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Pete Wenman

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Everything posted by Pete Wenman

  1. After all this time I would have thought you had worked out how to use google translate by now
  2. Some interesting insights to the recent RUSI report P
  3. Useful thread on what RU has being doing to cross the Dnipro at Kherson
  4. I have no knowledge in this field whatsoever, but what if it was a thermobaric warhead. More blast for size, and a pressure wave to bounce the bridge sections off their mountings? Plausable ?
  5. a good aerial view of a section of the AT barrier seen earlier. This is literally on the western edge of Hirs'ke. Location is detailed on the image, but to make it easier to locate 48.74203501 38.47920273
  6. From here https://www.facebook.com/butusov.yuriy/posts/pfbid023oXx9zwGmAAVb4Cx4wwV3FN21sEqo3eBaahqWVqvv4FWVPk2o8qQhHtsEQSGhzTtl Obviously this is easier said then done, and with a long lead time regardless. However if there is no internal device by which Putin can be deposed, and he has destroyed the norms by which wars are generally ended are we now facing a never ending war where Russia just refuses to accept its beaten. A lot of misery for a lot of people if that becomes the case. P
  7. Looks like the rail bridge is also down to one track - certainly its width seems reduced P
  8. When the Cold War (the original one ) was all the rage autobahn bridges and the like in West Germany were designed and built with chambers within them to assist with their demolition if required - Miesle Shafts. These chambers could then be filled with special charges in time of war and allowed good demolition of the otherwise very tough reinforced concrete structures. Is it plausible this bridge might have been constructed with something similar. Locations where charges placed would have greater effect than otherwise. Could this have become known to UKA and they exploited a weakness in some way ? P
  9. Loads of speculation here and elsewhere (no surprise) But lets try a different angle - what can we gleen from this image - not the CCTV footage but the wider image We appear to be in a CCTV monitoring room. It's being filmed by a phone or equivalent and has been released into the public domain. Who is this content meant for. The camera (looks to be fixed)and is showing pretty much the exact spot the explosion occurred. It seems an odd location for a typical CCTV, and so you assume this is part of the bridge defence network, with the camera not monitoring traffic flow, but the actual bridge structure. Above the main screen appears to composite views showing 18 other camera views It seems the footage is being watched after the event as there is little emotion in the voices that can be heard @Grigb - Can you translate On the video itself The wave seen in the video under the span closest to right screen edge is being suggested as a boat by some, but the explosion and span that collapses is the other side of the nearest bridge support. It could be the wake from a fast moving boat that goes under the next span/rams the next bridge support, or it could just be a wave. The explosion itself seems not so much a flash and bang, but rather to be a flash and burn with something on the right being a smoke source for some several seconds - can be seen in the video around the 45 second mark. Disclaimer - I have no real idea what I'm talking about, but there are some interesting aspects to this video. P
  10. Some interesting thoughts from Tom Cooper on the nature of the ground war. Full article here https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x/ukraine-war-4-october-2022-kherson-da84b46d8131 It's a lengthy read, but well worth the effort given previous conversations here Quote to whet the appetite P
  11. pretty raw stuff https://ukrainevolunteer297689472.wordpress.com/2022/09/30/its-a-slaughter/ blog post from here
  12. Question not specifically for @Grigb @Haiduk @akd but you guys might have a better feel for it When reading 503rd Guard MMR, (or what ever other units referenced) do we have a feel for how many boots on the ground this really is. We know its certainly not at full strength, but what does a Regiment mean in this context, 1, 2 or 3 BTG ? It would be nice to strip away the "looks good on paper" and get to the reality of what shape these units are currently in. Tom Cooper suggests the following units in the Lyman are Russians in Lyman: gauging by reports from the social media, the group of forces encircled there is controlled by the 20th Combined Arms Army. At the first look, one might say, 'ah, VSRF'. That's wrong. The troops there are including: - Bars-13 - Bars-16 (also known as 'Kuban' unit; this unit used to have 1,000 combatants; about 400 are inside Lyman) - 208th 'Cossack' Motor Rifle Regiment (LPR) - 503rd GMRR/19th MRD seems to be holding the way in/out It is possible that the 204th Motor Rifle Regiment is around, too. That said, what's left of the 144th MRD is outside the pocket: this is on the northern side of it, in the Borova area. Re. BARS: this is a Russian abbreviation for 'Special Combat Army Reserve' (full designation is actually BARS-2021). This was a program to mobilise 100,000 volunteers from former veterans of the VSRF for a 3-years contract. If the Rosgvardia is 'Putin's Pasdaran', BARS is something like 'Putin's Republican Guards': they're drafted from the Russian Cossack Association, handsomely paid (US$3,500 a month, plus allowances and awards), highly motivated, and well-equipped. Other known BARS units are battalion-sized, and, when fully mobilised, about 1,000-strong. Nearly all are meanwhile deployed in Ukraine. The few others I've heard about so far are: - Shironin Battalion (from Kirov) - Bars-14 (I know this is one of units the ZSU considers 'criminals' and is taking no POWs from) - Bars-15 (also known as 'Piatnashka'; receiving same treatment like -14) - Bars-18 (ditto) For involved ZSU units, the following can be assessed: Kupyansk - 92nd Mech - 3rd Tank - Kraken SF (battalion) - possibly a battalion of the 80th Motor Oskil - 1st 'Ivan Bohun' Special Purpose Brigade (est. 4 Mar 22; including troops from 19 countries; has 6 battalions) - 25th Airborne - 66th Mech (persistently ignored by Ukrainian social media, but reported often by the Russians) - 17th Tank - 4th NG Brigade - Azov SF (battalion) Lyman - 4th Tank - 79th Airborne - 81st Airborne Siversk - 80th Airborne - 114 TD - 115 TD Bakhmut is defended by - 58 Motor - 72nd Mech - 93rd Airborne - 28th Artillery - at least a brigade (in total) of the TD, but I'm not sure what units are involved. Additional units 'detected', but not localised, yet known as involved 'somewhere in northern Donbass' are: - 1st Tank
  13. A collection of low level aerial views showing destroyed villages in Kharkiv region. https://deepstateua.com/vighliad-znishchienikh-rosiieiu-zvilnienikh-sil-na-kharkivshchini/
  14. These work in CM2 - might work in CMBB - hold alt key and enter required code - ä
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