S2 shop and every exercise with opfor forces, I have been able to predict where they would deploy their artillery and I have been accurate to within 1.5 kilometers on my assessment and having some intel sensor / humint discover where the opfor guns were deployed with enough accuracy to counterbattery them. 1000 sqkm is not an issue for a real good and well trained S2 staff. It might seem like 'black box' stuff but good S2 staff can nail down enemy locations and intents with a high degree of accuracy. An edit just to clarify. The 1000 sqkm is not one S2 staff. A number of divisions and their subunits is responsible for that large an area. There will a Corp S2, a number of Div S2s and numerous Bde S2s all talking with each other. Each step down is more and more focused on a particular smaller parcel of ground. Didn't want to give the impression that a single S2 shop is looking after 1000sqkm. There is potentially dozens of S2 shops working that problem.
  9. Lots of ways. Counter Battery/Mortar Radars. Drones. Satellites (if your C3 system is fast enough). Sound Ranging (don't know if that is still a thing). Crater Analysis. Recon/SF assets Humint from locals. Etc.
  10. Well, I guess it is a Zelensky - Putin celebrity death match, where the winner get the loser's head and Crimea. Does that work? Note: I am not serious. Just some dark humor.
  11. The annexation of Crimea and the subsequent influx of Russians in Crimea since 2014 has made this a particular complex and knotty issue. Ukrainians claim Crimea is theirs. Russia claims it is theirs. Historical factors could validate either claim if both sides agree to the historical facts - but they don't. So the 'legal' status is disputed. Now, putting it to a vote is problematic. Who is eligible to vote? Any people who were resident in Crimea pre-2014 annexation? Any people there now? Who conducts the vote? Ukraine? Russia? Crimeans (which ones then)? The UN? The problem with a vote is Russian has front loaded russians moving into Crimea since 2014, so that well is poisoned now. If you want a vote, the least objectionable protocol is pre-2014 legal residents of Crimea and conducted by the UN. Anything else will likely never be accepted by one side or the other.
  12. My take after 6 months peacekeeping in Bosnia in '93 - Savagery is baked into human beings. Sorry, there is no 'better angels of our nature' My time in Bosnia dispelled that myth real quick. The 'better angels of our nature' happens because we employ the frontal cortex to govern ourselves. But warfare is very primal and hits the primitive emotional centers of our brains first. Once that happens, the excesses of violence humans are capable of know no bounds. Which is why in the 22nd century in the future, historians and people will be examining the genocides of the 21st century and asking the same questions.
  13. It looks like, from the dirt with a track pattern on it on the fore deck of the damaged tank, that another tank back into this vehicle, treads gained purchase and it back up onto the front deck of the damaged tank. The rear deck of the backing up tank got under the barrel and the barrel acted like a massive pry bar, pulling the turret off to it current position. In other words, it was two leopards mating and it went horribly wrong.
  14. LOL...geolocated due to a kitchen countertop.
  15. Another story of interest concerning chances of China reclaiming Siberia. https://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2014/07/03/where-do-borders-need-to-be-redrawn/why-china-will-reclaim-siberia
  16. Interesting story of a Ukrainian M109 SP gun taking out a russian helicopter that touched down to drop or pick something up and got nailed by a 155 round just before it lifted off. https://www.technology.org/2023/04/03/can-artillery-guns-take-down-a-helicopter-m109-paladin-destroyed-a-russian-aircraft/
  17. They are pro russian. But isn't it interesting how money make loyalties "fluid". Particularly for companies and businesses.
  18. I agree 100% with Beau of the Fifth's assessment. We have recent history to confirm that. Invasion is the easy part. Occupation is the hard. Look at the US/Coalition experience in Iraq and Afghanistan. The opposition was pushed aside easy enough. Just a couple of weeks or a month tops. But the occupation portion was where the hard grind was. Some of the toughest fights in Iraq were the Fallujah battles, which was during the occupation portion. 20 years of occupation in Afghanistan resulted in a withdrawal, conceding a win to the Taliban. Russia is struggling and getting hammered during the easy part, the invasion. Assuming Russia could occupy Ukraine (almost statistically impossible but not zero) would be 10x worst dealing with an well organized insurgency. And Ukraine was looking and planning for an insurgency before Russian crossed the border. So they have already prepared and trained for it. Russia will be bled white during the occupation. Hell, they are being bled white during the invasion portion. Managing an occupation is an near impossible lift for them now.
  19. Where the hell are they chumming up these idiots? And Piers is a moron.
  20. Pray tell, explain it to me then. You said Russia went to a war footing. I am not seeing any impact, to date, on the battlefield. Just the same old russian tactic have trying to brute force their way through the Ukrainian defensive wall. Just how does all you say result in Russia coming out on top. Because I, and a whole lot of others on this forum, over the past 12 months, are seeing the same thing you must be seeing and yet, coming to a completely different conclusion of where this is headed.
  21. You said "Russia simply has vastly more industrial capacity and manpower". It was true at the beginning of this fiasco. Fast forward nearly 12 months. Has that capacity resulted in victory for Russia yet? No. And Russia is worst off economically and has diminished industrial capacity due to sanctions than when this started. If a given industry can't get parts and technology due to sanctions and has a reduced workforce due to workers fleeing the country or being fed into the meatgrinder, just how do they intend to leverage that industrial capacity and manpower for victory. Maybe over time but the opinion of most on this forum is Russia doesn't have the time to make the sweeping changes in industry or the military industrial complex to ensure victory. Nor do they have the time to completely reform and restructure their armed forces. Russia military is dying ever so slowly the death of a thousand cuts and the industrial capacity and manpower isn't going to be a timely savior as the Ukraine wolves keep tearing small pieces of the Russian bear. Changes to salvage this situation for Russia requires changes and reforms that will take years to implement. Not in a few short months. Sure, Russia has shore up what it has but frankly, they seemed determine to banzai charge their way to victory, which is fundamentally a stupid way to try to achieve victory. Having industrial capacity and manpower is not enough. It is how you leverage it and so far, 12 months in, Russia is very poor at using it to advantage. Hence, poorly trained, poorly armed, and poorly motivated conscripts and criminals are the thing right now; poor leadership and limited equipment are the norm. Just when is the industrial capacity and manpower going to kick in and win this for Russia. Maybe in some years from now but Russia doesn't have the time. For Ukraine, its NATO tanks today... it could be F16 / Tornadoes etc. next week.
  22. Armor grognards....gahhh. "Is it a tank or not a tank?" You can call it 'Peaches' for all I care. It is a light armored vehicle with a big horking gun on it that can kill russians. Give it to the Ukrainians who have shown a talent for killing russians and let them kill more russians with it. I don't give a damn whether it is considered a tank or not. Sheesh...
  23. Sheesh... Twiddle Dee and Twiddle Dum with a Barrett. You two clowns do you....
  24. Happy New Year to everyone. Here is hoping that 2023 is the year the the book gets closed on the Ukrainian war with a solid win for Ukraine and the book gets closed on Putin. Keep the faith.
  25. Hell, they would be better off with a RAM 2500 4x4 HD with a Cummins diesel, wield armor plates all over it, and make it roar with a Mk19 or M2 mount in the bed. It would make it more effective and a hell of lot cheaper.
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