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Vanir Ausf B

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Everything posted by Vanir Ausf B

  1. They definitely are, and have been for a few months now. ________ At the time of the document's publication — which, for many of the documents that were leaked, is late February or early March — Ukraine's air force had dropped at least nine JDAM-ER bombs against Russian targets, but four of them appear to have missed due to Russian jamming. The confidence in this particular assessment was medium to high. The document recommended neutralizing the jammers as before JDAM-ERs are used for best results. ________ https://www.businessinsider.com/russian-jamming-maybe-interfering-us-bomb-kit-ukraine-leaked-documents-2023-4
  2. How many purchase points is this worth in a Quick Battle? WAPO article on the situation in Bakhmut. Seems to echo @Haiduks comments above.
  3. Def Mon mentioned something about this a few days ago.
  4. He actually does have a fairly specific time table, contingent on weapon deliveries.
  5. I would speculate that Patriots are intended primarily for missile defense and may be too far behind the front lines to engage Russian aviation.
  6. We now have the point of view from the FPV drone. Crazy war.
  7. Not so much New Guinea, but definitely Indonesia and Malaysia.
  8. Good summary of tactical developments, although nothing that hasn't been mentioned here before in some way.
  9. Russians and Ukrainians are in violent agreement that a bad tank is better than no tank.
  10. I feel this is even more concerning, if true. ________ However, according to a secret purported Pentagon slide dated Feb. 28, Ukraine will have completely depleted its stock of Buk missiles by April 13, and of S-300 missiles by May 3, at current consumption rates. If true, the alarming assessments in the leaked presentations shed new light on the urgency with which Kyiv has been lobbying the U.S. and North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies to speed up deliveries of Western-made air-defense systems and to provide Ukraine with Western-made jet fighters, such as F-16s, so that it would be able to prevent incursions by Russian bombers. According to one of the documents, a likely consequence of the looming air defense crisis is that Ukraine will lose its ability to mass ground forces near the front lines, and to conduct a counteroffensive. _________ https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/ukraine-may-run-out-of-air-defenses-by-may-leaked-pentagon-documents-warn-b96b0655
  11. Organization and equipment of Russian "Storm Units".
  12. I don't make much of it but I do wonder what he's referring to. ________ Ukrainian soldiers have received training in the U.S. since January on how to use the Patriot system, but it hasn’t yet been deployed in Ukraine. Ukraine needs 20 Patriot batteries to protect against Russian missiles, and even that may not be enough “as no country in the world was attacked with so many ballistic rockets,” Zelenskyy said. Zelenskyy added that a European nation sent another air defense system to Ukraine, but it didn’t work and they “had to change it again and again.” He did not name the country. ________ https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-zelenskyy-russia-putin-war-78f55fbf4fb7e57711c2fadaf914fd45
  13. Great stuff as always from RUSI. _______ One of the foremost causes of inaccuracy in pre-war military assessments of the likely trajectory of the fighting – both in NATO countries and in the Ukrainian military – stems from the assumption that the Russian forces would conduct a deliberate military offensive. For example, it was assumed that rail and logistics infrastructure would be targeted. Instead, because the aim was to fix and isolate Ukrainian units, there was very little attempt to destroy them in the first three days. The whole logic of the employment of forces was premised on the success of Russia’s unconventional operations and yet, as already discussed, the preconditions for that success in terms of the political destabilization of Ukraine had not yet been achieved. There remains an unanswered question as to why the Russian leadership decided to begin the invasion without establishing the required preconditions. This may be understood as a strategic error of judgement by Putin personally. The bulk of Russia’s planning focused on what to do after the invasion. ____________
  14. Full text from the "guy on Twitter". _________ I'll start by praising our military engineers who created the BMP-3. God bless you all! Great car, I can't imagine what could be better. Now about the UR-77. An absolutely useless machine for the declared demining actions. Imagine a typical for the Donbass field between "zelenki". As a rule, it is 500-700 meters, or even more. "Serpent Gorynych" makes a passage 6 meters wide, up to 100 meters deep. As planned by the designers, he should reach the enemy at a distance of 300-200 meters and start all these manipulations? How do you imagine it? Can you imagine the battlefield at all and what is happening there? It is clear that there are few suicides among the military, so they decided to throw the UR-77 remotely. You unhook the hoses with explosives from the ropes and shoot ... Well, firstly, the machine is not designed for such things, so accuracy, to put it mildly, suffers. Secondly, this thing often simply does not explode or only one sleeve explodes. Why so, I don't know. I'm just telling you what I saw on different sectors of the front. Yes, of course, if all these sleeves with plastite arrive at the enemy opornik, then his personnel will fly into space, but I repeat, the UR-77 was not created for these purposes. I read that in Syria, "Gorynych" successfully dismantled some street barricades. Perhaps that's the whole point of this machine. MOST of our destroyed equipment from Avdiivka to Zaporozhye is the result of mine explosions. If the Russian Army had an effective demining tool, then the battles were already going on at least near Dnepropetrovsk. Many schizophrenics and people simply far from the earth are looking for some backstage games and conspiracies in the events at the front, but the reasons for the failures are so simple that many refuse to believe in them. For example, the fact that the Russian Army does not have effective means of mine clearance. In justification, I can say that there are no such funds either in the Armed Forces of Ukraine or in NATO. We just have to spare no mines and NATO will not go anywhere, if anything ...
  15. Interesting article on Ukraine's UAV program. _________ Mykhailo Fedorov, the 32-year-old deputy prime minister responsible for both Ukraine’s drone programme and its digital transformation, says the turning-point may be coming faster than people think. A number of changes are about to make a big impact, he says. The army has completed a big restructuring, establishing 60 new attack-drone squadrons, at least one in every brigade, with separate staff and commanders. This is the first reform of its kind anywhere in the world. Ukraine’s military doctrine has been updated to include (classified) guidelines on drone use. The defence ministry has created a new board to co-ordinate the work of drone producers. There has been a drive to deregulate: removing import and certification barriers. And this month is marked by the launch of a new military “cluster” venture designed to link Ukrainian military tech with international companies and capital. A defence-industry insider, speaking on condition of anonymity, confirms that the army is due to gain “significant and high-tech capacity” in the coming weeks and months. That said, it will still struggle against the Russians, he cautions. Only a few military systems can perform well. “The Russians are very, very good at what they do,” the industry source says. “They are performing black magic in electromagnetic defence. They can jam frequencies, spoof GPS, send a drone to the wrong altitude so that it simply drops out of the sky.” The threat from ground-based air defences means that Ukrainian reconnaissance drones struggle to see more than 15km behind Russian lines, says one expert with recent experience of observing drone operations. At an early stage the Ukrainians appeared to pin hopes for controlling drones behind Russian lines on Elon Musk’s Starlink satellites, which work at frequencies and in numbers that Russian systems struggle to jam. A naval-drone attack on Russia’s Black Sea fleet in October reportedly made good use of this gap. But Mr Musk, apparently worried about the escalatory effect of such moves, has stepped in where Russian technology proved unable to. Starlink now uses geofencing to block the use of its terminals—not only above Russian-occupied territory inside Ukraine, but also, according to a Ukrainian military intelligence source, over water and when the receiver is moving at speeds above 100km per hour. “You put it on a boat at sea and it will simply stop working,” he says. So Ukraine’s drone developers now use a range of other, more expensive communication systems, with multiple systems often on the same vehicle. The success of the attack on February 28th in getting so close to Moscow suggests that Ukraine may be getting close to a solution that works. _________ https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/03/20/ukraine-is-betting-on-drones-to-strike-deep-into-russia
  16. Something I haven't seen before. UR-77 used for indirect fire rather than it's usual mine-clearing role.
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