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Holien

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  1. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Artkin in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    As cool as it is to see whats being developed... 
    Can these guys stop taking pictures of everything? What ever happened to secrecy?
  2. Like
    Holien got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In about an hour I will be drawing electric from the grid at 0p.
    This last weekend we had too much power and I was actually paid to store energy. EV and house batteries were topped up and I got paid!!!
    The UK right at the moment is pumping water back uphill in Norway...
    Europe is well on the way to having a pretty good integrated energy system and during high wind high sun we easily generate more than needed.
  3. Like
    Holien got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    While the messenger is important I think it is as much how that message is transmitted to those who fall for this.
    There are certain TV channels that are as important to this undermining of trust and spread out right lies. Without this support Trump wouldn't get any traction.
  4. Like
    Holien got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I suggest it's not a good idea.
    A targeted response against those responsible rather than creating any more terrorists by killing innocent people. 
    Bombing people to the stone age has already escalated this to a level that was uncalled for..
  5. Upvote
    Holien reacted to zinz in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    https://mastodon.social/@ChrisO_wiki/112279689602601908
    Russia is discussing how to deal with the destruction of their refineries. The proposed lowering of standards would seriously damage their more modern vehicles. 
  6. Like
    Holien got a reaction from Sequoia in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Children are always innocent. Simple.
    Not their fault where they are born.
    I strongly suggest you pause your posts on this topic.. 
    I have deep respect for you and understand your pov but IMO it's not something for this thread.
    I will PM you tomorrow.
     
  7. Upvote
    Holien reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I’ve been reading those folks pushing the idea that Iran intentionally flubbed the attack on Israel with some…restrained amusement. Us old folks remember how analysis of the USSR routinely made the same threat-inflating mistake as analysts responded, consciously or not, to pressures that essentially drove them to see every flaw, error or omission as yet another devious maneuver by those mustachio twisting apparatchiks in Moscow to lower our guard. 
    The reality is that yes, Iran didn’t throw the kitchen sink at Israel but at the same time, the idea was for Iran to establish a higher level of deterrence against Israeli strikes directly on Iranian territory, assets and personnel. To do that, Iran need to actually show the ability to do significant damage in ways that Israel cannot address. What happened instead? Iran managed to unite Israel’s neighbors around it (despite, Bibi and Gaza!) to such a degree that they are bragging quietly how many Iranian munitions they shot down (including by the pilot/princess of Jordan) and celebrating (not very quietly) how well they can and will cooperate against Iran. 
    Deterrence is information without the cure. If Iran had managed to get through and wallop a couple of Israel airfields and hit a scattering of other bases, that would not have set off a conflagration and would have delivered a solid deterrence message. It would have been “We send 300 and hit 20% of the time. Imagine if we send 3000?”. Now, Israel and the rest of the region can imagine it and has reason to think they can handle it (if, again more to Iran’s strategic detriment, they keep the US onside and willing to lend support).
    Deterrence isn’t achieved by demonstrating what you can’t do. 
  8. Like
    Holien got a reaction from danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A question for our American friends and any who might understand the DC politics... You know who I am looking at...

    We are getting more and more evidence that the Biden team are really asking Ukraine to stop with the Russian refinery attacks?

    Why?

     
    Russian Oil is not making up much of the market, it has an effect in cutting Russian spending so why?
    My poor old brain can only think of the following.
    It could be they don't want to give folk the idea of how easy it is to do. But that genie is out already. The box is open... Lamp rubbed et al...

    It could be that they know Israel is not going to act in a restrained proportionate manner with Iran and the whole world supply is likely to be disrupted.

    If Iran decides to go full in the oil refineries in the area could be taken down very quickly with Iranian backed drones...
    Any ideas on a postcard to the usual forum...
  9. Like
    Holien got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Just FYI Europe is trying to deal with the attacks on Ukraines energy infrastructure...
    https://neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-sends-emergency-aid-ukraine-after-further-attacks-energy-infrastructure-2024-04-09_en
    Long term and near term if Ukraine can get Wind Turbines and Solar (all time cheap prices on solar) a lot of what Russia is trying to do will be undone and Ukraine will be in a way better position after the war as it will not be reliant on Russian Gas or Fossil Fuels.
    The Energy market is changing and it will remove the stranglehold of the Axis of Evil as some folk like to call them..

  10. Like
    Holien got a reaction from kimbosbread in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A question for our American friends and any who might understand the DC politics... You know who I am looking at...

    We are getting more and more evidence that the Biden team are really asking Ukraine to stop with the Russian refinery attacks?

    Why?

     
    Russian Oil is not making up much of the market, it has an effect in cutting Russian spending so why?
    My poor old brain can only think of the following.
    It could be they don't want to give folk the idea of how easy it is to do. But that genie is out already. The box is open... Lamp rubbed et al...

    It could be that they know Israel is not going to act in a restrained proportionate manner with Iran and the whole world supply is likely to be disrupted.

    If Iran decides to go full in the oil refineries in the area could be taken down very quickly with Iranian backed drones...
    Any ideas on a postcard to the usual forum...
  11. Upvote
    Holien reacted to cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  12. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    1) Basically every industrial country has far more energy generation capacity than it needs to ensure continuous production - even if several plants need to be taken off the grid for maintenance or simply damage repairs. 
    2) Outside of the planned over-capacity, older power plants are not immediately demolished when a newer one is finished. They remain for years as a "strategic reserve". And due to improved technology energy companies are almost always building something newer and more efficient somewhere, so there is a continuous rotation from older to newer.
    3) Special government programs like in Germany, where renewables are being pushed, means that a lot of conventional power plants have been taken off the grid, but are not destroyed. Germany gets between 30% and 40% of its daily energy from renewables (and growing), and has roughly the same capacity, mostly in coal plants, dormant and ready to be fired up. 
    Ukraine's economy before the war used 125 TWh per year, which has dropped significantly due to the war to something below 100 TWh.
    Germany alone has likely 200 TWh of unused capacity next to the 500 to 600 TWh it currently needs per year.
  13. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In about an hour I will be drawing electric from the grid at 0p.
    This last weekend we had too much power and I was actually paid to store energy. EV and house batteries were topped up and I got paid!!!
    The UK right at the moment is pumping water back uphill in Norway...
    Europe is well on the way to having a pretty good integrated energy system and during high wind high sun we easily generate more than needed.
  14. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I believe that Ukraine is also part of the European energy net (as of last year?), so as long as transmission lines remain to a town or city, Europe can just pump energy directly into Ukraine's grid.
    Most EU countries have significant unused power generation capacity. 
    The smaller, mobile generators provide better local independence, of course.
  15. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Just FYI Europe is trying to deal with the attacks on Ukraines energy infrastructure...
    https://neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-sends-emergency-aid-ukraine-after-further-attacks-energy-infrastructure-2024-04-09_en
    Long term and near term if Ukraine can get Wind Turbines and Solar (all time cheap prices on solar) a lot of what Russia is trying to do will be undone and Ukraine will be in a way better position after the war as it will not be reliant on Russian Gas or Fossil Fuels.
    The Energy market is changing and it will remove the stranglehold of the Axis of Evil as some folk like to call them..

  16. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Just FYI Europe is trying to deal with the attacks on Ukraines energy infrastructure...
    https://neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-sends-emergency-aid-ukraine-after-further-attacks-energy-infrastructure-2024-04-09_en
    Long term and near term if Ukraine can get Wind Turbines and Solar (all time cheap prices on solar) a lot of what Russia is trying to do will be undone and Ukraine will be in a way better position after the war as it will not be reliant on Russian Gas or Fossil Fuels.
    The Energy market is changing and it will remove the stranglehold of the Axis of Evil as some folk like to call them..

  17. Like
    Holien got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Children are always innocent. Simple.
    Not their fault where they are born.
    I strongly suggest you pause your posts on this topic.. 
    I have deep respect for you and understand your pov but IMO it's not something for this thread.
    I will PM you tomorrow.
     
  18. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I suggest it's not a good idea.
    A targeted response against those responsible rather than creating any more terrorists by killing innocent people. 
    Bombing people to the stone age has already escalated this to a level that was uncalled for..
  19. Like
    Holien got a reaction from Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Children are always innocent. Simple.
    Not their fault where they are born.
    I strongly suggest you pause your posts on this topic.. 
    I have deep respect for you and understand your pov but IMO it's not something for this thread.
    I will PM you tomorrow.
     
  20. Like
    Holien got a reaction from Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I suggest it's not a good idea.
    A targeted response against those responsible rather than creating any more terrorists by killing innocent people. 
    Bombing people to the stone age has already escalated this to a level that was uncalled for..
  21. Upvote
    Holien reacted to chris talpas in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Sounds like Perun is listening 
     
  22. Like
    Holien got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Children are always innocent. Simple.
    Not their fault where they are born.
    I strongly suggest you pause your posts on this topic.. 
    I have deep respect for you and understand your pov but IMO it's not something for this thread.
    I will PM you tomorrow.
     
  23. Upvote
    Holien reacted to panzermartin in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Deleted, no need to feed more off topic matters 
  24. Like
    Holien got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Folk listen to Steve, let's keep this on track...
    Please.
  25. Like
    Holien got a reaction from Yet in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Children are always innocent. Simple.
    Not their fault where they are born.
    I strongly suggest you pause your posts on this topic.. 
    I have deep respect for you and understand your pov but IMO it's not something for this thread.
    I will PM you tomorrow.
     
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