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Thomm

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  1. Upvote
    Thomm got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Or the right-wing party in Austria being fascinated by Putin and Russia.
    If my grandfather (who survived Stalingrad only because he was flown out with appendicitis) was still alive, he would have a strong opinion on that.
  2. Upvote
    Thomm got a reaction from chrisl in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Where does this come from, if I may ask?
    The Javelin uses a small launch rocket motor for its soft-launch start.
    That should work in a vacuum, also, shouldn't it? Or without any obstacle behind it.
  3. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Where does this come from, if I may ask?
    The Javelin uses a small launch rocket motor for its soft-launch start.
    That should work in a vacuum, also, shouldn't it? Or without any obstacle behind it.
  4. Upvote
    Thomm got a reaction from The_MonkeyKing in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Big Bada Bum
  5. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Camera drone chasing a formula 1 car. Nice visuals and an interesting reference, IMHO.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9pEqyr_uT-k
     
  6. Upvote
    Thomm got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This image had an educational effect on me: It made me look up where, exactly, the femoral artery is. 😬
  7. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from Gpig in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Maybe once there will be something like 'mutually assured destruction' in conventional warfare thanks to drones and AI.
  8. Like
    Thomm reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It could be meaningful though, as part of trend analysis.
    Is the proportion of US (and Western generally) parts increasing or decreasing? Based on this graphic; no idea. But that would be interesting to know, no?
    Over what period were these parts counted - is it across the whole war, or just Feb and Mar 2022, or Nov and Dec 2023? Based on this graphic; no idea. But that would be interesting to know, no?
    What is the total number of drones that these parts were counted from, and do we know the types/models of drones? If we know the types, was interpolation used to derive the counts (ie, "we never found the hyperdrive coupler from the Khinzal Mk.IIa that landed on Odessa at 2359hrs on the 29th of Feb, but we know those drones always have one and that bit comes from China, so we counted one to them."), or did they literally only count the parts they could find and which had explicit 'Made With Pride in [country]' marks stamped into them? Based on this graphic; no idea. But that would be interesting to know, no?
    We know (or at least "know") what goes into the various standard drones the Russians are using, and there are pretty accurate tallies around of the numbers and types of drones fired at Ukraine, on a daily basis. Breaking that down by national supplier of parts on a daily basis, into a graph that looked something like this ...

     
    ... would be an interesting and actually useful way of assessing the effectiveness and impact of embargoes as it applies to drones. But as it stands, and as @Butschi noted, that graphic is actually rather meaningless.
    Edit: to amplify something else @Butschi said - the counts themselves are kind of meaningless too. The US supplied 2,007 of the 3,000 parts found. I mean, that sounds pretty bad. But was that 2,000 pop rivets and 7 self-tapping screws? Based on this graphic; no idea. But that would be interesting to know, no?
    Similarly, China only supplied 112 parts, which doesn't sound a lot ... unless that was that 66 engines and 46 guidance motherboards. Was it? Based on this graphic; no idea. But that would be interesting to know, no?
  9. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from Raptor341 in What games lead you to CM and what do you also play now?   
    Close Combat 2
    Could only play it on my aunt's computer.
    She did not really understand my fascination with it, though.
     
     
     
  10. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from alison in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Only 90 degrees vertically.
  11. Like
    Thomm reacted to Bulletpoint in StG44 vs SMG Performance at Long Range in CMRT: A Shocking Revelation   
    I think SMGs are too effective at long range, but should be even more powerful at short range.
    It's not only about accuracy and bullet spread, but also about how you'd use an SMG at short ranges, and how it's not really modelled in the game.
    If you see an enemy soldier run across a road, you'd be able to start firing and then walk the fire on target while you hold down the trigger.
    And if you see an enemy run into vegetation, you could hose down several bushes with a long sweeping burst.
    But in the game, if the target is a running soldier, the SMG guy will adjust his aim but keep firing just behind the target.
    And in the case of vegetation, he will choose only one spot and then unload a long burst into the ground at that point. Then choose a new point and do another long burst, etc.
  12. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from PEB14 in Annual look at the year to come - 2023   
    The M26 also appeared in the Korean war, as I found out.
    A brief research showed that this war has a relatively short, but unusual list of vehicles.
    https://www.militaryfactory.com/armor/korean-war-tanks.php
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_equipment_used_in_the_Korean_War
    I think that this conflct would be very suited for a CM game, with little investment being necessary in the model department.
     
  13. Like
    Thomm reacted to akd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    pretty sure that is satire...
  14. Thanks
    Thomm reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    From me. I am making them based on content inside of the boxes. Basically I read post, I make map, mark settlements, mark actions (directions of attacks) then put text boxes with descriptions at close to location as possible. 
  15. Like
    Thomm reacted to Simicro in ChatGPT and Scenarios   
    You win 🙂
  16. Upvote
    Thomm reacted to Chibot Mk IX in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    They are not comparable. On paper Aegis is supposed to have far better performance. See the pic below. Patriot PAC3 is a terminal phase interceptor with very short window of opportunity to intercept SRBM and MRBM (see the blue dots there?), Patriot's speed is too low to work on an IRBM.

     
    The yellow Aegis BMD line in the graphic seems to be representing RIM-161 SM3,  an Exo-atmospheric interceptor.
    As you can see , the right end of the yellow line does not extend to the x-axis, because SM3 doesn’t work in Endo-atmospheric. That makes this graphic a little misleading as the SM2 and SM6, two Endo-atmospheric interceptors deal with terminal phase interception also belong to Aegis BMD. They have better performance compared to Patriot PAC3, although they will have trouble to deal with IRBM.
     
    Put hypersonic weapon hypothesis, Kh-47 kinzhal is just an air launched Iskander SRBM with a limited maneuverability MaRV . It’s flight profile might be very similar to DF-21D and YJ-21 ASBM, but I guess DF-21D is the hardest to be intercepted due to its terminal speed. There is no way for Patriot PAC3 to intercept a DF-26B, an IRBM with anti-ship roles. That’s when you need SM3 to intercept before the RV from the IRBM dive into the terminal phase.
     
    So far there is no indication that the HGV from DF-17 has the anti-ship capability. But due to the HGV’s flight profile, it will make the detection very very hard, and it is also operating on upper edge of the atmosphere so SM3 is useless in the face of this threat. Also due to its flight profile, HGV won’t have a great potential energy to convert into speed at terminal phase, so THAAD and SM6 should be able to intercept that but it is still too fast and maneuver for Patriot PAC3. We don’t have any open source to study on this, this is just my guess
     
    Anyway, the key to successfully intercept a ballistic missile is not about the interceptor missile’s performance, its more about early warning, detection and classification.  There are some discussions on this topic in Matrix game forum CMO section, I can see if I can find the discussion.
  17. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from BlackMoria in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1658002171785273347
    LOL
  18. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from CAZmaj in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wouldn't molotovs help with those bunker assaults, by means of smoke generation, at the very least?
  19. Upvote
    Thomm got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wouldn't molotovs help with those bunker assaults, by means of smoke generation, at the very least?
  20. Thanks
    Thomm reacted to The_Capt in Combat Mission Cold War - British Army On the Rhine   
    Ok, pre-Alpha disclaimer so details are subject to change but this is the first map in the Canadian campaign "On the Weser" - got big plans for this one. A Pete Wenman original:

    Just southwest of a little town called Boffzen and south of Hoxter (From Google Earth):

    Blow up of Canadian AO with rough zone of this map:

  21. Like
    Thomm reacted to akd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    lol
     
  22. Like
    Thomm reacted to DesertFox in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    AFAIK he only got access to printed out hardcopies, not to digital documents. Makes you wonder how that alone was possible.
  23. Like
    Thomm reacted to chrisl in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    For all we know he works for someone who doesn't deal with computers and has him print everything out to read/review/trash.  It's not so common anymore, but it wasn't so long ago that there were managers who would have their secretaries print their email then dictate replies or handwrite and have the secretaries transcribe.  
    That's less likely with emails now, but not too unusual with reports and presentations, and they could be printed for an officer who likes to read them on paper instead of a screen. It wouldn't raise any eyebrows, and then he can make off with some of the paper copies if they don't have some other audit mechanism to make sure that everything that gets printed is either stored properly or destroyed.  If the data were never printed it would be easier to restrict and track access by login.  If it's encrypted at-rest it would be possible to keep him from being able to see it, even if his boss could read it on a tablet or laptop by having the appropriate permissions and password or key.
     
  24. Like
    Thomm reacted to The_MonkeyKing in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Highly detailed account of the resent intelligence leak from the US

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/12/discord-leaked-documents/
    paywall bypass: https://archive.is/2023.04.13-013915/https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/12/discord-leaked-documents/
  25. Like
    Thomm got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Me too, but only if it has a click-bait front page!
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