Aragorn2002
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Posts
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Posts posted by Aragorn2002
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3 hours ago, Aragorn2002 said:
1. Support Ukraine to continue to fight, even if that means sending what little we have left ourselves.
2. Rearm like mad, damn the economical consequences, no matter how painful they will be.
3. Make it clear to our societies that this is only the beginning of a very dark time.
4. Prepare for large scale war, because that's what we're heading for one way or the other. +
5. Stop acting as if we have a choice in the matter.
6. Kill them all.
Forgot the most important one.
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1. Support Ukraine to continue to fight, even if that means sending what little we have left ourselves.
2. Rearm like mad, damn the economical consequences, no matter how painful they will be.
3. Make it clear to our societies that this is only the beginning of a very dark time.
4. Prepare for large scale war, because that's what we're heading for one way or the other. +
5. Stop acting as if we have a choice in the matter.
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9 hours ago, Grigb said:
RU is not winning this part. You read BS about Great Patriotic War.
RU has no war economy. Western sanctions inflicted critical damage on RU economy ensuring slow death of RU state as we know it.
You do know that RU morale is so low that Putin is afraid to call mobilization, don't you?
What drones are you talking about? RU Nat fighter from Avdiivka reported on February 9
Do you talk about Shaheds? Last time I checked, 40 out of 45 were taken down.
RU military production reached it's peak at the end of December. It cannot increase anymore due to lack of western heavy machinery.
UKR NATO 155mm arty needs less shells as it is more effective than RU arty
Last time Trump was president he b*tcslapped RU so hard that I laughed whole week reading RU Nat hysterics.
Interesting question. Given that it took RU several months of relentless meat assaults to move front just couple km west and given that there are 560 km to Kiev, RU can be expected to threaten Kiev in 233 years. EU shells will arrive long before that.
Nope, Agent Murz reports how RU learns lessons IRL
Except from infamous Tolkonuk letter to Stalin about how Red Army generals learned lessons of war by the winter 43-44
Remove reference to Germans and it reads like description of Avdiivka battle.
I dont like RU propagand but there it is.
Great post. Really lifts my spirit. Thanks for that.
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1 hour ago, Lille Fiskerby said:
Well, examiming some parts:
Attrition: Russia is winning that part, those of us that has read about the Great Patriatic War, this comes as no surprise.
War production: Russia is winning that part, 30 % of the Russian economy is now war economy, western sanctions has not destroyed the russian economy.
Morale: Ukranian morale is not as good as it was at the start of the war. Fatique is a problem, 6 of 7 russian drones now hit their targets, that used to be 1 out of 7 drones.
Ammunition: Russia is winning that part with their war production, western applause in Munich does not making any 155 mm shells, if Trump wins the election US contribution will almost dissapear, the EU countries really has to step up but how long will that take ? one danish ammunition factory will be ready in .......... two years, that is way to slow.
Combat: the russian army is learning from their mistakes, just as they did in 1941-42-43-44.I dont like it but there it is.
The Russians prepared far better than we thought, that's for sure. But they can't and they won't win. Denmark gave a good example by announcing all Danish artillery will be send to Ukraine. I hope other countries will following that grand gesture. Ukraine MUST prevail and it will. The Russians didn't learn much from their mistakes, don't believe their propaganda. They want us to believe that they are winning. They are not. They are bleeding. Badly.
The West is awake and will crush Putin and his thugs. It will take years, but we'll make them pay. Patience and perseverance! If it takes another world war, so be it.
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8 hours ago, cesmonkey said:
Well done, Denmark!
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7 hours ago, Vacillator said:
As posted by someone else the other day, here's another one with John Cleese and company:
And with that I shall stop, it's silly and a bit suspect I think...
It's glorious and hilarious, Tim. And we all know about your weakness. No need to apologize. 2024, you know.
But seriously, my friend. Thanks for that. Really made me laugh and that didn't happen a lot this week. The bewildered look of that officier at the end. Brit humor at it's best. Priceless.
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18 minutes ago, TheVulture said:
Well, Navalny's died in jail in Siberia. Surprised he lived this long.
Agreed. But why murder him now?
I guess Navalny refused to restrain himself and to do what Putin told him. Brave man.
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On 2/7/2024 at 11:35 PM, Butschi said:
Short Teaser: Actually, I didn't want to do this because there are good tools out there... but over the last year or so there were so many questions, calls for help and even an offer to pay me for making a map that I came to realize that maybe, just maybe not everyone out there is a map nerd or geodesy scholar.
So, I have been clobbering something together that should make getting those elevation maps (and possibly OSM, too, at a later stage) into CMAutoEditor as comfortable (and fool proof!) as possible.
More info to come but I will close with asking for help myself: Are there any volunteers out there willing to beta test this tool? If so, please PM me!
Following this with great interest.
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47 minutes ago, Centurian52 said:
Of course it wasn't entirely a gift. The US was hoping to get a friendly and non-hostile Europe out of the arrangement.
Among other things
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21 minutes ago, The_MonkeyKing said:
IMO most important parts:
"This has led to significant increases in production output. For example, Russia is delivering approximately 1,500 tanks to its forces per year along with approximately 3,000 armoured fighting vehicles of various types. Russian missile production has similarly increased. At the beginning of 2023, for instance, Russian production of Iskandr 9M723 ballistic missiles was six per month, with available missile stocks of 50 munitions."
"Of the tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, for example, approximately 80% are not new production but are instead refurbished and modernised from Russian war stocks. The number of systems held in storage means that while Russia can maintain a consistent output through 2024, it will begin to find that vehicles require deeper refurbishment through 2025, and by 2026 it will have exhausted most of the available stocks."
"Perhaps the most serious limitation for Russia, however, is ammunition manufacture. In order to achieve its aspiration to make significant territorial gains in 2025, the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) has assessed an industrial requirement to manufacture or source approximately 4 million 152mm and 1.6 million 122mm artillery shells in 2024. Russian industry has reported to the MoD that it expects to increase 152mm production from around 1 million rounds in 2023 to 1.3 million rounds over the course of 2024, and to only produce 800,000 122mm rounds over the same period. Moreover, the Russian MoD does not believe it can significantly raise production in subsequent years,"
"This means that to properly resource the armed forces, Russia must – in the short term – further draw down its remaining 3 million rounds of stored ammunition, though much of this is in poor condition. To further compensate for shortages, Russia has signed supply and production contracts with Belarus, Iran, North Korea and Syria, with the latter only able to provide forged shell casings rather than complete shells. Although the injection of around 2 million 122mm rounds from North Korea will help Russia in 2024, it will not compensate for a significant shortfall in available 152mm"
"The Russian theory of victory is plausible if Ukraine's international partners fail to properly resource the AFU. However, if Ukraine's partners continue to provide sufficient ammunition and training support to the AFU to enable the blunting of Russian attacks in 2024, then Russia is unlikely to achieve significant gains in 2025. If Russia lacks the prospect of gains in 2025, given its inability to improve force quality for offensive operations, then it follows that it will struggle to force Kyiv to capitulate by 2026. Beyond 2026, attrition of systems will begin to materially degrade Russian combat power, while Russian industry could be disrupted sufficiently by that point, making Russia's prospects decline over time."
That may all very well be true, but I'd rather count on our own strength than on the weaknesses of our enemy. The Russians are no fools and so far more resourceful than the West expected.
In that respect I agree with orange boy, rearming is key for NATO. Whatever the costs. The time of free riding is over. Let's hope we're not too late.
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3 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
And any challenges to Trump's decisions, or lack thereof, would have to be settled in court. That could take weeks, at best, years at worst. And even then all Trump would have to do is continue to stonewall whatever he was obligated by the courts to do. More time lost.
And throughout this there would likely be an impeachment process started. If the Republicans hold the House that would be unlikely to happen. Which would mean more court battles.
To put it another way... the damage Trump can do to US foreign and military policy is nearly endless, the ability to correct for it is very limited while he is in office.
Steve
All in all no matter how you look at it a very bad and worrying situation to face the coming difficulties or even another world conflict.
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On 2/2/2024 at 2:19 PM, Aragorn2002 said:
And a gifted building modder, who would be prepared to make one. Preferably with red roofs.
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2 hours ago, Vergeltungswaffe said:
I was so glad to get this.
Frank put so much time and love into it and I will enjoy every bit of it for many hours to come.
Hope we can persuade him to create more down the line.
Yes, we need you, Frank! Komm schon, bleib bei uns!
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9 hours ago, BFCElvis said:
Pinning for better visability
Nice gesture!
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Excellent, Frank. And then on to your next project.
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Nice work, Damian. Thank you.
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5 hours ago, David Jaros said:
I want see to improvement and want Battlefront to listen its community more
That would be 100 times better than cm3 game
On the other hand, we're an impossible crowd to please an BF has already give us so much, so let's rely on them.
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3 hours ago, Andrew Kulin said:
I am content to wait and see.
Agreed. Plenty to play with in the meantime.
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And a gifted building modder, who would be prepared to make one. Preferably with red roofs.
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10 hours ago, Centurian52 said:
As I've said several times recently, I can almost guarantee that the next western front title will be in North Africa. In fact it is almost certain to be Tunisia 1943.
They haven't gone backwards since Sicily because they prioritized finishing up the late war first. The late war is finished. There is no direction to go now but back. The next step back in time from Sicily 1943 is Tunisia 1943. It's going to be Tunisia 1943 next.
I doubt that, but it would be nice. To be honest, I'm not really looking forward to any of the new modules/packs as announced by Steve. Just not really my cup of tea, but that doesn't mean I'm not happy for those who do like them. And I will buy them.
For me personally it's time for some new and refreshing titles. I'm hoping for a Eastern Front module for 1943/44, but especially something unexpected and 'forum shaking', like North Africa, Finnish Winter War or Stalingrad.
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17 hours ago, user1000 said:
So I gota ask, is this the final end module for Blitzkrieg?
Let's hope so.
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5 hours ago, The_Capt said:
To follow up. I also do not think most people realize just how weird this moment in history has become from a military power standpoint. The Cold War came off the back of WW2 and was actually an exercise in downsizing to fit the requirements of the intense strategic competition between the two global power poles. Defence and Security architectures were largely scaled down from their WW2 architectures to fit the Cold War environment. The competition then became sustaining competitive advantage in that context, along with negotiations with an evolving social calculus that occurred rather slowly (eg civil and gender equity).
We then won the Cold War and re-scaled again. We first created military power to intervene in sustaining the global order. And then after 9/11 built the architectures aimed narrowly at a problematic niche. Social evolution continued but began to accelerate as the Information Age emerged and began to deepen.
And then in just a few short years - let’s take 2010 for arguments sake and say 14 years - we saw the re-emergence of a Cold War-looking strategic competition, a hyper acceleration of the Information to whatever the hell this thing is now and, the largest pandemic in over a century. This has driven social change pressures to crazy levels - like “let’s storm capital hill/defund cops/cancel-mob rule” levels.
And suddenly, seemingly out of nowhere, we are seriously talking about military requirements we have not seen in over 35 years. NATO has just run the largest exercise since the Cold War and we likely had to build things we forgot entirely how to do. HQs and staffs, force generation, and military capability have all changed dramatically but we are still looking at a massive upscaling requirement to align with strategic realities. Don’t even get me started on intelligence and security architectures, which have been entirely focused on hunting terrorists and now are being asked to consider under the threshold strategic disruption against other states - those are enterprises that take decades to get right.
We may look “ok” but we are not “ok”. We have a very significant expansion in front of us in order to 1) create deterrence, 2) contain expansion of influence, and 3) create new strategic options…on top of an already stressed out social situation - f#cking “woke” is the least of our problems. Rebuilding entire defence and security strategic power structures to be able to do what we found challenging over 30 years ago while the fabric of warfare appears to be rippling under our feet; while our domestic populations appear really intent on losing their f#cking minds in about 30 different directions at once…is our new Tuesday.
At this point senior military staff don’t care if someone is gender-fluid, multi-racial and bestiality adjacent - if they can fill a chair better than the forest of traffic cones that we currently have…welcome aboard!
(did that video get all that?)
Well said!
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1 hour ago, Vacillator said:
If you mean the comment about Paypal (perhaps a joke, who knows) was taken out of context, Frank was not to blame either for the comment or taking it out of context. As has been said above he had nothing to do with the comment and had no intention of taking anyone's money.
And now we are where we are, with Frank having asked for his account here to be deleted. Not a good result.
Bad show indeed.
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4 hours ago, ratdeath said:
I can understand Mr.X reaction, feels like he got thrown under the bus due to one post where someone claim that they should send $10 to Mr.X for further instructions. Mr.X has stated in the locked thread and the one from February that this is free. I haven't seen one post where he has hinted that he would like some $$ for his battle pack.
Battlefront could have earlier (or latest when JoMac posted) added a disclaimer at the top of the thread that this is a fan made battle pack, nothing to do with Battlefront and as long as everything is free it's OK, as it is against the EULA to charge for fan created content. This way I think a lot of confusion could have been avoided.
I agree. It's all a storm in a glass of water, isn't it? A more elegant solution would have been to give JoMac a warning, although I agree with Vacillator that he probably meant well.
Anyhow, guys, that's how things are around here sometimes. We need people like you, Frank, so don't give up on us please. Start a new thread, mention that your work is FREE FOR ALL and let's concentrate on the future. I bet all this did draw the attention of a lot of people, so consider it to be free publicity.
So, I have been clobbering something together that should make getting those elevation maps (and possibly OSM, too, at a later stage) into CMAutoEditor as comfortable (and fool proof!) as possible.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Not if you want to keep your honor, freedom and self respect.